|
Now
that we
know who exactly is returning to The Varsity
World, let’s take a look at the guys who are heading on to the glitz,
glamour,
and pressure-cooker atmosphere that is the NFL game.
I
am
anticipating taking a little bit of heat for this
article and that’s fine. In life, as in football and especially the NFL
Draft,
there is a great focus on calculated risk based on what you truly
believe to be
true, and reward. Let’s take a look at
these backs keeping that in mind.
Felix
Jones, Arkansas
I truly think that Jones is the best pure back in this
draft. He doesn’t run as straight up and
down as McFadden and that allows him to gain a lot of yardage after
contact. His versatility in the passing
game may come into question pre-draft, however, there will be plenty of
opportunities to dispute that in workouts and testing. Jones is
stronger than
he gets credit for and I think that is an important attribute to have
as a
back. Jones averaged an astounding 8.7 yards per carry and also scored
11
touchdowns. Numbers like that do not often get ignored as much as they
have
been in Jones’ case. Also, he can help in the return game, which is
going to be
a big help for teams that need a playmaker. While he may not be the
playmaker
that teammate McFadden is, his numbers are eye-popping.
| It
seems odd, but in a
lot of ways, I liken this to Reggie Bush’s situation coming into the
NFL. A lot
of notable experts questioned Bush’s ability to be an every down back
and thought
that in terms of a pure runner, LenDale White was a better option.
Jones is not
in the mold of White, but in terms of a traditional running game in the
NFL, he
projects as a much more viable option that his teammate does. There is
a
precedence for this in today’s NFL. Ronnie Brown and Cadillac Williams
were
once at the center of this argument coming out of Auburn
and it is inarguable that Brown has been the better back. Not carrying
it as
much, but still being as effective as McFadden may lead to more
durability as
an NFL back long term. Less punishment in NCAA means more carries as an
NFL
feature back over time. Right now I have him to Houston
but do not be surprised if he moves up 5-8 spots between now and April
26. |
Darren
McFadden, Arkansas
Having said what I said about Jones, do not think that I am
discounting what a special athlete Run DMc is. He is electric in the
passing
and running game and has the breakaway speed that makes NFL suits and
coaches
drool. His ability and vision to find holes and hit them hard while
still being
a patient runner makes him an instant fit on a lot of teams in need of
a
back. What worries me is that he did
carry it a lot at Arkansas and was shut down in some games against
Auburn and
perennial bottom feeder Florida International (four TDs is nice, but
his 3.2
average is less than inspiring). He runs very up and down and takes a
lot of
hits. In this way he reminds me a little bit of Eddie George with
better pure
speed. As a long term prospect, I am not sure I like him as much as
most people
do. However, for five or six years, he should make a large impact as
long as he
adjusts to running against NFL defenses, something that Reggie Bush
never did.
Right now, I have McFadden going to the Raiders and that seems like a
lock if
he is there but it is possible that he could sneak up a spot or two but
no
more. Not because of inadequacies, but because other teams ahead of him
don’t
need a back or have larger holes to fill.
Jonathan
Stewart, Oregon
A quick back that doesn’t shy away from contact is important
in today’s NFL and Stewart fits the bill. Combine the fact that he
played
against quick (not necessarily great) defenses in the Pac-10 and still
averaged
6.2 per carry and you have a viable weapon as an everydown back in the
NFL. He
may lack the pure speed of some of the other backs in this class, but
everyone
said that about Emmitt Smith as well and I think that that is a
favorable and
reasonable comparison to make. Dennis Dixon was the focal point of that
offense
and his rushing and passing stats behind a less than outstanding line
suggest
that Stewart is a good blocker as well. In terms of draft stock, he is
a bottom
of the first round type of guy and could find a home in Seattle
(a perfect fit). However, Dallas
could take a back to replace Julius Jones if he is not in their long
term
plans. Look for Stewart to test out well and get some looks from Houston
or Arizona. I also have
not ruled
out Denver
selecting him
due to the
perpetual uncertainty that is The Travis Henry Situation.
Rashard
Mendenhall, Illinois
He really burst onto the scene as a hard runner in the OSU
game despite average stats but for a lot of people, he was someone to
keep an
eye on much earlier than that. Consistency is an issue but I happen to
think
that some of his inconsistency is due to a somewhat iffy offense for
most of
the season. He is a big physical back but lacks great speed (4.55 40
time) and
despite playing in a weak Big 10, did not have huge numbers against the
top
teams in that conference. In all fairness, the main reason that I have
him as
high as I do amongst backs is because I am not as high on this class as
a lot
of people. Mendenhall should benefit from a class with only two or
three
standouts and work his way into either the bottom four or five picks of
round
one, or the top four or five picks of round two. Dallas
will look, so will most of the other teams looking at his fellow RB
prospects.
To me, if Atlanta takes a QB in round one, Mendenhall would make a lot
of sense
in round two (if he is available).
Ray
Rice, Rutgers
The more I think about Rice, the more I like him. He lacks
breakaway speed (as is evident by him barely squeaking by the Ball St.
D for
that TD in his bowl game) but he is fast enough to change some things
on the
field. I recently did an interview with Bobby Deren of Rivals.com where
I liken
Rice to Maurice Jones-Drew of Jacksonville.
I think that is a good comparison for more reasons than just his size.
He
catches the ball well (39 grabs in 07) and always seems like he knows
exactly
where to be all the time. Don’t let his size fool you though, he runs
bigger
than his body and his low center of gravity allows him to be compact
and shifty
as he breaks though the line of scrimmage. Good vision and decent
pass-blocking
ability should sneak him into the bottom of round two or the first few
picks in
round three. A team like Cleveland
makes a lot of sense and so does Washington
since I think there is some trepidation about their ability to keep
both Betts
and Portis and the fact that Portis is not getting any younger and has
had
trouble staying healthy over 16 games for much of his career.
Next
up are
the defensive backs. It is a particularly deep
corner class so we will focus on them first.
Michael
Abromowitz's 2008 NFL Mock
Draft
Gregory Cox's 2008
NFL Mock Draft
Paul Eide's 2008 NFL
Mock Draft
Jared
Donnelly's 2008 NFL Mock
Draft
Mock
Draft Database
|