2008
NFL Mock
Draft - 7 Rounds
by Gregory Cox
Director of College
Football and NFL Analysis
4/25/08
Round 2
32) Miami – QB Chad Henne (Michigan)
Lately quarterback has been such a tough position to gauge in the
draft. The
trend is players falling (Rodgers, Leinart and Quinn) and it seems like
this
year the order after Ryan might be a big story. Reportedly they believe
Henne
is nearly as good as the consensus top quarterback and of course
already have
added his tackle to protect his blind side. They made a decent veteran
addition
in Josh McCown, but John Beck is questionable at best. This gives him
strong
competition for the starting job. Henne brings poise and is an
experienced
starter (47 games) from a top notch program having led the Wolverines
to 36
victories while passing for 87 touchdowns.
33) St. Louis
– CB Brandon Flowers (Virginia
Tech)
They could go with receiver Malcolm Kelly (Oklahoma) in this spot but
is
offense really the main reason this team is losing games? The Rams
always seem
to be on the hunt for another cornerback and have three players on the
roster
who were selected in the top 85 picks of the past three drafts. Fakhir
Brown
seems to have dodged another suspension, but two of those young
additions (Hill
and Wade) haven’t shined thus far. Flowers was not very impressive at
the
combine, but he did average 17.2 yards per interception return. He’s
physical and in the final analysis I believe will stay at the top of
round 2
because reports are coming out that those looking at his game film like
what
they see.
34) Atlanta (via Oakland) – QB Brian Brohm
(Louisville)
Ultimately I decided the Falcons have enough ammunition to wind up with
Brohm.
It might not be in this spot, but I think pairing him with Dorsey gives
them
the optimum value out of their top two selections. He can be just as
valuable
on the front of their game programs and getting a guy out of Kentucky is
geographically more appealing than Massachusetts.
Obviously they will not leave day one
without a starting quarterback.
35) Kansas
City – WR Malcolm
Kelly (Oklahoma)
Right here I could easily see the Chiefs going after a quarterback like
Brian
Brohm (Louisville) or Joe Flacco (Delaware) but I have to wonder how much of their
interest at the position was a smokescreen for their top pick. With the
added
selections from the Jared Allen deal they can easily take a chance on
one of
them here. Last year they saw what drafting a receiver did for them.
Dwayne
Bowe (LSU) was second behind tight end Tony Gonzalez on the team, but
led the
NFL rookies with 70 receptions for 995 yards. Their passing game can’t run
through “Gonzo” forever and along
with Bowe he was the only Chief to catch more than 30 passes. Eddie
Kennison
had a nice career resurgence from 2002-2006 with the Chiefs, but at 34
coming
off an injury I said before he “is probably done” and they cut him.
Samie Parker is also out after failing to break through in 4 seasons
totaling
just 110 receptions and 7 touchdowns. They added Devard Darling for
depth. He
never made an impact in four seasons with Baltimore. Kelly
was rated as high as #11 overall
during the draft process, but his slow 40 time didn’t hurt him nearly
as much
as his poor attitude and reaction afterwards.
36) NY Jets –
QB Joe Flacco (Delaware)
This is a late addition because previously I had no quarterback being
drafted
by New York.
However, I find it hard to imagine them reaching for rush linebacker
Cliff
Avril (Purdue) in this spot and in terms of value this is a decent
play. I’m
not sure Matt Ryan would be the best fit to play in the Meadowlands.
Flacco
launched the ball 71 and 74 yards during a skills competition in Phoenix, looking
great doing it. A strong arm to
cut through the Jersey wind is smart business. Obviously Chad
Pennington isn’t their savior and Kellen Clemens was pretty mediocre.
Perhaps
the only thing holding Flacco down is having transferred from Pittsburgh to Delaware, a
precipitous drop in competition
level. Many are wondering why he didn’t stick around to beat out Tyler
Palko.
37) Atlanta – OLB Dan
Connor (Penn State)
The Falcons will be yet another team tinkering with the 3-4 at least
part of
the time. There will certainly be some turnover at the linebacker
position with
Keith Brooking a possible cap casualty and Demorrio Williams likely to
walk in
free agency. Adding a player at some point in this draft is just about
a lock.
When Connor slips out of the first round it will be a nice value for a
team
that needs one.
38) Baltimore
– CB Antoine
Cason (Arizona)
The offensive line needs attention, but this isn’t a good spot for it
relative
to what they’re getting here. McAlister and Rolle are both over 30 with
razor
thin depth behind them. When the Ravens were going well on defense they
hurt
opponents with big play turnovers. They need some young blood to create
those
opportunities. During the combine Cason ran well enough to quiet talk
his is
too slow for the NFL. He also adds ability on returns as he
demonstrated
against Oregon this year when he scored two touchdowns,
one on an interception and another on a punt return.
39) San
Francisco – DE Calais Campbell (Miami, FL)
Their defensive front 7 is pretty bad other than of course their ROY winner
Patrick Willis. A second early
addition should work wonders. Bryant Young has retired and Marques
Douglas left
in free agency. Justin Smith plugged one hole. Campbell
registered 16.5 sacks in his final 25
games for “The
U”
which could overshadow his poor showing at the combine and Hurricane
pro day.
Essentially he played like a first round pick during the season and
looked like
a third round pick in workouts. Many believe his size is enough to keep
up his
value. Others think he plummets to the third or possibly fourth round,
but the
49ers are interested.
40) New
Orleans – TE Dustin Keller (Purdue)
The Saints lack an impact tight end. Aging Dan Campbell hasn’t had 20
receptions in a season since 2003. Eric Johnson’s 2004 campaign (82
receptions)
produced twice as many yards (825) as any other during his seven year
career
and his overall average per reception is just 9.1 yards. Billy Miller
has
bounced around the league with the Saints being his fifth team. In 26
games
with them he has caught 41 passes. They might be trading for Jeremy
Shockey
(Giants) and it could come down to who is available with this
selection. Keller
can make defensive coordinators sweat. He piled up 124 receptions and
11
touchdowns over the last two seasons with the Boilermakers and should
contribute immediately. He helped himself a lot at the combine with 26
reps of
225 on the bench press, second among tight ends while running the 40 in
the 4.5
range.
41) Buffalo – WR Early Doucet
(LSU)
The Bills need someone who doesn’t look like the lost Smurf to play
receiver and a defined outside threat to join Evans in the starting
lineup.
Reed and Parrish can then see time in three or four receiver looks.
Thankfully
the Peerless Price homecoming is over after he caught just 7 passes in
four
games. Doucet is a shade over six feet which is at least a couple of
inches
taller than any of their current top threats. He can make plays down
the field
and also adds value in the return game although Buffalo doesn’t
necessarily need his help there.
His stock has slipped a bit running slow at his pro day, but they are
interested.
42) Denver –
SS/FS Tyrell Johnson (Arkansas State)
Now that they have acquired Dewayne Robertson (Jets) all my jokes about
them loading
up on Cleveland Browns then Florida Gators on their defensive line go
out the
window. This is a spot where I fully expect the Broncos to trade down
and they
can probably get him a little lower although Johnson is a late riser. I
can see
why. He finished his four year career with 363 tackles and 13
interceptions, 6
coming in his senior season with a return average of 23.8 yards
overall. With
speed in the 4.4 range he can play the free spot and is tough enough
for the
strong spot. The Broncos addressed the
safety position in free agency by adding Marlon McCree and Marquand
Manuel.
However, neither is young and there is a reason both have bounced
around to
multiple teams. Those are their backups. John Lynch is ready to retire
and this
is the player they hope moves into his starting spot.
43) Carolina – OT Carl Nicks (Nebraska)
Their offensive line has undergone more of a transformation these past
few
weeks than Michael Jackson’s face in his lifetime. Their latest
moves were cutting center Justin Hartwig, paving the way for Ryan Kalil
to
start and signing guards Toniu Fonoti and Milford Brown who they hope
can give
them depth at guard. The shuffling has left open just one spot at
tackle. It is
important to find a quality addition early in the draft.
44) Chicago – RB Chris
Johnson (East Carolina)
Remember when Cedric Benson cried on draft day? Bear fans have been
weeping
ever since watching him run. Obviously he wasn’t up to the task of
handling the rushing duties on his own after the team put their faith
in him by
trading Thomas Jones. He was supposed to be a sledge hammer back
capable of
running over opponents, but averaged just 3.4 yards per carry last
year.
Johnson stood out with his 4.24 40 at the combine. He caught 125 passes
during
his 47 collegiate games, some of which were spent at receiver. His
senior year
was extremely productive as he finished with 1,951 total yards and
scored 23
touchdowns. Some believe he will be a surprise selection late in the
first
round and it wouldn’t shock me a bit.
45) Detroit –
DE Lawrence Jackson (USC)
Kalimba Edwards has been cut, clearing the way for last year’s
second round pick Ikaiki Alama-Francis to see more playing time
assuming he
stays healthy. Jared DeVries turns 32 in June as well and I would be
surprised
to see them pass on defensive end in the second to fourth round. If
this is
their option it’s
a lock. Jackson had 30.5 sacks in 52 games for the
Trojans. The Lions need to build their defense and this would be a
great value.
46) Cincinnati – SS/FS DaJuan
Morgan (N.C. State)
Madieu Williams is gone. A spot will also opens up at nickel corner
when Deltha
O’Neal
(31) hits the road and Leon Hall moves into his starting role meaning
they
should hit the secondary more than once. An impact safety is key for
any defense
and the Bengals need one.
47) Minnesota
– OT Anthony Collins (Kansas)
The Vikings have made some nice additions in free agency and narrowed
their
list of pressing needs. One problem added to that list is offensive
tackle due
to the somewhat uncertain future of Bryant McKinnie. Minnesota’s
life line is their running game. If
the offensive line isn’t hitting on all cylinders they are in trouble.
48) Atlanta (via Houston) – CB Patrick Lee
(Auburn)
Their
roster purge
included sending disgruntled DeAngelo Hall to the Raiders. Luckily for
them
this draft is loaded with talent at the position meaning even after
some have
come off the board there are potential starters.
49)
Philadelphia – ILB Curtis Lofton
(Oklahoma)
The Eagles are a team likely to make some interesting value picks in
this draft
because they have so many selections. They are stocked with youth at
linebacker
and Rocky Boiman (Colts) replaces the departure of Takeo Spikes from
the unit.
However, there isn’t a lot of depth and believe me if they see value in
a draft
where they are picking so many times they will strike.
50) Arizona – DE/OLB Cliff
Avril (Purdue)
The Cardinals have talent on defense, but could use another linebacker.
They
lost three in free agency while holding Karlos Dansby with the tag.
Clark
Haggans (Steelers) was added on a one year deal, but they'll look for
more in
the draft. Avril showed he can get after the quarterback with 12.5
sacks in his
last two seasons.
51)
Washington – WR Earl Bennett
(Vanderbilt)
One of their poor recent additions Brandon Lloyd was just released and
last
year’s
signing Keenan McCardell illustrates their desperation to add talent at
receiver. They pursued Cincinnati’s Chad Johnson, but even offering a
deal of
their #21 and next year’s third rounder (or first if Ocho Cinco
performs well)
wasn’t enough. Bennett gives them a player who piled up 6.56 receptions
per
game in three seasons with the Commodores. He should be a quality NFL
possession receiver and steady target. They might prefer a little more
height
with a guy like Jordy Nelson (Kansas State) but
I think Bennett is a better fit.
52) Tampa Bay – DT Trevor Laws
(Notre Dame)
Remember when McFarland and Sapp dominated up front for the Bucs? Their
fans do
too and even on a defense rated #2 overall in yards allowed and #3 in
points
they could use some help at defensive tackle. Chris Hovan has done a
reasonable
job in three seasons after coming over from Minnesota while
Jovan Haye has earned starter
status. The backups are led by Kansas City’s
first round bust Ryan Sims and last year’s fifth round pick Greg Peterson (North
Carolina Central). Laws is higher than this on a lot of draft boards in
spite
of his height (6’1”) because every other part
of him fits.
He ran well and pumped out 35 reps at 225 on the bench press at the
combine.
They would be thrilled to land him here.
53)
Pittsburgh – CB/S Reggie Smith (Oklahoma)
The Steelers have a premier safety in Troy Polamalu, but Anthony Smith
is most
known for making bold, idiotic guarantees and Ryan Clark lost his
spleen
(ouch). There are also depth questions at cornerback although Bryant
McFadden
is still developing there and should be given another season to work
his way
into the starting lineup. Reggie falls a bit because he ran slow at his
pro day
although he gets points for not blaming the surface as his teammate
Malcolm
Kelly did. It takes his value down as his position emphasis slants
heavily to
free safety. That’s fine with the Steelers who really need a flexible
addition
more than anything.
54) Tennessee
– DT Dre Moore (Maryland)
Albert Haynesworth got the franchise tag, but like most with this
distinction
wants a long term deal. Their defense is far too dependent on him and
grabbing
an impact player could relieve some of the pressure to break the bank
for
Haynesworth’s
services, even if he is probably worth it. Randy Starks left as a free
agent.
55) Seattle – TE Martellus
Bennett (Texas A&M)
Now that Julius Jones has been added the offense can seek to replace
the once
promising Jerramy Stevens who left after the 2006 season. Marcus
Pollard is
broken down, old and likely gone. Signing Jeb Putzier is fine, but he’s
only had two remotely successful seasons catching passes in his six
year
career. Bennett’s
height (6’6”) is invaluable in
creating mismatches, especially inside the 10. He’s also a solid blocker.
56) Green Bay
(via Cleveland) – TE John Carlson (Notre Dame)
The Packers got a great season out of Donald Lee who posted 48
receptions for
575 yards and 6 touchdowns. He was incredibly consistent with 3+
catches in
twelve of their first thirteen games. That being said, Bubba Franks is
out. In
Carlson they get a player many still view as the top tight end in the
draft.
His production suffered with the graduation of quarterback Brady Quinn
as the
Irish stumbled through a 3-9 season. He was also slow at the combine,
but
showed good hands. His speed did improve at Notre Dame’s pro day and
above all
else they are interested.
57) Miami
(via San Diego) – CB Justin King (Penn State)
They made
a ton of moves
in free agency including the addition of Nate Jones (Cowboys) but their
roster
still needs help at pretty much every position and absolutely need an
impact
addition. King blazed a 4.31 for the 40 at the combine and looked great
at his
pro day.
58) Jacksonville
– RB Jamaal
Charles (Texas)
Fred Taylor had some sort of Cocoon
moment that lasted the entire 2007 season with a career high 5.39
average rush,
but totaled just 95 yards on 29 carries in two playoff games (3.28).
This crop
of running backs is too talented for them not to seek a replacement for
a guy
who will be 33 by the next Super Bowl. Paired with Jones-Drew the Jags
could be
solid in the backfield for years to come as they split the rushing
duties.
Charles led the nation in rushing yards during the fourth quarter. He
flat out
carried the Longhorns to a couple of wins with huge efforts late in
games and
can be a closer in the NFL, not to mention having the speed to break
long runs.
59)
Indianapolis – DE/OLB Chris Ellis (Virginia Tech)
Under the new format where only the first two rounds will take place on
Saturday the Colts will be making only a token appearance since their
first
round pick has been traded to San Francisco. When Dwight Freeney went
out of
the lineup the defensive end position turned into an immediate
weakness. Ellis
has size and speed. He can get after the quarterback from either
defensive end
or outside linebacker making him all the more valuable to the Colts. Let’s
face it they aren’t
in desperate need of game changers,
just situational additions as they pursue another title.
60) Green
Bay – WR Donnie Avery (Houston)
The Packers have some options in this draft because unlike most teams
they
might have more picks than dire needs. Greg Jennings is a star in the
making
and rookie James Jones turned in some plays while finishing with 676
yards
receiving. However, the consistent presence of Donald Driver will be
missing
soon. If they are lucky enough to reach the Super Bowl he will be 34
and this
past season was worse than any of his previous three in every category.
Avery
is a nice deep threat as one of the fastest receivers in this draft. He
caught
91 passes in 13 games last year and shined brightly at his pro day.
61) Dallas – CB Tracy
Porter (Indiana)
If you want to win a Super Bowl against the likes of the Packers, Colts
and
Patriots it is a good idea to have enough players to cover their
receivers.
They parted with Nate Jones (Dolphins) and Jacques Reeves (Texans). The
Pac-Man
Jones acquisition is fine, but until I hear Goodell has reinstated him
they are
more likely to get production at corner out of Blinky, Pinky, Inky or Clyde next year. Porter had
6 interceptions
last year for the Hoosiers and averaged 22.8 yards per return after
getting his
hands on the ball. In 2005 he returned two of his picks 42 and 63 yards
and in
2004 brought one back for a touchdown so he can make some big plays.
62) New England – CB Charles
Godfrey (Iowa)
Asante Samuel and Randall Gay are gone while Ellis Hobbs is under fire
for
showing poorly in the playoffs. They have already gone bargain hunting
with
Jason Webster and Lewis Sanders while Fernando Bryant is a legitimate
starter
level addition. Godfrey has been working his way up the draft board and
they
figure to add someone in their first few picks.
63) NY Giants
– OLB Erin Henderson (Maryland)
Kawika Mitchell and Reggie Torbor both left, but Danny Clark was a nice
veteran
addition. Also, Gerris Wilkinson might have shown the team enough to
keep them
from making a day one addition. Another factor in this decision is the
pending
retirement of defensive end Michael Strahan. That will happen this year
or next
and likely triggers the move of Mathias Kiwanuka from linebacker back
to his
collegiate position defensive end
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