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In a cheap
attempt to increase web hits, I’m going to try to
include members of the neobrat pack, political figures, and popular
wastes of
time in all my future titles.
Believe it or
not, I’m on a rickety old school bus heading
from Duluth to Minneapolis. My flight to Minneapolis
was fogged in from Duluth,
so they
gave us the option of taking this bus to Minneapolis
in order to make our connections. That’s Duluth
for ya’. Anyway, since it’s a 2 ½
hour trip, I indulged
in a little fantasizing while dodging the chickens and pigs brought on
board by
the locals. Besides the fantasy where
there’s a terrorist on the bus and I save everyone by tying my shoe
laces
together and using my shoes as nun chucks , thus earning the adoration
of
Sandra Bulluck who happens to be sitting 5 rows back, there’s the one
about the
Steelers winning the Super Bowl.. Since I’m married and wouldn’t know
what to
do with an appreciative Sandra Bulluck, I of course began to wonder
what
happens after the Super Bowl. Let me
see…
(Cue
the Wavy Lines)
The Steelers
are running victoriously off the field in Arizona. Willie Parker is proclaiming he’s going to Disney
Land. To get here, the Steelers had won a hard
fought battle against the Patriots in the AFC championship game in
which Tom
Brady tore both ACL’s and rotator cuffs, and sustained several 3rd
degree turf burns on his face, becoming so disfigured that Giselle
dumped him
(hey it’s my fantasy). The refs
tried to give the Patriots the game by invoking the tuck rule after
every one
of the Patriots seven turnovers and even after two Steelers field
goals. The
Steelers then win the Super Bowl in a laugher against Seattle,
51-0. Holmgren of course
complained
that they would have won if they weren’t playing against the Steelers and
the refs. Now the real fun begins (and
I’m not talking about the pro bowl). There
are some intriguing
issues that will come up this offseason.
| Will the Patriots be able to
resign Randy Moss? This preseason,
there was a debate among the
media as to whether or not Randy Moss would fit in as a Patriot. 6 weeks into the season, I think we can put
that argument to rest. While Moss may
have cooled down after his sizzling start, he is still having one of
the
greatest starts to a season ever experienced by an NFL receiver. Through 6 games, he has 8 touchdowns and over
600 yards. This projects to 21
touchdowns and over 1600 yards over a full season.
The Patriots got him
for a 4th
round pick and are paying him a paltry 2 million dollars this season. Because he was signed for only one year, he
will be a free agent at the end of the season. Assuming
he finishes
with the above numbers, he will be one of the
hottest commodities ever to hit free agency. When
he joined the
Patriots, he took a huge pay cut, from around 9
million per year to 2 million. He did
this to revive his career and to possibly win a championship with the
Patriots. From what I’ve read, he loves
playing with Tom Brady, but does he love playing with him enough to
forgo
potentially 30-40 million dollars. With
such a monster year, and the upcoming increase in the salary cap, some
team
will surely offer him 10 million per year over 5 years, with a
guaranteed 30
million. |
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After
all, the Dolphins paid an
aging and ineffective Joey Porter a guaranteed 20 million last year. Would the Patriots be willing to part with
that kind of cash in order to keep him? I
doubt it. After splurging in
free agency to get Adalius Thomas and Donte Stallworth, then resigning
Ty
Warren, the Patriots will not have much cap space, especially with the
looming
free agency of Ben Watson, Vince Wilfork, and Asante Samuel again. The Patriots cannot afford to lose all those
players to keep Moss. The bigger
question right now is whether or not the Patriots need Moss. Donte Stallworth is good enough to be a
number one receiver and Wes Welker could be a great number 2. They drafted Chad Jackson in the second round
last year to be an impact receiver, but he has been hurt.
They also have Jabar Gaffney
and Troy Brown
when he comes back from the PUP. They
this could be a very good group of receivers, but the presence of Moss
makes
them much better. When they played the
Patriots, the Browns decided that they would not let Moss beat them, so
they
assigned extra defenders to guard Moss. The
extra attention paid to
Moss of course allowed Brady to take
advantage of Watson, Welker, and Stallworth who all benefited from
Moss’
presence. This however may not be enough
to convince Pioli and Belichick that they need Moss, especially at the
price he
will likely command.
Moss may give
the Patriots a hometown discount to stay with
Brady, but I doubt he’d sign for less than 7 million a season which the
Patriots
still could not afford. Brady could
decide to restructure his contract in order to resign his new favorite
receiver, but I doubt that the Patriots could free up enough to resign
him
simply by restructuring contracts.
The Patriots
may decide to franchise him. The going
rate for a franchise wide receiver
will probably be around 6 million per year, which the Patriots probably
could
absorb for one year. The problem with
franchising Moss is how he would feel about having his freedom
restricted. He is on record as saying he
plays hard only
when he wants to. If he is not happy
with his contract situation, he may not want to play hard.
Moss may take the Deion
Sanders route and
rent himself out as kind of a hired gun to any Super Bowl contenders.
That way,
he’d get the money and the championships. He
could be the final piece
to the puzzle in San Diego.
What will
the Patriots do with the first pick in the
draft? As I watched the Patriots
dismantle the Cowboys last night, I began to think I have never seen a
better
football team. The scary thing for the
rest of the NFL is that they will get better when Richard Seymour
returns from
the PUP and Lawrence Maroney gets healthy. The
really scary thing is
that this team could have the top pick in the
draft next year. San
Francisco traded their first round pick next
year to
the Patriots for the rights to draft Joe Staley. The
way they are playing this year, and with Alex
Smith still injured, there is a possibility
they could have the worst record in the league giving New
England
the first pick in the draft. Think about
that. The probable Super Bowl champion
could have the top pick in the draft. This
is unprecedented. The
nearest similar situation I can think of is the Dallas Cowboys. They went 11-3 in 1976, then lost their only
playoff game that year to the Rams. They
then traded up for the second pick in the 1977 draft to get Tony
Dorsett. The Patriots are so loaded, they
wouldn’t
even have a spot for another franchise type player, and they certainly
couldn’t
afford to pay JaMarcus Russell type money for a top pick.
The chances are that they’d
trade down for
two first rounders, and thumb their nose at Roger Goodell who attempted
to hurt
them by taking away their own first rounder. With
these picks, they could
draft the eventual replacements for
Bruschi, Vrabel.
To make this
even more bizarre, the Patriots’ probable
opponent in the Super Bowl could get the number two pick.
The Browns traded their pick
next year to the
Cowboys in order to draft Brady Quinn. Their
pathetic start to this
season had Cowboy fans dreaming of Darren
McFadden with a star on his helmet. The
Browns seem to have turned it around, though, while teams like the Rams
and
Dolphins are still looking for their first wins, so a top five pick is
not
likely.
Who will
win the Bill Cowher sweepstakes? I
heard Bill Cowher interviewed the other
night on Sirius NFL radio. He swore that
he would not be coaching in 2008. Steeler
fans had heard this
before. He swore he would not retire
after last season, but of course he did, so
I’m betting he coaches somewhere in 2008. I’ve
read rumors that he may
eventually end up in Washington where
Snyder could pay him the money he feels he deserves, Carolina near his
new
home, Cleveland where he began his NFL career as both a player and a
coach,
and Buffalo for some reason.
The idea that Pittsburgh’s
native son who
brought the Lombardi trophy home could end up in Cleveland would have
been abhorrent to most Steeler fans prior
to this
season, but Cowher has burned his bridges in Pittsburgh by picking
them, on
national TV, to finish third in the
division behind Cincinnati and Baltimore. I
think he will end up in San
Diego. Even though
the Chargers have played better
the past two weeks, they have yet to beat a team with a winning record
this
season. They will probably win the weak
AFC west division, but Norv Turner was not hired to get them to the
playoffs. Schottenheimer did that. Turner needs to get them to the Super Bowl,
and I don’t think he’s capable of getting that from this team. Cowher would be a great fit in San
Diego. They
play the aggressive type of
3-4 defense he
played in Pittsburgh. He would have the best running back and tight
end in the game, and, in Philip Rivers, he would have the quarterback
he really
wanted in the 2004 draft. Unlike his
mentor, Schottenheimer, he has shown he can take a team to the big game
and win
it. If Cowher shows any interest in the San
Diego job, the Spanos’ should jump at the
opportunity.
While on the
subject of coaches, I wonder if Marvin Lewis
will be coaching the Bengals next year. He
was hailed as the savior
when he arrived in Cincinnati
and brought them to an 8-8 record his first year. Since
then, he has had only one winning
season, amid much higher expectations. This
year, the team seems to
be imploding. They’ve lost games they
should be winning. While it’s not too late
to turn it around,
they probably need to get to the playoffs to save his job.
With the strong play of Pittsburgh,
Baltimore,
and even Cleveland
within the division, the Bengals’ best hope is for a wildcard spot, but
with
the surprising strength of teams in the AFC south this year as well as
in their
own division, a wildcard spot is unlikely.
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