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2009
NFL Draft - Cox Grading Himself
by Gregory
Cox
Senior Writer
5/1/09
Grading the draft is sometimes amusing. It’s as much of a guessing game
as mock drafting. The one thing I can truly judge is how well I did at
estimating what needs teams would address in the draft. So I did. The
average score I came up with was 86, or the equivalent of a B+.
ARIZONA CARDINALS
Pre-draft Picks (8): 31, 63, 95, 131, 167, 204, 240, 254* -
*-compensatory pick cannot be traded
Actual Picks: same
Linebacker – Bertrand Berry is going to be 34 when the season starts.
Coupled with his freshly signed one year contract even Inspector Gadget
could figure out this is it for him. Chike Okeafor just turned 33. He
might be best known for touring the NFC West. The Rams are the only
team he has yet to play for. Clark Haggans is 32 and injury prone.
Karlos Dansby is their rock and he is playing this season under the
franchise tag. At last report he has been quoted as saying long term
contract negotiations were “not close”. Combine these question marks
with new defensive coordinator Bill Davis’ desire to play a more
traditional 3-4 and this area will get some attention in the draft. The
emphasis will be on the outside.
DRAFT: Early pickup at #63 Cody Brown (Connecticut) is one of many
DE/LB hybrids from this draft and the Cards will use him at outside
linebacker.
Running Back – There has been no rush to cut Edgerrin James because the
team has no one better on hand. Everyone knows both parties would like
to move on even if “Edge” played a key role in their run to the
franchise’s first Super Bowl. Tim Hightower was given a chance as a
rookie. He proved to be nothing more than a touchdown vulture with 11
scores in 177 carries including the playoffs. His only two scoring
receptions came in playoff games. The bad news was a dreadful 2.8
average rush in the regular season. J.J. Arrington has been mostly a
kickoff return man since being taken in round two when Dennis Green was
giving great news conferences. The Cards need a true feature back
capable of carrying the football 15-25 times in any given game.
Somewhere in the first 100 picks they need to address this problem.
DRAFT: This was addressed at #31 with Ohio State’s Chris Wells who
dropped just a little because of a combination of teams not needing a
lead rusher and others considering him an injury risk. James was cut
which is an indication they figure to lean on Wells heavily as a rookie
paired with Tim Hightower. They also took Larod Stephens-Howling
(Pittsubrgh) at #240.
Cornerback – Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie’s stock shot up in the 2008
draft partially because of his name. Now the team has to hope the
comparisons to his cousin Antonio end because while both stood out as
rookies the Chargers are suddenly worried after what they saw in year
two. Bryant McFadden was signed from Pittsburgh which signifies an
upgrade on the depth chart over Eric Green who left for Miami. The
trouble here is depth. Roderick Hood was a starter before the McFadden
signing and still might be. If “DRC” can avoid his cousin’s sophomore
slump the team should be in better shape than season’s past, but given
how dreadful their pass defense has been in recent seasons someone will
be added on draft weekend.
DRAFT: The issue was depth and the addition was Greg Toler (St. Pauls)
at #131.
Tight End – In 2006 the team drafted Leonard Pope early in the third
round. His 48 receptions for 476 yards and 5 touchdowns since would
barely represent one productive season. In 42 games he has had enough
time to figure it out and obviously has not. He just signed a one year
contract. Stephen Spach was a nice reclamation project and his last
name provided color commentators something to talk about in the team’s
wild card win over Atlanta. Coming back from fixing his ACL casts doubt
over his development as their top receiving threat at the position. Ben
Patrick was retained and has been average (when healthy) as a seventh
round pick in 2007. Anthony Becht has been added on a one year deal and
coupled with Patrick should provide blocking options. It is debatable
how important this position need is given their propensity to spread
the ball around to wide receivers, but if the opportunity arises
certainly a pass catching threat has to be considered.
DRAFT: None
Offensive Line (interior) – Center Lyle Sendlein made a name for
himself in the playoffs, just not in the way he wanted. The image of
Kurt Warner tripping as he took the snap was repeated several times
including the Super Bowl. The team signed him, and also held onto guard
Elton Brown. However, these are not exactly vote of confidence deals
considered the terms were not even announced. Arizona has struggled
mightily to run the ball effectively. The middle of the offensive line
is what fuels the rushing game so the Cards should be looking for a
power guard and center in the draft.
DRAFT: Herman Johnson (LSU) was a massive pickup at #167 and should be
used at guard. Trevor Canfield (Cincinnati) at #254 is definitely a
guard.
Defensive Line – In consecutive drafts the team took tackles from
Michigan. Gabe Watson (fourth round, 2006) has held a spot on the depth
chart and signed a one year deal as a restricted free agent. Alan
Branch (second round, 2007) was considered a “steal” at the time.
However, he has barely seen the field with just 15 games played in two
seasons and is heading towards another cliché draft term – bust.
It is worth noting he appears to have seen the light where his weight
(roughly 343) is concerned and therefore might turn things around if he
can drop 15-20 pounds. Over at end Bryan Robinson joined the team this
season and was in the mix on the defensive line all season. He turns 34
in June. Antonio Smith bolted for the Houston Texans. Last year’s draft
produced Calais Campbell and Kenny Iwebema in the second and fourth
rounds respectively. Conventional wisdom leads me to believe that pair
is responsible for the Smith departure and inevitable Robinson decline.
However, teams running a 3-4 are constantly adding parts. I would
expect an interior addition to be considered in the middle rounds and
possibly an outside addition late or even after the draft (rookie free
agent).
DRAFT: Will Davis (Illinois) at #204 gave them another piece up front.
Quarterback – They signed Kurt Warner. Congratulations on keeping him
away from San Francisco where he clearly never wanted to be. The jury
is very much out on Matt Leinart and because of the Warner signing (two
years) his future might be in a different uniform. Career clipboard
holder Brian St. Pierre is their other option. It would be a savvy move
to bring in someone (late rounds) who can at the very least light a
fire under Leinart. Someone needs to figure out what while Warner is
playing out the string no one really knows if Leinart is a viable NFL
starter. Even if he is, a rookie addition would liven up the depth
chart.
DRAFT: None
Special Teams (returns) – Some of the needs discussed above will double
up as help on special teams early in their careers. The big question is
the return game. J.J. Arrington was their best kickoff return threat
(25.6 yard average) and nearly half of the team’s returns during the
regular season. He is gone to Denver. Steve Breaston was not as good
(20.2 average) while accounting for almost as many returns. His skills
were also used bringing back punts. All 33 punt returns in the regular
season were handled by Breaston. It’s fine to assume he will take on a
larger role in the return game, but the wild card is Anquan Boldin.
Arizona had three receivers over 1,000 yards. If Boldin exits via trade
as rumors continue to swirl then Breaston takes on a larger role as a
receiver as well. The man can only do so much. He returned 62 kickoffs
in 2007 and caught 77 passes in 2008. He will not be able to do both in
the same season. I expect the team to keep an eye out for a player
capable of helping return both kickoffs and punts.
DRAFT: None
Other players drafted:
Safety: Rashad Johnson (Alabama) #95
SUMMARY: The Cards added talent for 5 of the top 6 needs I listed. With
not a lot of picks to work with it was not surprising to see them avoid
tight end, quarterback and a return threat. While picking up two guards
to bolster the interior line they did not directly address center. The
secondary adding Johnson was a nice move considering he had been rated
a value in that spot late in the third round. GRADING MYSELF: 90
ATLANTA FALCONS
Pre-Draft Picks (7): 24, 55, 90, 125, 138, 143, 176
Actual picks (8): lost 143, added 156, 210
Linebacker (outside) – The signing of Mike Peterson, who to put it
mildly fell out of favor in Jacksonville, was the least they could do
at the position. Peterson turns 33 in June. His career peaked in 2005
and presumably he will be counted on for experience in the wake of
losing mainstay Keith Brooking. The unit also watched speedy free agent
Michael Boley sign with the Giants. Behind closed doors, even as
popular as Brooking was I’m not sure the team is losing sleep with
either departure. Nevertheless, an outside linebacker on both sides of
stud Curtis Lofton has to be viewed as a high priority in the draft.
DRAFT: After waiting deep into the proceedings finally Spencer Adkins
(Miami, FL) at #210 was added to their group of linebackers. He might
be best known as the only Hurricane taken, therefore extending the
streak for “The U” which dates back to 1975.
Tight End – In the Michael Vick years some people tried to cite the
team’s lack of star wide receivers as the reason his passing numbers
were poor. Breakout star rookie Matt Ryan has proven how ludicrous that
assertion was. Now there is a slightly different challenge. Even as
Ryan led this team to 11 wins and a playoff berth their trio of tight
ends combined to catch just 19 passes. According to guys who track
these things only 7% of their passes on the season were intended for a
tight end. Alge Crumpler where are you? Their 2001 draft pick amassed
over 4,000 yards receiving in seven seasons before exiting prior to
this past season. Let’s be nice and say Ben Hartsock did not exactly
fill that void with three receptions. This is now a glaring deficiency
in an offense with a lead rusher, confident quarterback and #1
receiver. Even without any production at the position their offense was
#6 in yards per game, but the lower ranking in scoring (#10) is an
indicator of being unable to cash in touchdowns. A receiving tight end
would help the cause.
DRAFT: After this went to “press” the Falcons traded for Kansas City’s
Tony Gonzalez.
Defensive Tackle – The Raiders drafted Grady Jackson way back in 1997
and Detroit will be the sixth NFL team he suits up for. He’s well
traveled and no spring chicken. Still, his presence will be missed on
the Falcons. Their run defense struggled in 2008 even with him back in
the fold after spending half the 2007 season with the Jaguars. The
$64,000 question is how effective Trey Lewis, a 2007 sixth round pick,
can be after missing 2008 completely with knee surgery. Jason Jefferson
has been signed for another season to take up space on the depth chart,
but honestly Jonathan Babineaux is the only integral piece at the
position. This is clearly a problem and could be addressed early
considering the stiffest competition in the NFC South comes from a
Carolina team with two effective running backs.
DRAFT: Mississippi’s Peria Jerry at #24 gave them a strong boost in
this area, and at #210 they took Vance Walker (Georgia Tech).
Offensive Line – One of the surprise picks in round 1 of the 2008 draft
was USC’s Sam Baker going #21. I was higher on him than most because he
anchored a Trojan line littered with talent. His rookie season was baby
steps and now he dives into the deep end of the pool because tackle
Todd Weiner has retired. Now Baker has to hold down the crucial left
tackle spot. Tenders were made to restricted free agents Tyson Clabo
(tackle) and Harvey Dahl (guard) to hold down the right side. At center
Todd McClure is now backed up by free agent signing Brett Romberg
(Rams). However, in a draft rich with centers look for them to make a
move. Depth at tackle needs to be considered late in the proceedings.
In 2008 the Falcons had the good fortune of keeping their line healthy.
Other needs are more pressing, but now that the franchise quarterback
is in place there should be a priority placed on protecting him.
DRAFT: The Falcons took Garrett Reynolds (North Carolina) at #156 which
was the late addition I anticipated at tackle.
Defensive Back – At strong safety Lawyer Milloy’s leadership and
production will be missed. The man has over 1,300 career tackles in 202
regular season games played. Father Time has caught up and last year’s
third round pick Thomas DeCoud (Cal) will be given every opportunity to
fill his spot. A little bit of insurance makes sense in the latter
portion of the draft. At cornerback Domonique Foxworth is gone after
just one season with the team. Chris Houston, Brent Grimes, Chevis
Jackson, Glenn Sharpe and David Irons are the youngsters trying to
solidify the position going forward. More than anything the unit lacks
experience and leadership which obviously cannot be obtained in the
draft. It is possible the team parts with a draft pick to obtain an
established player in the secondary.
DRAFT: William Moore (Missouri) at #55 helps their safety situation.
Christopher Owens (San Jose State) at #90 and William Middleton
(Furman) at #138 come in at cornerback.
Defensive End – Maybe right now Jamaal Anderson is just happy he is not
Jamal Anderson. That bad joke aside, the former #8 overall pick has
exactly two sacks in 31 appearances. They came in consecutive games
during October 2008. Let me remind the casual fan that this production
comes on the opposite end of the line from sack master John Abraham. If
Anderson is unable to thrive while offensive lines focus on Abraham
what does that say about his ability? The team smartly locked up
Chauncey Davis (4 years) which to me sends a signal Anderson is not
seen as a future force. Another signal will be when they spend a late
draft pick trying to gather more talent and perhaps a gem capable of
starting. This defense is being rebuilt.
DRAFT: Lawrence Sidbury (Richmond) at #125 is precisely the kind of
move I expected to spark Anderson.
SUMMARY: Throwing out the tight end I hit in every area, with a
½ miss because no center was added. Instead they hit cornerback
and defensive tackle twice. Considering every player they picked fit
into these needs I can live with it. GRADING
MYSELF: 96
BALTIMORE RAVENS
Pre-Draft Picks (6): 26, 57, 88, 123, 162, 198
Actual Picks (6): lost 26, 123, 162, 198 gained 23, 137, 149, 185
Wide Receiver – It was a great story. Joe Flacco led this team into the
playoffs as a rookie. No one seemed to notice he fell short of 3,000
passing yards or his pedestrian 14/12 touchdown to interception ratio.
Flacco is capable of more if the team can acquire a vertical threat.
Mark Clayton had a solid 17.0 average per reception, but caught only 41
passes. Derrick Mason has been their rock. Now he is reluctant to play
out the final year without a longer term tacked on by the team. This
exasperates an already dire situation at the position. Demetrius
Williams is considered a factor on the depth chart. He has caught just
33 passes over the past two seasons and appeared in only half the
team’s games. Baltimore has to look at this problem early in the draft
and possibly even add more than one player before the weekend is over.
Another factor to consider is that along with Mason both Clayton and
Williams are in the final year of their contract.
DRAFT: None
Cornerback – Mainstay Chris McAlister was a cap casualty after missing
basically half the team’s games each of the past two seasons. Corey Ivy
signed with Cleveland so Domonique Foxworth was given a fat free agent
deal to stop the bleeding. Chris Carr (Titans) is another depth chart
addition although his presence will be felt much more returning
kickoffs. Injuries caught up to them in a big way last season and now
the challenge is to find starter talent worthy of filling the shoes of
McAlister. I am not buying Fabian Washington starting on one side and
Foxworth on the other. Samari Rolle is locked down for four years after
being cut. He’ll be 33 by the time this season begins so this is really
a move to insure some sense of continuity. Rolle will never see the end
of that deal and no longer has what it takes to start.
DRAFT: Ladarius Webb (Nicholls State) at #88 might not be a household
name, but Ozzie Newsome paid attention to this need.
Defensive End – This is just about it for Trevor Pryce. He has 83
½ sacks in what has been a great career, the last three seasons
of which have been with the Ravens. At 34 this August he is very likely
done after the 2009 campaign. Marques Douglas returned to the team in
2008 after three years with the 49ers. After a season without a sack,
he was released. There is a need to get a push up front off the edge
and no one in the fold to fit that role effectively.
DRAFT: We will see exactly how #57 pick Paul Kruger (Utah) will be
used, but he was an end in college and might see time in that spot.
Center / Right Tackle – When Jason Brown left and Matt Birk was signed
the Ravens got essentially 7 years older at the center position. Did
Birk learn about playing deep into his 30’s at Harvard? If not the team
has to be fishing for his successor. Having to retain Ray Lewis and tag
Terrell Suggs at linebacker certainly cost them a more appealing
future. Over at right tackle they might be interested in upgrading
Willie Anderson. Last year’s third round pick Oniel Cousins has to be
given a chance to develop unless they are already convinced he is not a
potential answer. Normally his presence and their lack of current picks
(6) would mean this is not a big issue in the draft. However, if they
are able to trade down at some point and add a selection it is likely
for them to dip into this deep tackle class.
DRAFT: When tackle Michael Oher (Mississippi) was within striking
distance they got to #23 and took him.
Kicker – It is definitely the end of an era saying goodbye to Matt
Stover. He actually spent five seasons with the franchise before their
move to Baltimore. The stories he could tell. On the field, however, he
has made just one field goal from 50+ yards during the past four
seasons. Being accurate from inside of 40 yards, which Stover
absolutely was, can be a good thing. At some point it is just not
enough. Steven Hauschka is already on the roster as a long range option
and while the draft is not rich with talent at the position it makes
sense to find someone to compete with him.
DRAFT: None
Tight End – This is a strange one. Todd Heap had a great run from
2002-2006. Then he suffered through an injury shortened season and when
Cam Cameron took over the offense failed to fit in. One indicator of
the team’s desire to pursue other options was giving a one year deal to
L.J. Smith (Philadelphia). Heap just turned 29 and has plenty of life
left in his career. It remains to be seen if he finishes up with the
Ravens or somewhere else. A blocking option is another part of the
equation given the team’s strong running game. Their best case scenario
would be a strong blocker capable of picking up around 20-30 receptions
per season.
DRAFT: At #149 Davon Drew (East Carolina) fit into their plans.
Other players drafted:
Linebacker: Jason Phillips (TCU)
Running Back: Cedric Peerman (Virginia)
SUMMARY: The Ravens were serious about liking their receivers, and must
like Hauschka at kicker although considering they had no seventh round
pick it is not surprising to see them not make an addition there.
Adding another running back after three players all had 107+ carries
was interesting. I’m not sure why I failed to list linebacker as a need
out of habit given they run a 3-4 and they got a nice value in
Phillips. GRADING MYSELF: 77
BUFFALO BILLS
Pre-Draft Picks (9): 11, 28, 42, 75, 110, 121, 147, 183, 220
Actual Picks (8): lost 75, 110 gained 51
Offensive Line – If this line does not get their stuff together new
wide receiver Terrell Owens will turn radioactive running routes as
Trent Edwards is throwing the ball away. The latest news is their
disgruntled left tackle Jason Peters being traded to Philadelphia.
Starting left guard Derrick Dockery was released after two seasons.
Seth McKinney (Browns) has been signed to compete for that starting
spot and also has experience at center where he spent his collegiate
years. That could come in handy. Center Melvin Fowler was beaten out by
Duke Preston during the season. Now both are gone and Geoff Hangartner
(Panthers) was signed to start. Cal’s Marvin Philip, a former sixth
round pick by the Steelers, is the backup. The shuffling inside seems
to be enough of an upgrade although a late addition at guard would not
be surprising. The bigger issue is at tackle. Langston Walker is not
exactly a standout starting on the right side. It appears they will
need to grab a left tackle prospect in the first round and take another
shot later looking for a backup.
DRAFT: It was not the conventional way to go about it, but the Bills
certainly gave this area attention when center/guard Eric Wood
(Louisville) was taken #28 and guard/tackle Andy Levitre (Oregon State)
got the call at #51
Defensive End – Fans certainly view this as a dire need and the
statistics back them up. There are two issues I see beyond the obvious
lack of a pass rush. Can Aaron Schobel recover from his foot injury?
How much of an impact is last year’s third round pick Chris Ellis going
to make? The team might feel differently than fans and analysts
projecting not only an early addition, but a first round pick. Because
the team runs a 4-3 defense some of the top rookies will not fit into
their plans. It is going to be interesting to see how the Bills attack
this problem, but indisputably their pass rush is sorely lacking.
DRAFT: Everyone knew this was a top priority and Penn State’s Aaron
Maybin was the choice at #11.
Outside Linebacker (weak) – Angelo Crowell spurned the Bills to sign
with the Bucs after missing 2008 with chronic knee problems. The good
news is that Paul Posluszny put up 110 tackles in the middle after
playing only three games as a rookie in 2007. Kawika Mitchell did his
job on the strong side despite playing for his third team in as many
seasons. For now Keith Ellison is the weak side starter. It would be
smart business to draft someone to press him for that honor. Even
better would be selecting a player capable of filling more than one
role just in case the injury bug strikes one of the other starters.
DRAFT: Although he mostly played safety in college Oklahoma’s Nic
Harris at #147 was probably added as a linebacker.
Tight End – Robert Royal was third on the team with 351 yards
receiving. He was released and picked up by Cleveland. The arrival of
T.O. at wide receiver should push a lot of passes outside to a suddenly
solid group of players – at least on paper. Therefore I’m not even sure
the team cares if Derek Fine goes into the season as their #1 at the
position. As a rookie taken with a supplementary fourth round pick out
of Kansas he caught 10 passes. I am not suggesting he is the next big
star of the league, but when the offense is spreading the ball to
Owens, Evans, Reed and possibly a healthy Hardy how important is a
receiving tight end? There is a chance the Bills are not as anxious as
most assume they are to jump on this position early. If a player
capable of blocking and receiving well enough to be on the field for a
lot of plays is on the board when they pick certainly the war room will
discuss it. Otherwise, the priority might shift down to the later
rounds or even not at all.
DRAFT: Shawn Nelson (Southern Miss) was the choice at #121.
Defensive Tackle – Picking up Marcus Stroud (Jaguars) paid dividends in
2008 and he has just signed a two year extension. Trying to dump first
round bust John McCargo off on the Colts was a good idea too. Obviously
the failed trade illustrates he is not exactly considered a future
star. The run defense has been below average the past four seasons. At
the very least their rotation needs a boost because allowing well over
4 yards per carry year after year does not work. If someone crosses
their path in the draft capable of pairing with Stroud this might be a
surprise pick fairly early. Establishing better play on the interior of
the defensive line certainly will help the cause of pressuring the
passer on the outside.
DRAFT: None
Running Back – This was not a consideration until Marshawn Lynch joined
a growing group of players expected to be disciplined by Roger Goodell
for various transgressions. I have this strange vision of Goodell’s
office and players waiting outside in a long line. It’s like grammar
school all over again and he is the principal. Lynch’s suspension (just
announced at 3 games) opened the door for backfield mate Fred Jackson
to complain about his low salary. Overpaying him makes no sense, but he
has at least a little bit of leverage thanks to Lynch. The team’s
response to this drama could be selecting a running back late in the
draft or signing a rookie free agent. Another wise alternative would be
drafting a relatively sleek fullback capable of carrying the rock
occasionally. I recognize the team signed veteran Dominic Rhodes
recently, but he is 30 and over the past four seasons has averaged just
3.52 yards per carry. If a better option is around late in the draft
the team might strike and later cut Rhodes.
DRAFT: None
Other players drafted:
Cornerback/Free Safety: Jairus Byrd (Oregon) #42
Cornerback: Cary Harris (USC) #183
Cornerback: Ellis Lankster (West Virginia) #220
SUMMARY: Buffalo went after my top 4 needs. Given their youth in the
secondary it was a bit strange to see them take three players on that
line of defense and not add a single defensive tackle, but it speaks to
off the field issues of players on their roster. Speaking of which, at
running back they apparently feel comfortable with Rhodes holding down
the fort while Lynch serves his suspension in the unlikely event
Jackson is a holdout. GRADING MYSELF:
89
CAROLINA PANTHERS
Picks (5): 59, 93, 128, 163, 202
Picks (7): lost 202, gained 43, 111, 216
Defensive Tackle – Maake Kemoeatu and Damione Lewis could use some
help. Both have crossed the age of 30 which is not considered too old
to play the position, but where is their relief? The loss of Kris
Jenkins was definitely felt and his “replacement” Darwin Walker was
inactive for the playoff loss. Getting rolled over by Arizona exposed
their front line as extremely thin when it matters most. Something has
to be done. They gave up 4.4 yards rushing per carry in the regular
season.
DRAFT: The Panthers nabbed Corvey Irvin (Georgia) at #93.
Defensive End – Julius Peppers caught the “contract year” bug and set a
career high with 14 ½ sacks one season after registering a
career low 2 ½. Now he wants to get paid and there is
considerable drama surrounding his franchise tag status. If the team
can find a trading partner willing to give up similar compensation to
last year’s Jared Allen deal then Peppers is gone and the priority goes
up. Otherwise the need turns into insurance against running into this
same problem after the 2009 campaign. In Tyler Brayton’s first season
with the team he had almost as many sacks (4 ½) as his five full
seasons in Oakland (6). His value is in showing up for work every day
having missed just two games as a pro. Charles Johnson and Hilee Taylor
represent the youth. Let me summarize this. Without Peppers this pass
rush is sunk. Even with him the Panthers would be wise to select
someone else to groom, preferably a speed edge rusher as if those
really grow on trees.
DRAFT: For better or worse Florida State’s Everette Brown was their
choice at #43, costing them a first round pick in 2010.
Offensive Line – Let’s face it everyone is looking for depth on the
offensive line. Any analyst could write this down as a team need and
call it a day. In the case of the Panthers it is a little more than
that. Their line was ravaged in free agency as a trio of backups left
the building in the span of a few days. Worse yet, two of those players
offered invaluable versatility. Jeremy Bridges was cut (off the field
issues) and Geoff Hangartner signed with the Bills. They were both
capable of playing guard or center. It was huge retaining Jordan Gross
at left tackle of course because last year’s rookie Jeff Otah is a
keeper on the other side. Their starting five is fine, but any
significant injury would turn their block of Cheddar cheese into Swiss
in a hurry if you catch my drift. Anywhere in the draft they feel like
an addition fits their system you can expect the Panthers to strike for
depth.
DRAFT: When his stock slipped Carolina snatched up guard Duke Robinson
(Oklahoma) at #163.
Wide Receiver – The return of Muhsin Muhammad was a great boost.
Amazingly his 2008 stat line reads almost identical to the production
he put up in 1998 which was his breakout third season in the NFL. He
does turn 36 shortly after the draft and years of history indicate the
end will be near. Muhammad is a rare talent in that he can catch his
60+ passes while contributing his blocking skills to the running game.
In terms of straight receiving production the team is trying to pump up
Dwayne Jarrett. This will be his third season which is typically when
the proverbial light bulb goes on, but with 16 receptions while playing
basically half the time in years one and two it is just talk until
proven otherwise. Dante Rosario was third on the team with 209 yards
receiving. Steve Smith has done that in a single game before. D.J.
Hackett was a bust and is out after his first season with the team. The
offensive philosophy is clearly centered on the running game, but they
must take a shot now at another receiving option.
DRAFT: None
Cornerback – Ken Lucas will not be around for Steve Smith to fight
with, which can only lead to improved chemistry in practice right?
Anyone can see why the move was made. Richard Marshall is younger and
cheaper. He will move into the starting lineup. C.J. Wilson is now the
primary backup and at this position in a pass-happy NFL it is really
unfair to even use the word “backup” given how much a nickel corner
gets on the field. The Panthers will definitely be sniffing around for
more depth.
DRAFT: On their final pick the Panthers sought depth by taking Captain
Munnerlyn (South Carolina) at #216.
Quarterback – I am adding this as a need because I personally feel it
is. The team might disagree. For me it is much more than Jake Delhomme
going color blind in the playoff loss. He has never really recovered
from shoulder surgery for one thing. The running game took away the
need for him to pass much this season. However, he threw just 15
touchdown passes and completed a pedestrian 59.4% of his throws. If
they do not add a quarterback now, he will be 40 when they are
pondering an addition in the 2010 draft. Josh McCown and his career
71.6 quarterback rating as a journeyman provide no comfort if Delhomme
fizzles out. Matt Moore was able to win two of three starts at the end
of the 2007 season, but does not have the look of a franchise player
even on a team heavily invested in the run. If they are able to move
Julius Peppers to increase their chip stack then this position might be
addressed late. If not the Panthers will likely go searching in the
priority free agent market.
DRAFT: None
Other players drafted:
Safety: Sherrod Martin (Troy) #59
Running Back: Mike Goodson (Texas A&M) #111
Fullback: Tony Fiammetta (Syracuse) #128
SUMMARY: Rather than grabbing a developmental quarterback or reloading
the wide receiver position the Panthers stuck with what has worked by
adding another rusher and blocker to the backfield. I can’t argue with
this strategy, but seriously question the logic of depending on
Delhomme at quarterback. It’s not just the playoff meltdown. Did anyone
watch him play in Oakland? GRADING
MYSELF: 79
CHICAGO BEARS
Pre-Draft Picks (8): 49, 99*, 119, 140, 154, 190, 246*,
251* *-compensatory picks cannot be traded
Actual Picks (9): lost 49 gained 68, 105
Wide Receiver – Now that a quarterback who can sling the ball is in
place there can be a renewed emphasis on quality receiving options. It
is no wonder the offense struggled considering converted
cornerback/return man Devin Hester led the team with 665 yards
receiving. Tight end Greg Olsen had a good second season and rookie
rusher Matt Forte accounted for over 1,700 total yards. Having talent
in those spots is helpful, but it is difficult to draft a receiver who
will make an impact as a rookie. Perhaps being reunited with Jay Cutler
will spark Earl Bennett who had a horrible first season. Then again,
the team thought bringing Marty Booker back to the Windy City would
work out. After one season he has been released. The words early and
often come to mind.
DRAFT: It was no secret they had to give new franchise quarterback Jay
Cutler options. They took three. Juaquin Iglesias (Oklahoma) at #99,
Johnny Knox (Abilene Christian) at #140 and Derek Kinder (Pittsburgh)
at #251 were the selections.
Cornerback – Nathan Vasher has only played a dozen games in two seasons
since the Bears lost Super Bowl XLI. He certainly has not lived up to
his current contract. Zackary Bowman might develop into a steal after
being taken in the fifth round last April. He is one of a handful fifth
round or later picks from the past two drafts on the depth chart.
Generally there is a reason teams pass on these guys. It might be time
to seek out someone a little earlier in the proceedings who can nail
down the nickel spot and eventually slide into the starting lineup. By
the way, the Bears gave up 3,859 yards passing last year.
DRAFT: The Bears did not wait too long to shore up this spot, taking
Vanderbilt’s D.J. Moore at #119.
Defensive End – Fresh off steering the first ever team to go 0-16 Rod
Marinelli is charged with fixing the defensive line and it starts with
the pass rush. Their failures in pass defense can be blamed in part on
a low sack total (28). There are capable players on hand including
Adewale Ogunleye, Alex Brown and Mark Anderson. The trouble is that
this group has not produced and is generally in decline. Someone needs
to come in and put a charge into the rotation.
DRAFT: I’m considering Gilbert a tackle and early indications are that
the team agrees. However, Henry Melton (Texas) at #105 is going to play
end.
Linebacker (strong) – Even after the historic Jay Cutler trade Brian
Urlacher remains the face of this franchise. He is coming off a down
season, the first full campaign of his career south of 100 total
tackles. Lance Briggs is chugging along nicely on the weak side. The
issue is their third starter Nick Roach. He took over for Hunter
Hillenmeyer whose new claim to fame is hailing from Cutler’s old
college (Vanderbilt) or no one would mention his name these days. Roach
might turn into a solid contributor or he might not be up to the task.
Either way it makes sense for the Bears to draft someone who can be on
his heels in practice trying to take his starting spot.
DRAFT: They went relatively local with Ohio State’s Marcus Freeman at
#154.
Offensive Tackle – I am adding this because experience has taught me
that adding an aging veteran is often chased by a late round draft
pick. Orlando Pace turns 34 during the season and while he helps
replace John St. Clair (Browns) what happens if he is injured? Suddenly
it becomes imperative that last year’s barely used first round pick
Chris Williams is healthy. The plan is to use him at right tackle. In a
disaster scenario Pace and Williams are both hurt. What then? Kevin
Schaffer (Browns) and Frank Omiyale (Panthers) were also added, but
this is a lot of turnover. With turnover there is also much uncertainty
and the more the merrier when it comes to competing for starting jobs.
A late addition seems in order as they focus on keeping Cutler
protected.
DRAFT: First of all, I am not trying to force “credit” with this. At
#246 Lance Louis (San Diego State) was taken. He started 11 games at
tackle which is why I put him here. The Bears are looking to move him
to tight end and he was previously a guard in college. Technically this
is a “miss”, but he might provide tackle insurance in a pinch which was
what I was projecting anyway.
Other players drafted:
Defensive tackle: Jarron Gilbert (San Jose State) #68
Safety: Al Afalava (Oregon State) #190
SUMMARY: When a team goes after the top need 3 times I can overlook the
position debate regarding Louis. They took another defensive lineman
and another defensive back, which were levels of defense I listed as
needs. GRADING MYSELF: 96
CINCINNATI BENGALS
Pre-Draft Picks (11): 6, 38, 70, 98*, 106, 142, 179, 209*, 215, 249*,
252* *-compensatory picks cannot be traded
Actual Picks: same
Offensive Line – At tackle Stacy Andrews is off to play next to his
brother with the Eagles while Levi Jones has trouble staying healthy.
Last year’s fourth round pick Anthony Collins is in the mix, but this
already thin offensive line gave up 51 sacks last season. If play in
the trenches is an indicator of success take note of the Bengals being
-34 in the sack department while going 4-11-1. It was by far the
biggest disparity in the NFL. Improving the talent at tackle is the
first priority and adding a center is close behind because failed
starter Eric Ghiaciuc is out.
DRAFT: Straight away the Bengals made their move and took Alabama’s
Andre Smith at #6. They added their center with Jonathan Luigs
(Arkansas) at #106.
Defensive End – Losing Justin Smith following the 2007 season was
immediately reflected in a dismal sack total (17) and more than that
there was no pressure on opposing quarterbacks. The key players on hand
have a few years under their belt, but none are making an impact worth
talking about. It is somewhat deceiving to look at their overall
defensive ranking (#12, 325.5 yards/game) because they were dead last
on offense in scoring and yardage. Teams didn’t need to pile up a lot
of yards against them to win. Someone capable of sacking the
quarterback would be helpful. On the interior their starting tackles
Domata Peko and Pat Sims gained some support with the signing of Tank
Johnson. If that trio can plug up the rushing lanes it will make it
easier for a pass rushing end to thrive.
DRAFT: No one doubts #70 overall pick Michael Johnson (Georgia Tech)
from a potential standpoint.
Running Back – It is ironic to think that former #4 overall pick Cedric
Benson is coming off his most productive NFL season. After three
disappointing years in Chicago he set new highs in rushes (214) and
yards (747). Most of his damage came in December against disinterested
opposition. Still, he was given a two year contract and is clearly the
team’s best option. Chris Perry pretty much secured his status as a
bust by averaging 2.6 yards per carry although on the plus side he did
score the first two rushing touchdowns of his career. I’m thinking the
team was counting on a little more than 1,080 total yards in 35 games
for a player they selected in the first round of the 2004 draft. Most
teams have multiple backs to apply pressure on the opposing defense.
The Bengals need to secure an impact player to pair with Benson.
DRAFT: Signing Gary Russell (Steelers) was only a short term deal as he
was cut after the draft. They added talented and troubled Bernard Scott
(Abilene Christian) at #209.
Middle Linebacker – Dhani Jones is quite a character. He definitely has
a career in television when he hangs up the cleats. At 31 he can
certainly still be productive, but no one is going to confuse him with
Ray Lewis. Keith Rivers returns to the fold outside after missing half
of his rookie season. I chalk this up to a weird curse affecting any
linebacker the Bengals pick. They have to keep trying and a dominant
man in the middle would go a long way towards making this defense
respectable for the first time in a long time.
DRAFT: When Rey Maualuga (USC) was there at #38 they might have thought
they were dreaming.
Tight End – After being signed away from the Colts Ben Utecht was not
productive. Reggie Kelly is 32 and nearing the end of an
extraordinarily average yet lengthy NFL career. Changes are in the
works at the wide receiver position and Carson Palmer returning healthy
definitely impacts the passing game. Finding an impact tight end would
give Palmer someone to lean on in the red zone. Kelly has 3 touchdown
receptions in 6 seasons with the team. Utecht has taken 51 career games
to haul in his 3 scores. Considering their bounty of picks they are
bound to draft someone who can thrive in scoring range.
DRAFT: Another high need they gave attention to early in the form of
Missouri’s Chase Coffman at #98.
Fullback – Their offense has really fallen off the map. It was not long
ago the team could score 4 touchdowns without breaking a sweat and lose
35-31. Now they are struggling to keep the chains moving at all. The
running game needs a blocking back. Someone who can do the dirty work
certainly will be considered late in the draft. This is not a strong
crop at the position.
DRAFT: It was almost a foregone conclusion they would select Fui
Vakapuna (BYU) according to our own Michael Abromowitz, and sure enough
they took him at #215.
Punt Returner – There are bigger fish to fry for sure, but the Bengals
have some picks to work with. Antonio Chatman only gave them 7.5 yards
per return on his 21 efforts. On a team dead last in scoring and
yardage this could not have come at a worse time. T.J. Houshmandzadeh
returned 8 punts and is no longer an option having signed with Seattle.
Cornerback Leon Hall was a bit of an experiment (3 returns) but is not
exactly Devin Hester. There are certainly athletic players on the
roster who might try their hand. However, an experienced punt return
threat could be targeted.
DRAFT: None
Wide Receiver – This only becomes a need if the player currently
wearing #85 is in fact traded which seems unlikely. He has gone as far
as letting former professional and collegiate teammate Houshmandzadeh
complain for him on NFL Network. Laveranues Coles (Jets) was added to
ostensibly replace the guy with the long name who signed with Seattle,
but he is obviously a much different player. Jerome Simpson and Andre
Caldwell were top 100 picks last year who should be allowed time to
develop. However, Chris Henry is always a risk to draw a lifetime
suspension for doing something off the field. If Chad is dealt Henry’s
220 receiving yards will lead all returning players.
DRAFT: Freddie Brown (Utah) was taken at #252.
Other players drafted:
Punter: Kevin Huber (Cincinnati)
Cornerback: Morgan Trent (Michigan)
SUMMARY: The only thing missing from this draft was someone to return
punts, but the Bengals addressed the other side of that equation with a
top shelf punter. GRADING MYSELF: 98
CLEVELAND BROWNS
Pre-Draft Picks (5): 5, 36, 50, 104, 177
Actual Picks (8): lost 5, gained 21, 52, 191, 195
Linebacker – Willie McGinest is a pen stroke away from retirement.
Andra Davis has left for Denver. Others have also departed including
Antwan Peek (released) and the “big” addition is Eric Barton. He is a
solid veteran, but turns 32 early this season and is more of a
supporting character in this movie. Kamerion Wimbley was supposed to be
a star when they drafted him #13 overall in 2006. He responded with 11
sacks as a rookie, but that production has dropped to 9 in two seasons
since. The other linebacker taken in that draft, D’Qwell Jackson, is
coming off a rather tiring 154 tackle performance so at least the team
can count on him. Beau Bell and Titus Brown have spots on the depth
chart after their rookie seasons, while new coach Eric Mangini has
spoken well of another rookie Alex Hall . Summing this up, the pass
rush is just a shade up from calling out “one alligator, two alligator”
in a game of street ball. Someone to really get after the passer on the
outside is going to be sought early in the draft. Inside they can
probably get by hoping Barton still has some tackles left and Bell can
get healthy. There is definitely youth, but while fans tend to talk
about “potential” when clamoring for another position to be addressed
the teams must improve the roster constantly.
DRAFT: He was overlooked in a loaded Trojan defense, but Kaluka Maiava
(USC) was taken at #104 to address this need.
Running Back – Scout’s honor this is a true story. Early in last year’s
mock draft season I had projected Steve Slaton to the Browns in the
third round prior to the team trading away the pick. I received an
angry email from a fan clamoring about Jamal Lewis coming off a big
season and already having a Slaton type in the form of Jerome Harrison.
Sometimes it takes a year of reflection for people to realize I am
right. Think ahead people. Lewis has returned to his dismal 3.6 yards
and a cloud of his breath panting for a break. He will turn 30 just
prior to the opener, which is historically the beginning of the end.
Harrison managed two big runs last year (72, 33) and on his other 32
carries totaled 141 yards. You can do the math on that average. This is
another great draft at the running back position and because so many
teams landed a quality player last year (like, uh, Slaton) there should
be an opportunity for the Browns to be a bit patient while filling
their need.
DRAFT: I’m not getting too much into picks I like/dislike, but it’s
hard not to get behind adding Clemson’s James Davis at #195.
Cornerback/Safety – The team parted ways with aging Terry Cousin and
ineffective Travis Daniels. In free agency Corey Ivy (Ravens) and Hank
Poteat (Jets) were signed to one year deals. Both will be 32 when the
season kicks off and obviously do not represent long term options on
the depth chart. Teams more or less ran over this defense in 2008 which
masked their lack of talent in the secondary. There are also problems
at free safety where Mike Adams starting is not the most appealing
option. At strong safety Sean Jones (Eagles) exited after starting in
2008. One strategy could be drafting an impact cornerback and sliding
Brandon McDonald over to safety. Then there is the issue of talent at
strong safety. This team mortgaged too much of their future by trading
away 2008 draft picks and now needs to stockpile more selections. If
they do, some of these issues can be addressed. If not, they will be
going bargain hunting after the draft (priority free agents) and when
the June cuts are made.
DRAFT: They took small school prospect Don Carey (Norfolk State) at
#177 and Coye Francies (San Jose State) at #191. As for safety, Abram
Elam (Jets) was part of the deal that helped Sanchez land in the Big
Apple.
Wide Receiver – It is worth noting that I have not forgotten the team
traded away receiving tight end Kellen Winslow. Adding Robert Royal
(Bills) and counting on last year’s second round pick Martin Rucker
seems to be the game plan there. The bigger issue is outside at wide
receiver. Braylon Edwards is the subject of trade rumors and at odds
with the team and fans. It appears he is going to be dealt to the
Giants on draft day for a couple of picks and a player to fill up the
depth chart. Disappointing free agent Donte’ Stallworth caught only 10
passes in 2008 and now has a legal matter hanging over his head. Adding
David Patten screams desperation considering he turns 35 in August.
Paul Hubbard at least has potential if healthy. It might be time to get
return specialist Joshua Cribbs more into the mix although he has
caught just 16 passes in four seasons. Currently he is utilized mostly
as a rusher for the quarterback spot in the “Wildcat” formation. There
is also buzz about him moving to defense (safety) which shows how
starved this team is for talent. Back to our story, the situation at
wide receiver is pretty dire at the moment, especially considering the
team is unsettled at quarterback.
DRAFT: I can’t resist mentioning that #36 pick Brian Robiskie (Ohio
State) will never say the fans are against him because he went to a
“rival” college. The pick was followed up at #50 with the addition of
Mohamed Massaquoi (Georgia).
Quarterback – By the time this is read it is possible the depth chart
for the Browns will be changed at the quarterback position because the
new regime is allegedly not sold on the current duo. In 2007 Derek
Anderson exploded onto the scene in week 2 with five touchdown passes
during a memorable 51-45 win over rival Cincinnati. He kept it up all
season with 3,787 passing yards and 29 scoring strikes. His success
kept then rookie Brady Quinn, a first round pick, on the sidelines. As
2008 began with high expectations Anderson had nine starts throwing 24+
pass attempts and just six of those produced more than 166 yards
passing. An injury mercifully ended his season. Quinn had a short stint
spanning 2 ½ games before also landing on injured reserve.
Rumors swirled about him before Jay Cutler was traded from Denver to
Chicago. In fact, some believe Quinn (or Anderson) might still be
shipped. The fact is their passing game was #31 out of 32 teams and
when a new coach comes in a new quarterback typically follows.
DRAFT: Keiwan Ratliff (Jets) was acquired in a trade on draft day.
Offensive Line – Even while the passing offense crashed and burned this
line gave up just 24 sacks. John St. Clair (Bears) being signed to play
right tackle addresses the main weakness. Other than the left side,
anchored by Joe Thomas, age is a concern. Young, Shaffer and McKinney
all exited and their other addition was another veteran Floyd Womack.
It is always wise to add youth for an aging offensive line. Best case
scenario the team finds a future starting right tackle. At the very
least a versatile type capable of backing up at guard and tackle would
be good.
DRAFT: The Browns surprised at #21 and landed a future star with center
Alex Mack (Cal).
Defensive Line – I know this appears like lazy analysis citing both
lines late, but stay with me. The centerpiece to their 3-4, nose tackle
Shaun Rogers, is complaining about wanting out. At this time last year
Ahytba Rubin (Iowa State) was considered a good fit for the spot while
and the Browns grabbed him in the sixth round. Obviously he is not
going to step into the shoes of Rogers if he is traded, but a player to
compete with him in that role surely will be sought in the event a
trade materializes. At end pick either Smith, Robaire or Shaun, to be
dumped off the depth chart. A 3-4 can be tough to find talent for in
the draft, but the Browns might be looking for three additions
(including rush linebacker) when all is said and done.
DRAFT: David Veikune (Hawaii) was added at #52 to play end, and Kenyon
Coleman (Jets) was acquired via trade.
SUMMARY: I listed way more needs than they had picks, and the team
responded by attacking every area save nose tackle. I can’t go
perfection, but this was pretty close. GRADING
MYSELF: 99
DALLAS COWBOYS
Pre-Draft Picks (11): 51, 69, 101, 117, 156, 166, 172*, 197, 208*, 210,
227 *-compensatory picks cannot be traded
Actual Picks (12): lost 51, 117, 156, 210 gained 75, 110, 120, 143, 229
Wide Receiver – Losing a #1 like Terrell Owens is going to force a
change in your offense. Roy Williams has only been over 850 yards in a
season once in his five year career. Owens went 936+ in 10 of his past
12 campaigns. Assuming Williams and his two touchdown receptions during
his past 15 games played will slide into the featured role easily is a
dangerous assumption to say the least. The better strategy is shifting
the emphasis to the running game and continuing to utilize star tight
end Jason Witten, who oh by the way led the team in receptions (81)
last year. If that is the plan I can get behind it and will accept
Dallas waiting for the right wide receiver to fill up their depth
chart. There is simply no way to replace T.O. in terms of his touchdown
production in this draft. Trying to do that is futile. However, at some
point a player needs to be added to supplement Miles Austin and Patrick
Crayton behind Williams.
DRAFT: Maybe the Cowboys didn’t like this rookie class because they
waited until their final choice to select Oklahoma’s Manuel Johnson at
#229.
Secondary – I am clumping cornerback and free safety here for good
reason. At cornerback Anthony Henry was traded to Detroit. His spot
will be filled by committee at first. Obviously last year’s first round
pick Mike Jenkins is the guy they want starting although fifth round
gem Orlando Scandrick is also a factor. Teams are certainly going to
steer the action away from Terence Newman on the other side. The best
strategy here is probably a veteran in case the development of last
year’s rookie duo sputters. Their next problem is safety. Roy Williams
has been cut which solves the problem of having two players with the
same name on the same team. Keith Davis is still loitering in free
agency. Gerald Sensabaugh (Jaguars) was a good addition on a one year
deal to play the strong spot, but this group is thin on talent. In the
draft I could see them targeting a corner/safety ‘tweener. Someone who
for the moment is able to get on the field in nickel or dime situations
and eventually find a home would be ideal, with an emphasis on safety.
Look for the Cowboys to hit this area more than once because a hard
hitting strong safety, given their large stack of picks, is a strong
possibility.
DRAFT: DeAngelo Smith (Cincinnati) at #143 is a corner and return
threat while #227 selection Mike Mickens (Cincinnati) is another pickup
at corner. Their #166 pick Michael Hamlin (Clemson) helps at free
safety while Stephen Hodge (TCU) is an addition on the strong side at
#197.
Linebacker – Bobby Carpenter is a flat out bust. As a former #18
overall pick he has just 50 tackles in 42 career appearances. There is
always a chance the proverbial light bulb goes off in his fourth
season. No one is holding their breath on that. Kevin Burnett was
another disappointing early pick (second round) and left for San Diego
in free agency. The team response has been adding veteran Keith
Brooking who displaces last year’s veteran addition Zach Thomas as the
elder statesman among the linebackers. At 33 he still has something
left and his leadership definitely adds to their locker room. On the
field they need someone athletic to get after it, and will be seeking
that player in the draft.
DRAFT: Their first choice was not until day 2 and Jason Williams
(Western Illinois) took that honor at #69 overall. Victor Butler
(Oregon State) at #110 projects to outside linebacker, as does #120
pick Brandon Williams (Texas Tech).
Offensive Line – This is always a priority for the Cowboys. At left
tackle Flozell Adams has seen his play drop off and turns 34 in May.
How much does he have left? Next to him at left guard Kyle Kosier could
be upgraded. There are definitely players waiting in the wings as I am
always reminded by Dallas fans when I bring up the offensive line. The
reason for this is that the team continues to emphasize it, and like
most teams will again pick up some help in the draft.
DRAFT: Did I say they emphasize it? At #75 they took tackle Robert
Brewster (Ball State).
Quarterback – The position has already been improved with the removal
of team headache Terrell Owens making starter Tony Romo’s life easier
and addition of veteran backup Jon Kitna. The missing element is a
young player to groom for the future. Smart teams draft for the future.
It is better to “waste” three sixth round picks in consecutive seasons
searching for a potential gem than throwing crazy first round money at
a player who could bust. Dallas can mine the late round talent for
someone to sit behind Tony Romo. Kitna turns 37 the first month of the
season and what they would really be doing is selecting someone capable
of unseating him as the primary backup for the 2010 or 2011 season.
DRAFT: Did I say smart teams draft for the future? They went with Texas
A&M’s Stephen McGee at #101.
Others players selected:
Kicker: David Buehler (USC) #172
Tight end: John Phillips (Virginia) #208
SUMMARY: It can be argued my top need was not addressed until late, but
they hit two of my five areas of need with 7 players. I can’t say I saw
kicker coming considering Folk was gone 31/33 from 30-49 yards in two
seasons, 4/7 from 50+ and is 87% total. The Phillips move must be
insurance against Bennett doing too much blogging. GRADING MYSELF: 97
DENVER BRONCOS
Pre-Draft Picks (10): 12, 18, 48, 79, 84, 114, 149, 185, 225, 235
Actual Picks (10): lost 79, 84, 149, 235, gained 37, 64, 141, 174
Linebacker – Making the transition to a 3-4 alignment will require some
work. D.J. Williams is a very good player. Other than that there are a
lot of question marks. The players on hand were mostly small, fast
types. Some, like rookie free agent Wesley Woodyard, will find a home.
Others up front are shifting from end to linebacker. Andra Davis
(Browns) was added in free agency and has experience in the formation.
Jamie Winborn has been released after leading the team in tackles. It
is possible the team will draft a player inside and outside as they
attempt to build their defense basically from scratch.
Draft: None (see Ayers)
Defensive Line – First and foremost the need is for a nose tackle to
stick in the middle of their new 3-4. Dewayne Robertson was released
after one disappointing season. The best current option is Ronald
Fields (49ers) who was given a two-year deal. It is tough to address
this issue in the draft, but they have to try. Another signing Darrell
Reid (Colts) will shift outside to end. Remember the 2007 draft class
of three defensive linemen out of their four picks? They’re all backups
and worse yet probably all out of place in a 3-4. That means an end is
likely to be sought in the draft as well. There is quite simply not
much talent on this defense in general and especially on the defensive
front line. Fields and Reid are starters by default at the moment.
DRAFT: Robert Ayers (Tennessee) at #18 addresses their need at end, or
at outside linebacker but obviously I’m only crediting him in one area
officially.
Quarterback – It is debatable how viable Kyle Orton can be. He has been
a winner, especially at home, in his career. Calling for him to compete
with Chris Simms is a bit ridiculous. Simms threw two passes in
Tennessee’s season finale and prior to that had not thrown one since
2006. His father Phil might be a bigger threat to win the job. It’s
Orton, a rookie or another trade. Josh McDaniels is painted into a
corner with a horrible defense and career 55.3% passer running the
show. Maybe he feels Orton can be molded. Maybe he will try to scour
the draft crop for another late round steal. This situation is a mess
and fans are ready to light up the phone lines on talk radio if he
fails to pull a rabbit out of his hat.
DRAFT: Tom Brandstater (Fresno State) at #174 now has more burden than
any man should bear. His first name is Tom (uh, Brady) and he was
drafted in the sixth round (as Brady was). I mean seriously Josh
Daniels did you read his name and see “Tom Bra…” then stop? Let the
comparisons begin, although they are totally unfair and ridiculous.
Center – It is a formality that Tom Nalen will be retiring although at
the moment it is not finalized. Casey Wiegmann will be 36 this summer
and someone needs to take his spot. Last year’s fourth round pick Kory
Lichtensteiger was a candidate to move to guard until the team signed
Matt McChesney and Scott Young to fill up the depth chart. Now it
appears he could be the heir apparent. However, this is a very good
year to mine for talent at the center position. The Broncos are likely
to draft a player to contend with Lichtensteiger for the starting role.
DRAFT: I’m stretching this slightly with #132 pick Seth Olsen (Iowa)
who played guard. He has expressed willingness to learn at center,
which is exactly the kind of project I was anticipating them to add. He
also might play tackle. True center Blake Schlueter (TCU) was taken at
#225 though.
Running Back – In New England Josh McDaniels ran a committee of backs.
Trading Jay Cutler derails what had been a potent passing attack. Will
the offense respond by slanting heavily towards the run? LaMont Jordan
comes “with” McDaniels from the Patriots, having struggled with
injuries while totaling 80 rushes last year. An injured, aging back?
Well, that’s just what they need after sending just about every running
back in the NFL to the IR last season. Correll Buckhalter, who has
missed three entire seasons due to injury, was another addition. Are
they trying to be ironic or honestly trying to shore up the position?
J.J. Arrington is a pickup strictly for special teams. He had 71 rushes
in his final three seasons with Arizona, and is a kickoff return
threat. I suppose there is strength in numbers, but two guys over 30
and a clear backup is their plan? Someone is going to “remind me” they
have rookie fullback Peyton Hillis running like a “beast” and that Ryan
Torain has “potential”. Let’s not enshrine Hillis in Canton for running
wild on the Raiders, Jets and Chiefs late in the season and Torain had
15 carries before getting hurt (again). This is a long diatribe and I
can see them playing this one of two ways. First would be locking up an
early talent capable of waiting in the wings for the team to inevitably
cut Buckhalter and/or Jordan this time next year. Second is fishing for
a late round gem, as was the team’s strategy under the previous regime,
and going with another committee. Of course they may simply decide to
roll with their current crew.
DRAFT: The decision was made to go with a star and the Broncos took
Georgia’s Knowshon Moreno at #12.
Cornerback – Not long ago the tandem of Bailey and Bly was considered
the NFL’s best. Bailey might have peaked in 2006 and has just 4
interceptions in his past 24 games although some of that naturally is
teams avoiding him. He can still play at a high level assuming he
remains healthy. Bly was released and replaced with veteran Andre’
Goodman (Dolphins). Karl Paymah (Vikings) left and he was the last of a
trio of corners drafted in 2005. Domonique Foxworth had already moved
on last year and of course tragically Darrent Williams was killed. The
end result is a failure. Fourth round pick Jack Williams should be a
competent backup, as might fellow rookie Josh Bell who was not drafted.
However, someone to throw a charge into the depth chart should be
sought because at every level this defense struggled. Adding veteran
Brian Dawkins (Eagles) and Renaldo Hill (Dolphins) at safety will help,
but it’s not enough.
DRAFT: This need was important enough to trade away a 2010 first round
pick to select Alphonso Smith (Wake Forest) at #37.
Kicker – Matt Prater tried to fill the kicking shoes of Jason Elam and
struggled with field goals Elam would have made. He missed twice inside
of 40 yards, and was just 5/11 from 40-49. He showed leg strength going
5/6 from beyond 50, but the sum total was a disappointing 73.5%. Only
one player in the NFL with more than 10 attempts had a worse
percentage. Undoubtedly competition will be sought.
DRAFT: None
Other players drafted:
Safety: Darcel McBath (Texas Tech) #48
Tight End: Richard Quinn (North Carolina) #64
Safety: David Bruton (Notre Dame) #114
Wide Receiver: Kenny McKinley (South Carolina) #141
SUMMARY: I do not regret emphasizing the defensive front 7 and
scratched my head at them adding just one player in that area. Instead
they hit the secondary twice more with safeties and gave McDaniels two
more parts on offense. I can get behind the blocking tight end given
their quarterback situation, and in retrospect you can see why he would
want another receiver. GRADING
MYSELF: 83
DETROIT LIONS
Pre-Draft Picks (8): 1, 20, 33, 65, 82, 174, 192, 255*
*-compensatory pick cannot be traded
Actual Picks (10): lost 65, 174 gained 76, 115, 228, 235
Middle Linebacker – After acquiring Julian Peterson their starting
outside linebackers are set. Former #9 overall pick Ernie Sims has
already piled up 372 tackles in three seasons on the other side. Jordon
Dizon did not light it up as a rookie and is by all accounts not the
answer in the middle as a starter. Someone capable of starting
immediately will be their goal in the draft. After that a backup
outside linebacker in the middle rounds is likely.
DRAFT: It lacks the sizzle of other players rumored they might select,
but at #76 DeAndre Levy (Wisconsin) is going to be used in the middle
for them.
Quarterback – Their best option, Jon Kitna, was dealt to Dallas. Dan
Orlovksy bolted for Texas as well, signing with Houston. For some
reason Drew Henson is still drawing a paycheck. Perhaps it is a payroll
error. Drew Stanton might not be around much longer. Daunte Culpepper
is the expected starter because of his history with new offensive
coordinator Scott Linehan. Let’s add up his last 16 games played
spanning three seasons with Miami, Oakland and Detroit. The grand total
is 3,046 yards passing with 11 touchdowns against 14 interceptions. He
has completed 57.2% of his passes. Not since the day before Halloween
in 2005 has he been a serious threat. On the final play of the first
quarter against the Carolina Panthers his knee was injured and the rest
is history. His monster 2004 season is legendary, but this is not a
videogame. The Lions will be deciding if either Matthew Stafford
(Georgia) or Mark Sanchez (USC) can end the curse of Bobby Layne. If so
one of them will be selected at #1 overall. If not they might need to
pull the trigger on a trade because going into the season with this
depth chart is not an option.
DRAFT: I hear they drafted some guy named Matthew Stafford (Georgia) at
#1.
Offensive Line – There will be some shuffling to be sure. George
Foster’s awful stint with the team is over. Jeff Backus is slated to
start at left tackle, but if one can be landed in the draft might slide
to guard. The right side is settled with Stephen Peterman having signed
a new deal at guard while rookie Gosder Cherilus showed enough to hold
down the tackle position. At center Dominic Raiola needs a backup, and
preferably someone to beat him out. Damion Cook and newly signed Daniel
Loper (Titans) fill reserve roles. Most importantly there is no one to
carry this line and after giving up 52 sacks clearly improvement is
needed. The first priority is a left tackle. Then a center with
starting potential and the flexibility to be used at guard would make
sense.
DRAFT: They waited, but finally at #228 picked up tackle Lydon Murtha
(Nebraska).
Cornerback – Leigh Bodden managed the only interception at the position
last year and was cut. Free agent pickup Eric King (Titans) makes
sense. He has yet to pick off a pass in 52 career games spanning four
seasons. On the plus side
Phillip Buchanon (Bucs) and Anthony Henry (Cowboys) are decent
additions to the mix. They are definitely missing a standout to anchor
the group and should be looking for one solid player early in the draft
to fill that role.
DRAFT: None
Defensive Tackle – Shaun Cody and Cory Redding are out, veteran Grady
Jackson (Falcons) is in. Chuck Darby was not exactly a boost to this
unit considering the team gave up an NFL high 172.1 yards rushing per
game. He is also into his 30’s and the new regime is likely to seek his
successor in the draft. Jackson is even older and with a starting duo
inside that is currently almost 70 years old combined a little youth
would do them some good. Even more unfortunate for fans of the Lions is
factoring in that two guys they selected just last year, Andre Fluellen
(third round) and Landon Cohen (seventh round), were taken to fit the
old defensive scheme.
DRAFT: Sammie Lee Hill (Stillman) was selected at #115 to play tackle.
Running Back (situational) – This is well down the laundry list of
needs, but I think it has to be mentioned. Last year rookie Kevin Smith
showed signs he can be the primary rushing, chewing up a lot of carries
and wearing down the opposing defense. In today’s NFL that means
250-275 carries. Maurice Morris (Seahawks) was a savvy signing and will
back up the youngster. However, he is not the ever popular “home run”
threat analysts like to talk about. As if hitting a baseball 400 feet
equates to running your rear end off 80 yards down the field. Anyway,
Morris has never gained 50+ yards in any of his 604 career rushes. In
the late rounds, or the rookie free agent market if anyone wants to
sign with this franchise, Detroit could get a quicker option. If that
player is able to return kickoffs and/or punts it’s a bonus.
DRAFT: Clearly Aaron Brown (TCU) at #192 fits the description of
“change of pace” back.
Wide Receiver – Even if the quarterback situation is a mess, Calvin
Johnson has the #1 spot at receiver nailed down for the foreseeable
future. Bryant Johnson (49ers) was signed to help offset the loss of
Roy Williams, who was traded to Dallas. He has been nothing if not
steady over his six years in the NFL, averaging 42.5 receptions for 537
yards with a grand total of 12 touchdowns. As a complementary threat he
is serviceable. However, the rest of the depth chart is bare. Someone
able to work the slot effectively would be a huge boost to the passing
game. To put this need in perspective, “CJ” led the team in receiving
by 999 yards over Shaun McDonald. A late signing of Ronald Curry
(Raiders) provides them with another veteran, but he struggled with
injuries early in his career. On the plus side he might give them a
“Wildcat” quarterback option. Another under the radar move was signing
2008 fourth round pick Will Franklin (Chiefs) off waivers. There are
options certainly, but no one to attract any defense away from Johnson.
DRAFT: Derrick Williams (Penn State) was taken at #82.
Other players drafted:
Tight end: Brandon Pettigrew (Oklahoma State)
Safety: Louis Delmas (Western Michigan)
Linebacker: Zack Follett (Cal)
Tight end: Dan Gronkowski (Maryland)
SUMMARY: I kind of like the way they addressed their woeful offensive
line, by picking up two blocking tight ends. The lone surprise for me
was not getting a corner. Instead they went free safety and took the
consensus #1 at that position. Follett is going to be a monster on
special teams for them. Given their many needs I would say I did pretty
well. GRADING MYSELF: 94
GREEN BAY PACKERS
Pre-Draft Picks (9): 9, 41, 73, 83, 109, 145, 182, 187, 218
Actual Picks (8): lost 41, 73, 83 gained 26, 162
Defensive Line – It goes without saying a true nose is the most
important element of a 3-4. The Packers are changing from a 4-3 and
therefore will be forced to select their best available talent, Ryan
Pickett, and put him in that role. He is there in part because no one
else on the roster is close to being able to fill the role. Therefore
the importance of finding someone who can in the draft jumps up in
priority. Colin Cole might have been able to give it a shot, but he
signed with Seattle. As for the players at end, for the moment Cullen
Jenkins and Johnny Jolly are penciled in to start. Jenkins is a
question mark while he comes back from a pectoral injury that ended his
2008 campaign. Jolly has an issue off the field, and is moving from
tackle in this new alignment. Switching alignments is always risky and
the more talent on hand to compete for starting roles the better.
DRAFT: The top need was addressed immediately at #9 with tackle B.J.
Raji (Boston College). Later they picked up an end at #182 with Jarious
Wynn (Georgia).
Offensive Tackle – The days of having Chad Clifton and Mark Tauscher as
bookend tackles are over. Clifton might have a little left in the tank
at left tackle, but Tauscher is recovering from a knee injury and in
free agency limbo. Now the task could be to emulate the 2000 draft that
brought this pair into the fold with second (Clifton) and seventh
(Tauscher) round picks. Last year’s fifth round selection Breno
Giacomini is a factor on the right side, and there will be no panic
moves made to shore up this position. Patience and careful selection
will be the strategy. Of course it would be great to land a future left
tackle, but I expect them to be seeking a quality sleeper while their
young talent develops.
DRAFT: T.J. Lang (Eastern Michigan) at #109 helps their tackle
situation, as does #162 pick Jamon Meredith (South Carolina).
Cornerback – There is simply no overlooking the fact that Charles
Woodson (32) and Al Harris (34) are reaching the end of the line. The
pair has combined to play in 324 games and pick off 55 passes. Pat Lee
(Auburn) was drafted late in the second round last year and Will
Blackmon took on a larger role in his third season. Those players are
part of the equation, but a future starter needs to be sought out
sooner than later. There is constantly talk of Charles Woodson sliding
to free safety although the signing of Anthony Smith (Steelers) for
depth at that spot might put off the switch. Any way this pie is cut up
a true corner must be added.
DRAFT: They had to add someone and Brandon Underwood (Cincinnati) was
the choice at #187.
Outside Linebacker – Aaron Kampman will stand up and step back from his
end position to fill one rush linebacker spot. The other side needs to
be addressed aggressively. Anyone who places outside linebacker in a
3-4 has to be able to get after the passer. It is a crucial element to
the formation being effective. Right now they have too much mediocrity
inside and not enough dynamic talent outside.
DRAFT: They gave up a lot so obviously the team feels USC’s Clay
Matthews at #26 can get it done on the outside.
Tight End – I’m not sure exactly where Donald Lee went wrong, but he
really fell off the map. In 2007 he was on the fantasy football map
with 575 yards receiving. This past season his average yardage per
reception dropped from 12.0 to a pitiful 7.8. Of that 4.2 yard
difference, 2.7 came after he had the football in his hands. Jermichael
Finley could be the answer, but in the late rounds someone who can
block a lot and catch a little will be sought.
DRAFT: None.
Inside Linebacker – Nick Barnett, currently rehabbing from tearing his
ACL, and A.J. Hawk will be the starters in the team’s new 3-4. When
pressed into duty Desmond Bishop had a couple of good outings. As the
defense tries fit players into this formation adding talent is
inevitable. Rookie free agent Spencer Havner might have a future, and
Brandon Chillar did manage to finish third on the team in tackles with
a modest 69. I could see the team standing pat until they really
evaluate these players, but I always look for additions when a switch
is made.
DRAFT: Brad Jones (Colorado) was also taken at #218 and might see some
time on the inside.
Punter – Derrick Frost really struggled to the point that he was
replaced in the final month of the season by Jeremy Kapinos. The good
news for Kapinos was landing 7 of 17 punts inside the 20, but his
average (39.2) was even worse than Frost (42.1). There is little chance
the Packers will not bring in another punter to compete. Come to think
of it, kicking a frozen football far might be so easy. Good luck to the
next guy who earns this job.
DRAFT: None.
Other players drafted:
Fullback: Quinn Johnson (LSU)
SUMMARY: They hit the top four needs I pointed to. Trading away picks
might have cost them the opportunity to go with a tight end, and often
punters can be had after the draft. It was a nice move to add a
fullback. GRADING MYSELF: 92
HOUSTON TEXANS
Pre-Draft Picks (8): 15, 46, 77, 112, 122, 152, 188, 223
Actual Picks: same
Outside Linebacker – There is quantity, but quality is another
question. Morlon Greenwood was released which paved the way for
youngsters Zac Diles and Xavier Adibi to take on larger roles. Then
free agency brought veteran Cato June and well traveled third year
player Buster Davis. June is a nice veteran presence, but his best
plays are behind him. He is not going to attack anyone and overwhelm an
opposing player. His value is being a steady presence. Davis was
knocked coming into the draft for his lack of height (5’9”) and has
already spent one season in Arizona and another in Indianapolis. It is
worth taking a look at him for depth, but what this team needs is an
attacker. I’m talking about someone who the other team is afraid of
facing. DeMeco Ryans is a star in the middle (although he is unhappy
about his contract) and one more stud alongside him would make this
group lethal.
DRAFT: With their first pick they took care of my top need with Brian
Cushing (USC) at #15.
Running Back – Late third round gem Steve Slaton finally satisfied the
need for a playmaking back. He rolled up over 100 total yards per game
and hauled in 50 receptions. Although he churned out an average of 21.7
rushes per start over the final six games he is better served staying
closer to the 14-17 range. He was forced into that work load because
there is really no one else to do it. Mercifully Ahman Green was cut
loose following two uneventful seasons totaling 144 carries for 554
yards. The back they seek is going to be a wide load (read: ~220
pounds) capable of picking up short yardage situations, and able to fit
into their zone blocking (one cut and go) system.
DRAFT: None.
Safety – This has been a sore spot since the inception of the team.
Gone are C.C. Brown (Giants) and Will Demps (released). Nick Ferguson
and Eugene Wilson were retained in free agency. Last year’s late round
pick Domonique Barber could factor in as a replacement for Ferguson at
strong safety. This is one of those situations where the losses dictate
an addition and it is a guessing game how early that player is
selected. Everyone seems to be convinced the team will draft a game
breaker, but this is the wrong draft to seek such a rookie early on.
DRAFT: It wasn’t as early as most expected, but they did get Troy Nolan
(Arizona) State at #223.
Cornerback – One thing the Texans definitely have at this position is
youth. Their top concern is Dunta Robinson playing under the franchise
tag and not being pleased about it. The team is being smart forcing him
to play one season healthy enough to warrant a long term deal.
Obviously the player wants the security (read: signing bonus) of a long
term deal. This negotiation weighs into their strategy, as does the
development of middle round picks from the last two drafts, Fred
Bennett and Antwaun Molden. No one knows the depth chart like their war
room. If they are confident in this group developing no additions will
be made, but to prepare for the worst an addition could be made as
somewhat of a luxury pick.
DRAFT: Glover Quin (New Mexico) was the choice at #112 and Brice McCain
(Utah) was picked up at #188.
Offensive Guard – Slowly the line has been built up. In the 2008 draft
Duane Brown was a surprise first rounder and has nailed down the left
tackle spot. The most glaring problem now is right guard where Mike
Brisel keeps the refs busy with the flags and whistles. Their offense
is starting to really take over and one more cog at guard would
solidify the line.
DRAFT: Centers often open at guard in the NFL so I’ll consider #77 pick
Antoine Caldwell (Alabama) a hit here.
Defensive Tackle – I am acknowledging this because others have pointed
to the interior defensive line as a sore spot. The youth is abundant.
Their 2007 first round pick Amobi Okoye is still only 21 years old, and
two years into his NFL career is younger than most of this year’s
rookies. The only question is soreness in his knee, but as of now it is
not considered too problematic. Travis Johnson is another former first
round pick (2005) slated to start. The slack given to him is
considerably less considering he turns 27 on draft weekend and his play
has been lackluster. Massive project Frank Okam was taken in the fifth
round last year. As I’ll say often “potential” is tricky because it
does not win games now. Shaun Cody (Lions) was added in free agency and
the team passed on him in 2005, when he was an early second rounder, to
select Johnson. Perhaps they regret the decision and hope he can
perform better for them than he looked in the Motor City. The youth is
there, which usually means that even if the area is a problem the draft
is not the place to address it. We will see what path they take.
DRAFT: None.
Other players drafted:
Defensive end: Connor Barwin (Cincinnati)
Tight end: Anthony Hill (N.C. State)
Tight end: James Casey (Rice)
SUMMARY: Houston added talent in most of the areas I expected them to,
and also avoided defensive tackle for the reasons I pointed out. The
exception was running back where they failed to get support for last
year’s rookie Steve Slaton. An area they paid a lot of attention to was
tight end. If you throw Barwin into that mix (he used to play TE) they
have surrounded Pro Bowl stud Owen Daniels with three situational
additions. They certainly added options and also insurance because
Daniels does not have a long term deal. GRADING MYSELF: 92
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Pre-Draft Picks (8): 27, 61, 92, 127, 136*, 165, 201, 236
*-compensatory pick cannot be traded
Actual Picks (8): lost 61, 165 gained 56, 222
Defensive Tackle – The Colts are a team normally adept at assessing
talent so going after someone else’s castoff (Buffalo’s John McCargo)
in a failed trade a while back is a major indicator of the many
problems at this position. Quinn Pitcock retired on them suddenly,
which explains all of the mental prodding NFL teams do at the scouting
combine. Ed Johnson was released prior to the 2008 season. Darrell Reid
had issues away from the field and signed with Denver. Right now
Keyunta Dawson and Eric Foster represent two tendencies. First, as I
just mentioned the Colts can scout. Dawson was almost Mr. Irrelevant
and Foster was not drafted. Second, neither player tips the scales at
even 270. Indy might have gotten too much confidence after winning the
Super Bowl with athletic as opposed to the guys who look like they
should be contestants on The Biggest Loser. In the draft I expect them
to look for a player who fits in between. Not a lead foot weighing 340
pounds, but a little bulk to do battle with the opposing guard or
center.
DRAFT: Unlike years past the Colts did not wait long to fill this need,
taking USC’s Fili Moala at #56. They also added Terrance Taylor
(Michigan) at #136.
Wide Receiver – Every rookie coming into the NFL this season would be
lucky to wind up with the Colts. Reggie Wayne is an established #1.
Anthony Gonzalez is emerging as the next great slot receiver with
Peyton Manning throwing rockets. Dallas Clark is a solid pass catching
tight end. An outside starter is all they are missing. Usually it takes
time for an elite collegiate player to make a mark in the NFL, but this
situation is unique to put it lightly. Indy has nothing in the cupboard
to replace Marvin Harrison which is why I suggested addressing this in
last year’s draft. Now the problem sticks out just a little more. The
best solution might be convincing Harrison, still a free agent, to sign
on for his swan song while drafting someone to train from one of the
best ever. Roy Hall and Pierre Garcon were late picks from the past two
drafts and how the team assesses their progress factors into their
decision to draft early or late. Intelligent, disciplined route runners
will be sought. Peyton wants a player who is where he is supposed to be.
DRAFT: BYU’s Austin Collie at #127 definitely fills the description of
the receiver they wanted to add.
Running Back – A lot of the blame for the lack of a running game falls
on the offensive line. Joseph Addai was coming off two seasons with
1,400+ total yards to open his NFL career. Fantasy owners were
expecting even bigger things. Instead they watched his average per rush
continue to plummet. From 2006 (4.8) to 2007 (4.1) was one thing, but
2008 (3.5) put up red flags about his ability to work for the tough
yardage. He also had just one game with a run longer than 15 yards all
season, and a 2.8 yard average in the playoff loss. Dominic Rhodes
returned to the roost and had an almost identical stat line to Addai in
the rushing department. In other words not good, and he has signed with
Houston. Last year the team added Mike Hart (sixth round) and Chad
Simpson (free agent) as rookies. Obviously neither move helped the
situation because the Colts were #31 out of 32 teams with 79.6 rushing
yards per game. Also, Hart is rehabbing from knee surgery. Lance Ball
is a wild card and might factor in. Better blocking up front when the
talent gets healthy could turn this around. So might a player capable
of extending the legacy of greatness started by Marshall Faulk and
Edgerrin James. It was once believed Addai was the next in line, but at
the moment not so much.
DRAFT: Their first pick at #27 was Donald Brown (Connecticut).
Offensive Tackle – The concern here is that on the left side Tony Ugoh
is injury prone and on the right side Ryan Diem is average. The
interior was loaded up with reinforcements in last year’s draft. Mike
Pollak (second round) starts at right guard, while Jamey Richard
(seventh round) is a backup guard and Steve Justice (sixth round) a
backup center/guard. Jeff Saturday signing at center for 3 years is a
relief. Evaluating their depth chart tackle is the position I expect
them to go after, possibly even twice with late picks. They have
demonstrated an ability to hit on late round choices. Extra bodies to
ward off injury concerns and lackluster play should revitalize this
line.
DRAFT: None.
Cornerback – Kelvin Hayden is happy. He has his stack of money. Marlin
Jackson is a developing talent, but is coming off an injury and will be
a free agent next year. Dante Hughes has not been able to make the
transition thus far. Entering his third season he has only 1
interception in 24 games as a reserve. At Cal he was able to sit back
and wait for his opportunity to take advantage of a college
quarterback’s mistake and then turn that interception into a touchdown
with his return skills. Tim Jennings, a second round pick the year
before, has made a bigger impact. It is not necessary to strike early.
All that is needed here is to keep the talent flowing in. If they were
that worried about their depth chart Keiwan Ratliff would not be in
free agency limbo, for example. Finally, Michael Coe is also coming off
knee surgery.
DRAFT: The Colts picked up Jerraud Powers (Auburn) at #92.
Punt Returner – This will likely be doubled up in the form of a
cornerback or wide receiver with return skills. It simply has to be
mentioned though that Keiwan Ratliff, rattling around in free agency by
the way, averaged a horrific 5.6 yards per return on 16 attempts. He
fair caught 43% of the 28 directed at him. Someone to attack punt
returns with a little more of an aggressive nature might be considered
in the draft.
DRAFT: This is an almost considering Collie also has kickoff return
experience.
Quarterback – I am going to panic every fan of the team by saying this,
but Peyton Manning did just turn 33. His knee issues did not prevent
him from extending his consecutive starts streak to 176. He also
registered his ninth season with 4,000+ passing yards. Jim Sorgi has
been Mr. Week 17 having seen significant action in four of the team’s
five finales since he joined the team in 2004 as a sixth round pick out
of Wisconsin. While he knows the system, let’s just say the phones to
the front office are not exactly burning up with trade offers to make
him a starter elsewhere. His value is to them in a mop up role. Manning
has shown the first chink in his armor recovering from this knee
injury. It is going to get harder for him to keep starting every game.
Unless he is a character from The Terminator sent back in time to
solidify the quarterback position, at some point he will reach the end
of the line. The time is now to start fishing around for a potential
backup who might development into a future starter. Manning has at
least two years left, possibly three and maybe more. Wouldn’t it be
smart to let someone learn behind him who has a chance to take over the
throne?
DRAFT: Interesting. They picked up Curtis Painter (Purdue) at #201.
Punter – After a decade of remarkable consistent production Hunter
Smith is on the outs. It was overall the second best season of his
career. The average was there (44.2) and 43% landed inside the 20 while
19% ended up inside the 10. He set a career low in touchbacks (2) as
well. Whatever the reasons, now the team also has to figure out who is
going to be their holder. Maybe they could train backup quarterback Jim
Sorgi to do it. Shouldn’t he be used for more than just week 17 games?
At any rate the Colts should be one of a few teams targeting a punter
late in the draft and prefer one with holding experience.
DRAFT: West Virginia’s Pat McAfee at #222 can be considered both a
punter and kicker. He can also, ahem, hold.
Linebacker (middle) – This is one of those positions where a case can
always be made for depth. The only move made to provide a backup for
Gary Brackett was signing Adam Seward (Panthers) to a one year deal. Do
I really need to explain why this is not an ideal option? Seward
appeared in 40 games during four seasons and is credited with 40
tackles. He has experience in an NFL uniform, but if the lower injury
that prematurely ended the 2008 season for Brackett resurfaces they
want to add another option. Brackett himself was not drafted so the
Colts will not feel any pressure to make this move early.
DRAFT: None
Other players drafted:
Guard: Jaimie Thomas (Maryland) #236
SUMMARY: The Colts made strong moves in the top three areas I expected
them to, and hit on most of the needs I outlined. One exception was
grabbing a guard instead of a tackle. The other was not getting their
hands on a backup linebacker. GRADING
MYSELF: 93
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Picks (9): 8, 39, 72, 107, 144, 180, 232, 250*, 253*
*-compensatory picks cannot be traded
Picks (9): lost 232, gained 73
Defensive Tackle – Parting ways with Marcus Stroud has come back to
haunt them. John Henderson’s play suffered mightily without Stroud. The
defense still managed to do a decent job stopping the run, but would
like to get back to stifling the run. An elite talent capable of
elevating the play of the surrounding players, including the fading
Henderson, will be considered in the draft. This kind of thing happens
often in the NFL. Rob Meier being elevated to a starting role did not
work out and now the Jags need to make this a higher priority than they
expected this time last year.
DRAFT: Terrance Knighton (Temple) was taken at #72.
Offensive Tackle – It is no secret that signing Tra Thomas, who will
turn 35 during the season, from Philadelphia to replace the departed
Khalif Barnes is not a real solution at left tackle. The Jags might be
able to get by this season with Thomas starting there, but it would
only be a last resort. Preferably they will look at one of the top
tackle prospects early in the draft. Quarterback David Garrard, who is
on a bit of a hot seat at the moment, blames himself for the 42 sacks
he suffered in 2008. Those sacks cost the team nearly triple the
yardage (288) of the previous season (99) so Garrard slimmed down his
frame considerably. It is admirable of him to put this on his shoulders
as a team leader and attempt to help the situation, but an anchor at
left tackle is a serious problem.
DRAFT: There was no doubt the Jags planned to address this problem.
They selected Virginia’s Eugene Monroe at #8 and Arizona’s Eben Britton
at #39.
Wide Receiver – I have almost run out of jokes to describe their
problems at this position. Suffice it to say their decision making at
this position has been questionable. Jerry Porter was a free agent
disaster and was cut. His confidence swelled when playing behind a
legendary duo of players, Tim Brown and Jerry Rice, and the ego never
matched his performance. Troy Williamson was a bust as a #7 overall
pick for Minnesota and 5 receptions this season with the Jags did
nothing to modify that label. Making matters worse, Matt Jones and
Reggie Williams have run into off-field issues to end their runs with
the team as former first round picks. The pair has been criticized, but
did combine for 102 receptions for 1,125 yards and 5 touchdowns. Some
of that slack will be picked up by former star Torry Holt (Rams) who
might or might not be able to succeed in a new environment. The team is
trying to battle the history of failed early picks as I just discussed,
and the bigger problem is having no time to develop a rookie. Adding
Holt takes some of the pressure off, but they need more help.
DRAFT: I said they needed more and they went after it in the form of
#107 pick Mike Thomas (Arizona) followed by Jarrett Dillard (Rice) at
#144 and Tiquan Underwood (Rutgers) at #253.
Secondary – Without knowing where Brian Williams will play and how Sean
Considine (Eagles) fits into the equation it is hard to figure out if
cornerback or safety is going to be the call on draft day. Reggie
Nelson, a first round pick in 2007, is of course still very much in the
mix. At cornerback Rashean Mathis locks down one spot securely, but
this is where the story winds back to Williams. He might move back to
cornerback from safety which would hurt the safety situation where
Gerald Sensabaugh (Cowboys) and Pierson Prioleau (Saints) have signed
elsewhere. If his best fit is at safety there is a big hole at starting
cornerback. Drayton Florence was a free agency failure at cornerback
and is gone. Scott Starks just signed a two-year deal, but is not
starter material. Conceivably a safety and cornerback could be drafted,
but it is tough to get it nailed down without knowing how the team will
handle Brian Williams.
DRAFT: They picked up Derek Cox (William & Mary) at #73.
Offensive Line (interior) – The strategy will be to hope injured
starting guards Vince Manuwai and Maurice Williams will return healthy
enough to assume their roles in the lineup. Obviously the powerful
running game from 2007 fell on hard times when that pair got hurt. It
would make sense to draft someone to help the depth chart if the injury
bug strikes again. Chris Naeole is lingering in free agency, but he’s
34 and is not the sort of insurance solution they should be seeking to
solve this problem. It has already been illustrated that Uche Nwaneri
and Dennis Norman were unable to handle starting roles. At center Brad
Meester is 32 and also prone to injury. The sum total of this situation
might lead the team to consider a player capable of playing both guard
and center. There are some of those types available in any draft.
DRAFT: None.
Running Back – Maurice Jones-Drew learned from a good one. The time
finally came for Fred Taylor to part ways with the team. Last year
Chauncey Washington was in my opinion a quality seventh round pick out
of USC with some potential. If the team agrees that he can pair with a
former UCLA grad (Jones-Drew) in a harmonious all-LA backfield they
might stand pat. Otherwise searching for another option capable of
chewing up carries makes sense. Jones-Drew has never carried the ball
200+ times in his three seasons and ideally would be in the 220-250
range. He has been inked to a new deal and the team has to protect
their investment by not overusing him.
DRAFT: Rashad Jennings (Liberty) represents a nice complement to MJD at
#250.
Defensive End – I have not lost my mind. Well, maybe I have but that’s
not the point. Last year’s draft strategy was to address their pass
rush hard. Derrick Harvey (Florida) was taken in the first round and
Quentin Groves (Auburn) in the second round, not to mention a certain
trade up and holdout where Harvey is concerned. The results were
disastrous. A year later, I would look at the releasing of Paul Spicer
as an excuse to add someone in the late rounds or even a rookie after
the draft. The philosophy here would be to get a player willing to
fight for a roster spot and therefore light a fire under Harvey and
Groves who clearly struggled to make the transition into the NFL.
DRAFT: None.
Quarterback – This need has to be included because of the rampant
speculation about the team possibly drafting USC’s Mark Sanchez. The
salary associated with such a selection combined with the recently
inked extension of incumbent starter David Garrard to me would make
such a move highly unlikely. Never mind the fact that head coach Jack
Del Rio’s seat is warm. Drafting a quarterback in the first round under
such circumstances is strange. If the team decides to take another shot
in the later rounds I can get behind that decision. Cleo Lemon is an
affordable backup, which is a nice way to say he provides no pressure
to Garrard. Last year’s rookie free agent addition Paul Smith threw for
oodles of yards at Tulsa, but a lot of that came via screen passes
against lesser competition in Conference USA. When you consider this
depth chart, other than Garrard’s extension and Del Rio’s tenuous
position it would be easy to see why quarterback could be addressed. In
defense of Garrard (as I stated above) he has slimmed down to increase
his mobility hoping to eliminate costly sacks.
DRAFT: None.
Others players drafted:
Tight end: Zach Miller (Nebraska-Omaha) #180
SUMMARY: I suppose it is possible Miller actually plays quarterback.
Nah, I’m joking. They are sticking with Garrard which is a decision I
understand. At defensive end they will hope last year’s rookie duo
develops and that’s another easily defensible strategy. Their interior
line is healthy and while no depth was obtained it is conceivable
Britton slips inside to guard in a pinch. GRADING MYSELF: 84
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Pre-Draft Picks (7): 3, 67, 102, 139, 175, 212, 256*
*-compensatory pick cannot be traded
Actual Picks (8): gained 237
Linebacker – On the outside the second stint for Donnie Edwards has
ended. This was an obvious move. In the Matt Cassel trade the Chiefs
also acquired veteran Mike Vrabel. Then former Patriot Monty Beisel
(Cardinals) was signed. Let’s see now. Two guys familiar with the
Patriot 3-4 defense are on board. Scott Pioli is the new GM. I wonder
if this team is going to stick with the 4-3. Their talent definitely
does not match the system well enough to run the 3-4 exclusively, but I
have a very hard time believing the change will not be made very soon.
This draft will be part of the process. First and foremost will be a
rush linebacker outside. There is no player on this roster capable of
getting after the quarterback on a team coming off totaling 10 sacks. I
would say this is a problem. Inside they signed up veteran Zach Thomas
(Cowboys) who is saying all the right things, but is clearly playing
out the string. All of this adds up to typical “Patriot Way” behavior.
Get the veterans in there and put them in the position to make plays.
However, they need that one spark outside to complement Johnson inside
going forward.
DRAFT: None.
Offensive Tackle – Flat out Damion McIntosh needs to go on the right
side. Last year’s sixth round pick Barry Richardson (Clemson) was seen
as a project this time last year and might turn into a serviceable
backup down the line. On the left side Branden Albert was a dream as a
rookie. Because his college teammate from Virginia Eugene Monroe is a
top prospect there has been talk about shifting him inside to left
guard if Monroe is selected. When the dust settles I don’t see this
happening. I would expect the Chiefs to strictly draft for a starting
right tackle as opposed to messing with a good thing having Albert at
left tackle.
DRAFT: While they passed on pairing Albert with his ex-teammate they
did select Colin Brown (Missouri) at #139.
Defensive Line – The parts are not available to immediately switch up
to a 3-4, but again this change is coming whether or not it has been
formally announced. Most notably former first round picks Tamba Hali
(2006) and Glenn Dorsey (2008) would struggle to find roles
commensurate with what the team has invested in them. Trading players
away is always an option, and this includes Dorsey. I would not rule
this stunning move out because I keep thinking about Warren Sapp who
was a train wreck when he moved to 3-4 end with Oakland at one point.
There are quite simply a ton of young players on this defensive line.
They are so good the defense finished in the bottom 5 of all the major
statistical categories. A lot of player evaluation has to be done and
tough decisions are coming. The defense will likely run mostly a 4-3
this season as a matter of necessity, but the additions will be ready
for a 3-4 alignment.
DRAFT: They struck early on day 1 with Tyson Jackson (LSU) at #3 and
early again on day 2 with Alex Magee (Purdue) at #67.
Offensive Line (interior) – Mike Goff (Chargers) was added to shore up
the right guard spot, but he is 33 and Brian Waters is 32. He is also
the subject of trade rumors after a reportedly poor first meeting with
new head coach Todd Haley. The line in general is in the process of
being made over. They might be seeking additions in the rookie free
agent market because this team has too many holes to fill, but a solid
young guard is nowhere to be found on this roster. The closest thing is
Cal’s Brian De La Puente. At center Rudy Niswanger is not exactly
lighting the world on fire. They need talent.
DRAFT: None.
Running Back – There is drama surrounding former fantasy football god
Larry Johnson. Will he stay? Does he want to stay? Is the team
interested in him staying? Let me consult my crystal ball for a minute.
Yep, it still doesn’t work. Jamaal Charles was drafted last year and
looks to have a future as a change of pace back. He carried Texas in
college, but the NFL is a different story. In relief he averaged a
healthy 5.3 yards per carry on 67 attempts for a struggling offense.
Kolby Smith is still around, but has not been able to hit the hole with
any semblance of urgency as evidenced by his 3.4 average carry mostly
as a backup during his two seasons. He is also recovering from a
serious knee injury. Last year’s rookie free agent Dantrell Savage is a
diminutive complementary player. If Larry Johnson is shipped out
someone has to be brought in who can carry the football on first and
second down.
DRAFT: The Chiefs took Javarris Williams (Tennessee State) at #212.
Wide Receiver – I’m not sure this position will get attention. Dwayne
Bowe is a viable #1 receiver. Mark Bradley is a bit of a reclamation
project at this point as a former Top 40 draft pick. Bobby Engram
(Seahawks) will be coming in mostly to provide a veteran presence. They
certainly do not expect him to repeat his crazy 2007 season (94
receptions). Fourth round pick Will Franklin (Missouri) saw limited
action as a rookie, and surprised me by showing up unprepared for the
offseason program. So much for the “hometown” factor, he was cut.
Suffice it to say that before Randy Moss and Wes Welker showed up in
New England the Patriots got by with roughly this amount of talent
while winning Super Bowls. Therefore Pioli might not be too adamant
about pursuing talent even after the acquisition of quarterback Matt
Cassel.
DRAFT: Quentin Lawrence (McNeese State) was drafted at #175.
Cornerback – The Chiefs signed Travis Daniels (Browns) after releasing
Patrick Surtain (Dolphins). This move solidified the rookie duo of “The
Two Brandons” Carr and Flowers as the starters. The task now is to
settle up the depth chart and the answer could come when a veteran is
cut in June because going into the season this young at the position
would be dangerous.
DRAFT: Donald Washington (Ohio State) was added at #102.
Other players drafted:
Tight end: Jake O’Connell (Miami OH)
Kicker: Ryan Succop (South Carolina)
SUMMARY: Their draft did not go in the way I expected. There were no
linebackers and no nose tackle for the new 3-4. The interior of the
offensive line was ignored as well. Even late picks have value and
those were used on a special teams threat at tight end and a kicker to
compete with Barth. Not being able to trade down from #3 or get 2009
compensation for Gonzalez handicapped them quite a bit. GRADING MYSELF: 74
MIAMI DOLPHINS
Pre-Draft Picks (9): 25, 44, 56, 87, 108, 161, 181, 213, 237
Actual Picks (9): lost 56, 213, 237 gained 61, 165, 214
Wide Receiver – If not for missing the team’s final 5 games unheralded
Greg Camarillo would have led the team in receptions for sure and
likely in yardage as well. Instead the honor belonged to former #9
overall pick Ted Ginn Jr. whose career seems to be arcing upwards
heading into his third season. The ball was spread around liberally
because there was no true #1 to lean on. Rookie Davonne Bess, who was
not drafted, turned into a nice surprise with 54 receptions. The
aforementioned trio wound up with a healthy 165 receptions. That’s the
good news. The bad news is they totaled 5 touchdown catches and none of
them weigh over 190 pounds. Insert your own nickname for these
lightweights. A big, physical threat is a priority. Free agent addition
Ernest Wilford (Jaguars) was supposed to fill that role, but caught
just 3 passes in 7 appearances. Although it is well known Bill Parcells
is not keen on drafting a receiver in the first round, the team needs
to add someone to battle physical corners in tight spaces. Inside the
20 these small guys are sunk.
DRAFT: Two middle round picks addressed this problem with Patrick
Turner (USC) at #87 and Brian Hartline (Ohio State) at #108.
Cornerback – Andre’ Goodman signed with Denver and the team’s response
was grabbing Eric Green from Arizona. They got younger in the process,
but Green has only 2 interceptions in 51 games and has struggled to
stay healthy in his four year career. He also lost his starting job
when it mattered most in 2008. Will Allen is in a contract year and his
play will reflect it, but a hot shot rookie taken early on would be a
nice addition to this situation. At safety the team retained Yeremiah
Bell at the strong spot and at the free spot signed Gibril Wilson
(Raiders). There is definitely talent on this secondary and that’s the
best way for a rookie addition to thrive early on – as a situational
role player. Look for good height and the ability to press.
DRAFT: Their first choice was Vontae Davis (Illinois) at #25, and later
on day 1 they added Sean Smith (Utah) at #61.
Nose Tackle – This is nothing new. They run a 3-4 and need someone to
plug in the middle of it. Jason Ferguson just completed a successful
first season with the team, but he is 34 with failing knees. Players
have been known to stick around into their 30’s on the interior
defensive line, but finding a nose tackle is extremely difficult. It is
not a position to ignore until one is desperately needed, and at this
point I do not feel like the Dolphins would be comfortable in the event
Ferguson was injured. Notably their 2007 fourth round pick Paul Soliai
was suspended twice in 2008 for violating team rules.
DRAFT: None.
Outside Linebacker – There is no doubt Joey Porter enjoyed a tremendous
surge as part of the team’s dramatic turnaround. He is also 32 and has
been talking to reporters about repairing his sometimes questionable
image in preparation for life after football. This does not mean 2009
is it for him, but the team also needs to do some preparing. Even with
him going at a high level someone on the other side to help would be
nice. The chatter about Jason Taylor returning is probably just that –
talk. He is not the player he once was. Age caught up to him in a
hurry. Now the Dolphins need to search in this draft for a rush
linebacker to learn from Porter. It is worth noting they added Cameron
Wake out of the CFL and believe Charlie Anderson has some potential.
However, they have a lot of picks and with so many players capable of
fitting this spot from the college ranks I find it hard to imagine them
not selecting one in the draft.
DRAFT: Totally under the radar prospect J.D. Folsom (Weber State) was
taken at #214.
Center – It was a good move swapping centers with Oakland and landing
Jake Grove. When healthy he can play at a high level and was simply
stuck on a bad line and struggling offense in general. However, trading
Samson Satele and losing Al Johnson (Patriots) leaves Miami thin at the
position. Luckily for them this draft is very deep at the position.
This is a golden opportunity for them to draft insurance against Grove
struggling with injuries. The line overall has really been fortified in
free agency and now has a lot of talent. Backup center is really the
only hole I see.
DRAFT: None.
Tight End – I had to laugh this time last year when I was speculating
“The Tuna” Bill Parcells would seek out another “Rambo” which was Mark
Bavaro’s nickname. Instead he traded for Anthony Fasano. Both players
went to Notre Dame. Unfortunately there are no “Golden Domers”
available in this draft at tight end. Fasano’s deal expires after this
season and the same is true for David Martin. They do have Joey Haynos
developing after signing him last year as a rookie free agent, but in
the later rounds expect Miami to target someone who looks a little
reckless, hasn’t shaved in a month and would be able to survive in a
jungle for days on end.
DRAFT: John Nalbone (Monmouth) at #161 was the selection.
Other players drafted:
Quarterback: Pat White (West Virginia) #44
Safety: Chris Clemons (Clemson)
Offensive tackle: Andrew Gardner (Georgia Tech)
SUMMARY: They have their WildPat offense after picking up White to play
wherever he may fit in. In retrospect they might regret not trading up
for nose tackle prospect Ron Brace (Boston College) who went #40. The
slot was for sale because the Patriots moved up to get him there.
Instead they never did address the need although I contend they wanted
to. The other position ignored was center where new addition Grove is
unlikely to be a rock for a full season of work. They did add a tackle
and chased their two corners with a safety. GRADING MYSELF: 80
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Pre-Draft Picks (6): 22, 54, 86, 158, 221, 231
Actual Picks (5): lost 158, 221 gained 150
Wide Receiver – Despite having a handful of players capable of
producing at this level the Vikings lack a star. Bobby Wade led the
team with 53 receptions. In his first year as a free agent addition
from the Bears Bernard Berrian was a big play threat leading the team
with 964 yards. However, he had no games with 5+ catches after October
19. Darius Reynaud, Sidney Rice and Aundrae Allison represent young
talent to fill up the depth chart. None of those guys are going to give
an upset stomach to the opposing defensive coordinator. Rice has fought
injuries and Allison might be cut. Reynaud could stick for his value
returning kicks. Someone steady to pile up a lot of receptions is what
this offense needs, which is exactly why they went after T.J.
Houshmandzadeh. Now the task is to find someone in the draft with
similar skills.
DRAFT: Way back in January I pegged Percy Harvin (Florida) to them at
#22, but pulled the pick when issues arose off the field. They took a
chance on his ability.
Offensive Tackle – Marcus Johnson (Raiders) drifted off without a
fight. He was the final remnant from their abysmal 2005 draft. In
actually important news Bryant McKinnie always seems to be on the brink
of doing something to jeopardize his career. He is solid on the left
side though. The right side is the issue. Ryan Cook is a possibility
back at center, which is another way for the team to say he is not
starter material at right tackle. Drew Radovich was a good signing as a
rookie free agent last year out of USC and might develop down the road.
They can’t wait. There is enough talent in this draft to find someone
capable of competing to start on the right side.
DRAFT: Phil Loadholt (Oklahoma) was lost in the shuffle in a solid
tackle class and they took him at #54.
Cornerback – The first concern is Antoine Winfield. He is in a contract
year, but turns 32 in June. Usually this combination of age and skill
conclude with a change of scenery. Cedric Griffin is a starter they
believe in because he just inked a lengthy extension. Marcus McCauley
might be a bust. Karl Paymah (Broncos) was a nice addition for depth.
Charles Gordon was retained on a one year contract. There is youth
here, but would they be able to field another starter across from
Griffin if this is it for Winfield? I would say absolutely not and the
time to hedge their bets is now so the team has leverage in those
contract negotiations. Or to put it another way has a plan if he walks.
DRAFT: They added Asher Allen (Georgia) at #86.
Center – How do you replace Matt Birk? You don’t. You just move
forward. John Sullivan, a sixth round pick last year, is the guy
penciled in to start. I find this to be a dangerous plan, as is hoping
right tackle Ryan Cook is able to create competition in house by
returning to his collegiate position. Given the shuffling on this line
a versatile addition seems to be a good option. Or if the team grabs a
pure right tackle and pure center Ryan Cook can back up both spots.
Defensive Tackle – I have been saying a successor to Pat Williams
should be sought for a while now. The bizarre positive drug test
courtroom drama, which also involves his line mate Kevin Williams, adds
some urgency to the situation. Pat can still play at a high level, but
what is behind this Williams Wall? Had they actually been suspended for
December by the NFL there is little doubt the team would not have made
the playoffs. In fact, maybe Detroit can petition for their 20-16 loss
to be overturned and therefore erase their winless season from the
history books. Okay, maybe not. I digress. The point is that Letroy
Guion is a project and Jimmy Kennedy barely has a career as a first
round bust. They need a backup plan to keep this shut down run defense
going strong.
DRAFT: None.
Running Back – Adrian Peterson is on track to go down as one of the
all-time greats at the position. He is discussing putting on weight to
help him absorb the inevitable pounding. I have a better idea. He
should not be carrying the ball 383 times as he did last season,
including the playoff loss. History is not kind to players who have had
similar totals in a single year. Chester Taylor has been a nice backup
option the past two seasons, but will turn 30 in September and while
his career spans a reasonable 934 carries the decline is usually swift
at this age. This might be a nice spot to draft a play maker at the
position capable of changing it up. A true successor to Taylor is one
consideration. Another is a “scat back” smaller type to bust off a long
run against a defense worn out from facing “All Day” Adrian Peterson.
DRAFT: None.
Quarterback – All indications are that trade acquisition Sage Rosenfels
(Texans) and Tarvaris Jackson will compete for the starting job. Rookie
John David Booty has done nothing to show he was actually a starting
quarterback at USC which has been a factory at the position the past
half dozen years. Perhaps the fans would like to see a better counter
punch to rival Chicago trading for Jay Cutler, but this is not really
the draft to pull off such a move. Would they trade up for USC’s Matt
Sanchez? He was beat out for the starting job by Booty in 2007
remember. There is only one other player to consider and Georgia’s
Matthew Stafford would require a huge package commensurate to what the
Bears just gave up for Cutler. He is no Cutler and therefore the team
is likely to stand pat.
DRAFT: None.
Other players drafted:
Linebacker: Jasper Brinkley (South Carolina)
Safety: Jamarca Sanford (Mississippi)
SUMMARY: After using all three of their top 100 picks to fill needs I
outlined, that was it. They ignored quarterback as I expected, but also
failed to do anything for depth at defensive tackle and running back.
This surprised me because their recipe for success is a huge advantage
in rushing yards. GRADING MYSELF: 72
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Pre-Draft Picks (11): 23, 34, 47, 58, 89, 97, 123, 170, 199, 207,
234
*-compensatory picks cannot be traded
Actual Picks (12): lost 23, 47, 89, 199 gained 40, 41, 83, 198, 232
Linebacker – Let’s be realistic. Pierre Woods is not filling the void
created outside by trading Mike Vrabel to Kansas City. Neither is Tully
Banta-Cain (49ers) who was signed for his second tour of duty with the
team. Rookie Shawn Crable, a third round pick, is a future option.
Another rookie, Angelo Craig, was barely drafted last year by
Cincinnati and has made his way onto the roster. Other than Adalius
Thomas, who turns 32 just prior to the season starting, they have no
reliable options outside. The prospects inside got a serious boost with
Rookie of the Year performer Jerod Mayo living up to his first round
status and then some. However, stroke survivor Tedy Bruschi turns 36 in
June and by all accounts the end of his career is in sight. Bo Ruud,
whose brother plays for Tampa Bay, was drafted in the sixth round to
help shore up the depth chart, but special teams ace Larry Izzo (Jets)
left in free agency. Rookie free agent addition Gary Guyton also
factors into the future. An outside attacking linebacker is a more
pressing need, but I can see another inside player taken later in the
draft as well. Within two seasons Banta-Cain, Thomas and Bruschi are
likely all gone and the time is now to solidify this position for the
future.
DRAFT: With the last of their six top 100 picks they picked up Tyrone
McKenzie (South Florida) at #97.
Cornerback – This has been a need for years. Season after season short
term solutions are sought in free agency or off the scrap heap. Troy
Brown roaming around in their secondary became a symbol of their
ability to plug in just about anyone and make it work. Players signed
big deals elsewhere and the defense kept clicking along. Finally it
might have caught up to them as Asante Samuel was missed. At 34 Shawn
Springs (Redskins) is the latest veteran signing to patch up the
position. Last year’s draft picks Terrence Wheatley (second round) and
Jonathan Wilhite (fourth round) did not stand out as rookies. Leigh
Bodden (Lions) was signed to a one year deal. The most interesting part
of that might be that he played for a team that just went 0-16 and now
joins a team that recently went 16-0. The missing element here is an
anchor. I use that term a lot for various positions, but in this case
they really need that one guy to stand out the way Samuel did and
earlier this decade Ty Law. With a player like that their secondary is
much better. If it’s not a future starter, or even star, I expect them
to pass altogether.
DRAFT: As was long rumored the team wanted Connecticut’s Darius Butler
and got him at #41.
Safety – Whether or not Rodney Harrison plays one more season is
irrelevant to me. Former first round pick Brandon Meriweather and James
Sanders factor into the equation. Who else do they have back there?
Tank Williams? I guess since this is an odd year he might play a
little. The last two even years, 2006 and 2008, he missed entirely and
has yet to actually suit up in a game for this team. The Pats by their
own rules and can certainly adjust their scheme to fit their talent,
but this is an area they need to add some talent.
DRAFT: Patrick Chung (Oregon) was the first player they selected at
#34.
Running Back – The committee of veterans worked well enough in 2008 for
the team to rank #6 in the NFL with 142.4 yards rushing per game while
breaking in a new quarterback. Although it is commonly believed running
backs are finished at age 30, Sammy Morris just led the team in rushing
and had a solid average (4.7). He is now 32. Kevin Faulk managed an
even better average (6.1) and turns 33 in June. If I told you a team
got 239 rushes for 1,234 yards (5.16 average) and 10 touchdowns out of
two players I’m pretty sure Faulk/Morris would not be the tandem that
came to mind. Their effectiveness overshadowed the short lived season
of Laurence Maroney. The team’s thirst for veterans led them to sign
Fred Taylor, 33, who has been a fixture in Jacksonville with 11,271
career rushing yards to replace the departure of LaMont Jordan. Is
there something the rest of the NFL needs to know about? Why are they
the only team able to get production from running backs who are over
30? It stands to reason most teams might draft someone to carry the
load. I would not be surprised to see them pass altogether unless a
player they really like is out there. They did lose big back Heath
Evans (Saints) in free agency. A bruising “fullback” type is the
addition I would expect if anything.
DRAFT: None.
Wide Receiver – If you are looking to the future, as smart teams often
due, it is worth noting that Randy Moss will be 33 shortly after this
season ends. How long will he be able to maintain his speed and be an
effective #1? Perhaps his model will be newly acquired Joey Galloway.
At age 33-35 he achieved a career renaissance with the Bucs by rolling
up 1,000+ yards in three consecutive seasons while totaling 23
touchdown receptions. Now 37 his job is to use whatever speed he has
left to offset the departures of reliable Jabar Gaffney and
disappointing Kelley Washington. Greg Lewis was acquired in a trade
from Philadelphia. He should thrive given the surrounding talent. The
missing element in all of this is any youth whatsoever. Wes Welker will
be just shy of 29 when next year’s draft rolls around, and that’s the
youngest receiver of their best five. It takes a few seasons for
players to develop, especially when choices like Chad Jackson flame
out. This is just the right time to sneak in a late round addition with
some size. The rookie would have to earn a roster spot, and likely
would battle Sam Aiken. If this move is not made this season it could
lead to problems in 2011 when almost assuredly Galloway and Moss will
not be in the fold.
DRAFT: Even with a red flag on his record the Patriots still took
Brandon Tate (North Carolina) at #83 and added Julian Edelman (Kent
State) at #232.
Long Snapper – Yes, I’m serious. Lonie Paxton (Broncos) was snatched
up. Perhaps former offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels is aware how
important this position can be. Just to give you an idea about the
value of long snappers consider Paxton’s deal. He signed for $5,380,000
over 5 years including a Survivor winning sign on bonus of a million
bucks. Just to snap the ball? It is clearly a specialized trade and
while very few are drafted there are some who stand out in college
enough to warrant a selection. The Patriots have a need and might pull
the trigger.
DRAFT: I was serious and so were they, adding Jacob Ingram (Hawaii) at
#198.
Offensive Line – The right side of this line is an area of concern.
Things honestly started to fall apart a bit in the Super Bowl loss.
Everything was rainbows and pots of gold when they were 18-0. Then
Strahan and company rattled Tom Brady’s cage and pulled off one of the
all-time upsets in any sport. At right tackle starter Nick Kaczur and
primary backup Ryan O’Callaghan could stand to be upgraded. Preferably
with someone who can crack the lineup. At right guard Stephen Neal
turns 33 in October and this is his contract year. Clearly his future
with the team is in doubt. I’m not sure Billy Yates is really going to
get anyone excited moving into his spot full time. Teams are constantly
adding offensive linemen so this becomes a bit of a broken record, but
expect a guard and tackle to be added before the season starts. It is
even possible the Patriots could shake things up by seeking a new left
tackle to unseat Matt Light. Let’s not forget that while Matt Cassel
was a first year starter he was sacked 47 times. Yet another issue is
starting left guard Logan Mankins being in a contract year.
DRAFT: Tackle Sebastian Vollmer (Houston) was added at #58. At guard
Rich Ohrnberger (Penn State) went #123 and George Bussey (Louisville)
went #170.
Defensive Line – Their main concern here is money. Richard Seymour,
Vince Wolfork and Jarvis Green are in contract years. This can be good
during the season because players are giving extra effort to ensure top
dollar in free agency. It can be harmful after that when trying to
retain all of them. Tough decisions will need to be made as far as
which players are offered extensions, and when those deals will be put
on the table. Players can be extended at any time, but this is listed
as a team need because I expect the Patriots to at least sniff around
reinforcements for depth in advance of potentially thorny negotiations.
A good recent comparison is the Ravens dealing with 3 free agent
linebackers. They tagged one, signed one and lost one. Another issue to
factor in is the injury situation with Ty Warren as he attempts to
return to 100%.
DRAFT: The Pats added tackle Ron Brace (Boston College) at #40. Late
picks Myron Pryor (Kentucky) at #207 and Darryl Richard (Georgia Tech)
at #234 also joined the party.
Tight End – Again, this is more about depth and a contingency plan if
players exit in free agency. The Patriots have a ton of players with
expiring contracts and are unlikely to throw money at them when younger
models are coming off the assembly line. Here we have Benjamin Watson
and David Thomas. They might already be planning for them to depart
with the signing of Chris Baker (Jets) and also have rookie free agent
Tyson DeVree entering his second season. It is nearly impossible to
figure out where New England will go in this draft, but if they spy a
tight end they like there is no reason to pass. If I was guessing I
would say Watson and Thomas will not be on this roster in 2010.
DRAFT: None.
SUMMARY: Everyone they picked out of a dozen selections fit into a need
I outlined. The only spots they did not add talent were running back,
which I suggested they might not, and tight end, which was my lowest
need. This was the only team I put long snapper on the team needs and
they took one. Not too shabby. GRADING
MYSELF: 96
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Pre-Draft Picks (4): 14, 116, 118, 222
Actual Picks (4): lost 222, gained 164
Cornerback – There is some sort of curse on this position. Outlining
all of their failures trying to shore up this position would take up
most of this paragraph. Remember when Jason David was going to bolster
their pass defense? Mike McKenzie has been cut because of age and
injury concerns. Randall Gay is a rare free agent success story as
their nickel back. Tracy Porter did a nice job as a rookie, but was
lost to injury (broken wrist) after just 5 games. If you consider
Porter a potential second starter and Gay third on the depth chart what
are we missing? Oh, just at true #1 capable of going heads up on the
opponent’s best receiver. The curse should continue because this draft
is really light in terms of elite talent. They need to get lucky, for
lack of a better word, and land lightning in a bottle. Without a lot of
picks to work with they have to figure out if a player is worth the #14
overall slot, trade down as far as possible or find a veteran after the
June 1 cuts. None of these scenarios are promising.
DRAFT: Everyone and their mailman had Malcolm Jenkins (Ohio State)
going to them at #14 and it came to pass.
Free Safety – Two players with brothers also in the NFL, Josh Bullocks
and Terrence Holt, are gone. Holt was just brought in for couple of
games. Bullocks was a poster child for the team’s inability to cover
players running down the field. Veteran Darren Sharper is a nice
signing. He was a staple during his 8 seasons with Green Bay and 4
seasons with Minnesota. In total he has seen the field in 183 of a
possible 192 games. Still, that kind of experience obviously means he
is old (33) and while he brings his football IQ to a struggling
secondary the time is now to draft his successor. They also picked up
veteran Pierson Prioleau (Jaguars). Both guys are on one year deals and
it would be a major upset for the Saints to walk out of draft weekend
without an addition even with limited picks.
DRAFT: Chip Vaughn (Wake Forest) was the choice at #116.
Linebacker – The defense struggled overall. Jonathan Vilma has been
locked up to a big five year contract. There is talk of moving him to
the WILL which might maximize his impact even coming off a season with
a team leading (by far) 132 tackles. Currently he is flanked by the
“Scott” brothers Fujita and Shanle. This unit as a whole is light on
talent. If the emphasis on this draft is truly on defense someone
should be brought in to help Vilma. It is also worth noting that Fujita
is in a contract year. I guess I should also bring up that Dan Morgan,
who last played with the Panthers in 2007, is attempting a comeback,
and 2007 third round pick Anthony Waters (Chargers) is on hand.
DRAFT: They added Stanley Arnoux (Wake Forest) at #118.
Running Back – Deuce McAllister gave a lot to this franchise. He came
in with a little bit of controversy because the team already had Ricky
Williams. He leaves the team needing a bruiser willing to take one for
the team. Reggie Bush has been bashed as a bust, but much of this is a
perception problem. Injury struggles are one problem. When healthy he
is not and never will be a guy to run the ball 20-25 times in any given
game. Pierre Thomas has had some nice moments and with 181 rushes over
his two year career averages a solid 4.8 yards per carry. Still, he is
not viewed as a lead running back either. The dire need is picking up a
single yard when the game is on the line. Someone who can be added to
this potential three-headed monster as a punisher should be sought.
Mike Bell essentially takes the reserve spot that had been occupied by
oft-injured Aaron Stecker. It is possible the team tries to make due
with Bush, Thomas and Bell while continuing to focus on the dynamic
passing game.
DRAFT: None.
Wide Receiver – What? Did this team not lead the NFL with 410.7 yards
passing per game? Yes, they did. The leading receiver was Lance Moore
who blew up with 928 yards receiving and 10 touchdowns in his third
year working the field as a sneaky (read: 5’9”) speed threat. Marques
Colston is the anchor having averaged a gaudy 73.2 yards per game when
healthy. No one knows how knee surgery will impact his game. Perhaps he
is going to be right as rain, and perhaps not. Devery Henderson might
not be retained because despite a ridiculous career average of 21.6
yards per reception he has caught just 106 passes in four seasons. The
wild card is former first round pick Robert Meachem, who might take the
typical third year jump. At best Colston and Meachem start outside and
Moore works the slot. At worst Colston has injury troubles, Meachem
does not develop and teams figure out how to cover Moore. Another
complication is that Moore is a restricted free agent and has not
signed his tender. He is also recovering from a shoulder injury
suffered lifting weights. Putting all of this together another addition
makes sense and I look for the team to go fishing for another Colston
late in the proceedings or shortly thereafter.
DRAFT: None.
Quarterback – This could be a perfect time for the Saints to look for a
project who might develop into a backup or possibly even the successor
to Drew Brees. Mark Brunell is basically a coach at this point in his
career. Who is he coaching though? It’s nice to have his experience to
bounce ideas around, but anyone who witnessed Brad Johnson playing for
the Cowboys this past season knows Brunell under center in an actual
game is a bad idea. Joey Harrington is signed to a deal for 2009. This
will be his fourth team in as many seasons and his value is at best as
an experienced backup. Drafting a player capable of pushing Brunell to
retirement would be a smart move. Given their lack of picks this move
might be made by signing a rookie free agent.
DRAFT: None.
Other players drafted:
Punter: Thomas Morstead (SMU) #164
SUMMARY: They had more needs than picks. There is no question about
that, but my top 3 needs were addressed in order which means I got it
right. A punter was added late and Sean Payton must have been uneasy
not adding anyone on offense. GRADING
MYSELF: 86
NEW YORK GIANTS
Pre-Draft Picks (10): 29, 45, 60, 91, 100*, 129, 151, 164, 200, 238
*-compensatory pick cannot be traded
Actual Picks (9): lost 91, 164 gained 85
Wide Receiver – There is not much I can say about this situation that
has not already been said, other than to add a rumored Braylon Edwards
(Brown) draft day trade acquisition to this analysis. Plaxico Burress
is now completely out of the picture which ends a months long drama
following his bizarre self-inflicted gunshot incident during the 2008
season. Veteran mainstay Amani Toomer, a contributor for 13 seasons
with the team through both Super Bowls and 9,497 receiving yards, is
also out. His departure barely made a ripple given the grand state of
the Burress drama, but while Toomer has not had a season with over 800
yards since 2003 he did contribute almost as much to the stat sheet
this past season as the team’s leader in yardage (Domenik Hixon) and
receptions (Steve Smith) while finishing behind only tight end Kevin
Boss in touchdown receptions (4). His numbers were modest, but now the
depth chart is led by Hixon and Smith who combined for 100 receptions
and 1,170 yards and 3 touchdowns. Let’s be honest Sinorice Moss is a
draft bust and his claim to fame is being Santana’s brother at this
point. David Tyree made one great catch and that’s it. Mario
Manningham, a third round pick last year, has potential. They need a
big, fast #1 in the mold of Terrell Owens who they wisely steered clear
of in favor of team chemistry and locker room morale. Guys like this
just aren’t readily available in the draft and if they are rarely can
contribute from the jump. I said this before the Edwards situation
broke and now everyone sees why they are likely to acquire him rather
than draft an untested, unprepared rookie to be their #1 receiver.
DRAFT: A rumored trade for Braylon Edwards (Browns) never happened.
Instead they picked up Hakeem Nicks (North Carolina) at #29 and Ramses
Barden (Cal Poly) at #85.
Linebacker – The defensive line for the Giants is in good shape to say
the least. Justin Tuck, Mathias Kiwanuka and now healthy Osi Umenyiora
represent a standout trio of ends. The tackle spot was infused with
free agent talent in the form of Chris Canty (Cowboys) and Rocky
Bernard (Seahawks) who both signed long term deals. Having a talented
group up front makes it easier to deal with having a relatively average
group of linebackers. On the weak side Michael Boley (Falcons) was
signed as a speedy option to start ahead of Bryan Kehl. The fourth
round pick saw action as a rookie, but obviously the team decided he is
a backup at the moment. Aside from that, Gerris Wilkinson has now
missed 11 games the past two seasons so an addition made sense. This
spot is now in good shape. However, on the strong side veteran Danny
Clark is a starter for the moment. He has found steady work in the NFL,
but his first season with the Giants in 2008 marked his fifth team in
the last six seasons. At 32 (in May) a successor needs to be sought
soon anyway. Finally there are concerns in the middle with Antonio
Pierce. His play on the field seems to be on the decline and as part of
the Burress fiasco he might be suspended by the NFL which could
exasperate the situation. Jonathan Goff, a fifth round pick, showed
some skill in limited time as a rookie before getting injured. He is
likely a backup. I don’t know how much Chase Blackburn really factors
in. If a player capable of manning the middle is there I would not put
it past the Giants to strike early. I am certain one linebacker will be
added to this mix and very possibly two. I could also see the team
seeking the proverbial “best available” regardless of inside/outside so
long as the player suits their 4-3 alignment.
DRAFT: Doing exactly as I said they went BPA with Clint Sintim
(Virginia) at #45.
Running Back – I have mixed emotions about this need. The band has been
broken up with Derrick Ward (Bucs) exiting in free agency. If not for
the lack of talent at wide receiver this is a position I would probably
feel like the Giants can get away with not addressing. However, there
is going to be a lot more pressure on this running game without a real
threat in the passing game to distract the opposing defense. Beyond
that, the style used by Brandon Jacobs has limited him to 202 and 219
rushes over the past two seasons respectively and caused him to miss 8
games in that span. I think it is unrealistic to simply assume Ahmad
Bradhshaw, with just 90 carries in two NFL seasons, can step into
Ward’s shoes and thrive. Bradshaw succeeded behind a pair of 1,000 yard
rushers. Can he operate as well in a two-back system over a full
season? Danny Ware is an option. As a rookie free agent out of Georgia
he stuck. His role is going to be expanded as well. Maybe this trio
gets their own fancy nickname. Let’s hope it is more creative than Run
DBD. However, I would look for the Giants to target a versatile back
capable of catching some passes. Ward had 41 receptions in 2008. The
rest of the backfield combined for 19. Who is going to pick up that
slack?
DRAFT: Their new Ward is going to be Andre Brown (N.C. State) who was
chosen at #129.
Cornerback – Veteran Sam Madison was released and fellow old timer R.W.
McQuarters is loitering in free agency. Their departures leave the team
very young at the position, but also lacking quality depth. Their top
three players are set with Aaron Ross, Corey Webster and last year’s
second round pick Terrell Thomas. Beyond that they tendered Kevin
Dockery as a restricted free agent. Mind you there are teams in a lot
worse shape and all of their guys are young, but on a team with few
needs why not take a shot? A fifth corner seems frivolous. Maybe this
goes to show how talented their roster really is.
DRAFT: Late picks were used on New Mexico’s DeAndre Wright at #200 and
South Carolina’s Stoney Woodson at #238.
Safety – As with the cornerback spot this is not a bad situation. Kenny
Phillips, last year’s first round pick, steps into the starting lineup
next to 2007 seventh rounder Michael Johnson. It is possible rookie
cornerback Terrell Thomas slides over to safety as well. C.C. Brown
(Texans) was signed to a one year deal. Houston is known for never
having anything at the position so this is not exactly a big move. The
signing did help ease the loss of James Butler (Rams) Sammy Knight
(released) and Craig Dahl (Rams). Even if Thomas does change positions
a safety should be added to this mix given their net loss.
DRAFT: None.
Tight End – Trading away a high profile player like Jeremy Shockey was
an acceptable loss in the wake of their Super Bowl victory. In that win
Kevin Boss, who our own Michael Abromowitz hyped up before he was even
drafted out of “nowhere” (also known as Western Oregon) in 2007, blew
up. Now, I wonder if the Giants might be missing an extra player who
can catch the football, even with Shockey’s wild side disrupting team
chemistry at times. New York is going to figure something out at
receiver, but also needs to back up Boss with another threat. It’s
obvious that player would have to be able to do some blocking and deal
with poor weather.
DRAFT: Travis Beckum (Wisconsin) was their choice at #100.
Offensive Line – For some reason I left this off the team needs in my
first run, probably because the starters as a group are in the top
echelon of the NFL. It gets a little redundant to keep talking about
every team “adding depth”. One thing I brought up last year is that
David Diehl does not cut it at left tackle. It seems like there is a
growing group of us who feel this way. The sentiment is he would be
better suited slipping inside to left guard. It really doesn’t matter
what analysts think about this situation, but I’m throwing it out
there. My stance on this line is that any injury would be very harmful.
The Giants need to carefully target quality backup prospects. This is
still a talented roster and with free agency bolstering the defense I
feel like they can afford to grab one or two players to provide support
for this team’s strength.
DRAFT: Tackle William Beatty (Connecticut) lasted longer than expected
and they got him at #60.
Kicker/Punter – It was a bit painful to watch John Carney fight the
wind with those missed field goals in the playoffs. He was brought in
to replace injured Lawrence Tynes. I have to wonder if Tynes is really
their answer himself. Kicking outdoors he is only 60.5% from beyond 40
yards in his career. He almost missed twice from 43 and 36 yards in the
2007 NFC Championship Game’s final seven minutes of regulation, nearly
costing the team before redeeming himself by hitting the winner from 47
yards out in overtime. New Yorkers, given the Super Bowl win the
following week, probably don’t even remember the two misses by now.
Competition should be sought out in some form. Meanwhile, Jeff Feagles
is not your father’s punter. Wait, he actually is. This guy played his
first NFL game while Ronald Reagen was still in office. Someone needs
to look this up, but how many players have spent 4+ seasons with 4
different teams? Obviously both spots deserve attention and possibly
will warrant a draft pick.
DRAFT: None.
Other players drafted:
Quarterback: Rhett Bomar (Sam Houston State) #151
SUMMARY: It’s never easy to target needs on a team with so much talent,
but the Giants pretty much hit on the areas I outlined. An exception
was kicker/punter and generally those can be signed after the draft.
The other “miss” was free safety which I indicated was not a big need.
Instead they picked up another project at quarterback. GRADING MYSELF: 94
NEW YORK JETS
Pre-Draft Picks (6): 17, 52, 76, 115, 193, 228
Actual Picks (3): lost 17, 52, 76, 115, 228 gained 5, 65
Tight End – Dustin Keller lived up to expectations in his rookie season
as a first round pick. He is a great option in the passing game and
learning the ropes as a blocker. The new regime is going to utilize
multiple tight end sets and emphasize blocking. Even if Keller could be
cloned it would not solve their problem after parting ways with Chris
Baker and Bubba Franks. They need a second tight end with an eye on
blocking.
DRAFT: None.
Running Back – Recent history has illustrated it is better to draft a
player than to deal with the salary of a veteran. When a kid who is 22
years old can produce at a fraction of the cost it is easy to see why
this strategy is employed. Now consider the situations of primary
rushers Thomas Jones and Leon Washington. Jones is under contract for
two more years, which is halfway through the four year deal he signed.
From his perspective you can see why he wants more money now rather
than at the end of his commitment. Would you want to be 32 ½
years old and clearly in decline when asking for cash? He wants to be
paid at a premium like he is in his prime. His past four seasons (two
of those with the Bears) have proven him to be extremely durable and
productive. You just don’t see many guys averaging 302 carries and
1,244 yards these days. Jones was a bust as the #7 overall pick in
Arizona and spent an uneventful season in Tampa Bay which makes this
revival unusual. Also of concern is play maker Leon Washington entering
the final year of his contract. They share a position, but not much
else. Washington is a jack of all trades. He caught 47 passes last
season, has a career 4.9 average rush in relief over 298 attempts, and
is a top shelf return threat for punts and kickoffs. Of 90 total
returns in 2008 Washington was responsible for 77 including all punts.
He is younger, but while he might be willing to carry a bigger load his
size precludes him from being the featured back. All of this leads us
to their draft. If a lead rusher is available to provide leverage and
get Thomas Jones back in line the Jets will take that player. If Jones
wants to play ball he’s obviously talented enough to perform this
season and likely 2010 as well, but giving in to his demands is a bad
idea.
DRAFT: Despite having only three picks, and most people not seeing this
as a glaring need the Jets traded up for the first pick of day 2 in
order to draft Shonn Greene (Iowa) at #65.
Quarterback – Will they or won’t they? Rex Ryan comes over from a team
that won a Super Bowl with Trent Dilfer and came to the brink of the
big game on the arm of a rookie who didn’t even pass for 3,000 yards.
I’m not sure he’s as anxious as the fan base to make a splashy move on
the heels of Brett Favre’s swan song. Kellen Clemens is the leading
candidate to manage this offense. Brett Ratliff is the wild card who
has created “buzz”. Erik Ainge was taken in the fifth round of last
year’s draft out of Tennessee and has big time collegiate experience.
They will need to give up on one of these players if they make another
move in the draft. I see two draft options – a strong move early on or
none at all. There is also the possibility of a trade which I’m sure
thrills the incumbents.
DRAFT: Needless to say they went with my “strong move early” option. As
one of three teams (Denver, Washington being the others) I projected I
was convinced would trade up their move was nevertheless riveting even
to me. At #5 Mark Sanchez (USC) becomes the new face of the franchise.
Wide Receiver – Looking back it was not such a good idea to trade
Santana Moss after the 2004 season to reacquire Laveraneous Coles. Now
Coles has signed with Cincinnati and there is no big play threat left.
On the plus side their offensive philosophy will be changing under
defensive minded head coach Rex Ryan. Part of this is out of necessity
considering their quarterback situation. Jerricho Cotchery would be a
#2 ideally, but in this scheme it might not turn into a glaring
problem. He has been very productive the past three seasons with 235
receptions for 2,949 yards although his TD total (13) is low which is
what makes him a #2 type. Chansi Stuckey’s career seems on track after
picking up 32 receptions in his second season and scoring 3 times and
will be decent in the slot. Former quarterback Brad Smith is still
hanging in there, which might not be the case if this team had
respectable talent at the position. The flirtation with restricted free
agent Miles Austin (Cowboys) was an indicator of their serious interest
because signing him would have cost them a second round pick if Dallas
did not match. My feeling is that this need is filled in the draft and
probably given less attention than most would think because the offense
will be geared towards running the ball and utilizing the tight end
position in the passing game like Rex Ryan’s old team (Baltimore) has
done. If an addition is made it would be a player with speed.
DRAFT: None.
Defensive End – In the second half of the season Shaun Ellis had just
one sack after racking up 7 during the first half. He will turn 32 in
June and this might be an indication of an impending decline. Marques
Douglas (Ravens) was added to the position, but he is not going to
generate sacks. Kenyon Coleman is not strong on the other side either.
This problem needs to be addressed with a player capable of pushing
back offensive linemen.
DRAFT: None.
Inside Linebacker – Quantity was replaced by quality when Bart Scott
(Ravens) was signed and Eric Barton (Browns) Brad Kassel (released)
Cody Spencer (Lions) and David Bowens (released) left. The other
addition is Larry Izzo (Patriots) but this is just the latest barb in a
vicious rivalry. Izzo will turn 35 early in the season, and has been a
backup/special teams contributor his entire career. Stealing him from
New England was the motivation of that move. Their depth chart needs to
offset their losses. A change in philosophy from sitting back and
reacting to really attacking means the team probably was fine with so
many departures. They will draft another good fit inside to back up
Bart Scott and David Harris, who is coming back from a broken ankle in
the season finale.
DRAFT: None.
Right Tackle – There is no doubt this offensive line played better in
2008 and was a big reason the team almost made the playoffs. If one
position stood out as a weakness it would be Damien Woody at right
tackle. In his first season coming over from Detroit he allowed 6
½ sacks, committed 5 penalties, was oft-injured and struggled in
pass protection. Other than that he was great. Because the team
addressed so many defensive issues in free agency they might be able to
sneak in an addition at tackle. For better or worse they cut right
guard Brandon Moore and then signed him to a four year contract. Figure
that one out, especially with him recovering from sports hernia
surgery. Nevertheless, it secured every position to Woody’s left for
now.
DRAFT: Considering their lack of picks I’m sliding Nebraska’s guard
Matt Slauson, who has tackle experience, at #193 into this section.
Kicker/Punter – Jay Feely is going to have some sort of career when he
is done kicking field goals, but he is on his fourth franchise and
third in the past three seasons. His lone season with the Jets went
well. In fact, his post-Atlanta career has gone well. Looking at the
numbers it is hard to figure out why the Giants moved on after two
seasons of 83.3% and 85.2% conversions. Even more bizarre was the
Dolphins passing after he banged home 21/23 during the team’s dismal
1-15 campaign. This past season he was sharp again at 24/28 so why am I
bringing this up? He is only 70% from 40+ yards (outdoors) during his
career which is troublesome, but 76% (all games) over the past four
seasons. Mike Nugent didn’t make it as a second round pick in 2005 and
he has now latched on with Tampa Bay. Going 3/9 from 50+ yards probably
sealed his fate. Maybe they bring in a strong leg to compete with Feely
on kickoffs. I know they will add another punter because Reggie Hodges
is not going to cut it. This new regime will emphasize battling for
field position and that puts pressure on the punter and kicker. Quality
will be sought.
DRAFT: None.
SUMMARY: In fairness to me I listed more needs than picks, and at that
their stash was reduced from 6 to 3. Even at that they still addressed
two of my top three. The only glaring “miss” was at tight end where
only a couple of players could have fit into their system. The Sanchez
trade made it basically impossible to do so. GRADING MYSELF: 88
OAKLAND RAIDERS
Pre-Draft Picks (5): 7, 40, 71, 126, 217
Actual Picks (7): lost 40, 217 gained 47, 124, 199, 202
Safety – This position has been a sore spot for a long time. Legendary
Rod Woodson’s career finale stint from 2002-2003 marked the last time
there was much skill presented from the last line of defense. Michael
Huff is running out of chances as a former #7 overall pick. During the
Texas spring game festivities he was reminiscing about his part in
helping the Longhorns defeat USC in the BCS title game in 2006. Has he
brought the lumber since? The team has tried him at both the free and
strong spot. Free agent disappointment Gibril Wilson could not adapt to
the volatile atmosphere off the field and his play on the field was not
what the team expected when they gave him a big contract. Releasing him
was the only option and he quickly signed with Miami. Rashad Baker
(Eagles) is gone too. It looks like Hiram Eugene will be retained as an
exclusive rights free agent. Last year’s fourth round pick Tyvon Branch
also figures prominently assuming he gets healthy. The cornerback
situation was handled with the retention of star Nnamdi Asomugha and
also Chris Johnson who came on strong out of nowhere. The Raiders
always add someone to the secondary in the draft, usually early.
Looking at the depth chart safety seems much more likely to be at
safety.
DRAFT: Was there a bigger shocker than drafting Ohio’s Michael Mitchell
at #47? Several high profile analysts have backpedaled since draft day
as to how much of a reach it might have been. Time will tell.
Wide Receiver – Their wide receivers remind me of the cast of a bad
reality show on VH1. Javon Walker is trying to get his career back on
track and reworked the outrageous contract he signed last year to stick
around. In 7 seasons he has put together two big years, 2004 in Green
Bay and 2006 in Denver. Other than that his other 64 games have
produced a total of 1,545 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. This is
their anchor? If I have to hear one more person tell me they “like Chaz
Schilens” there is going to be a fight. Last year’s seventh round pick
shows promise, but let’s be honest he caught 15 passes. Out of his 226
yards on the season 98 came in the final two games. As for the other
“big threat” Johnnie Lee Higgins most of the big plays he produced came
on punt returns. He did almost win the Buffalo game with an 84 yard
touchdown which represented 23% of his yardage for the season. Like
Schilens a lot of his production came late, namely 12 of his 22
receptions. If you have not figured it out yet these numbers are a
joke. This team had two of the best receiver the NFL has ever seen,
Jerry Rice and Tim Brown, lining up for them not that long ago. Now
tight end Zach Miller is coming off leading the team with 778 yards
which is almost what Higgins, Schilens and running back Darren McFadden
(the next three on their receiving leaders) managed combined (877). I’m
out of material. They need someone – badly.
DRAFT: Darrius Heyward-Bey (Maryland) at #7 and Louis Murphy (Florida)
at #124 give them two more options.
Defensive Tackle – The same cast of characters are sticking around for
what continues to be a miserable run defense. Tommy Kelly is an elite
player in contract only. Gerard Warren is a former #3 overall pick so
he must be good right? William Joseph, also another team’s former first
round pick, was retained. Terdell Sands is perhaps best known for
punching star punter Shane Lechler in a scuffle. This group comes
nowhere close to getting the job done. Because of the existing salaries
it would be difficult under the salary cap to draft a player in the
first round, but someone has to provide an impact for this porous run
defense.
DRAFT: None.
Defensive End – Trevor Scott was taken in the fifth round and came up
with 5 sacks. He was considered a project, but might be a factor sooner
than later. Jay Richardson, a fifth round pick in 2007, looks to be on
the right track. It is one thing to have potential, quite another to
produce at the NFL level and right now Derrick Burgess is the only
difference maker. This brings us to the next problem. Burgess has seen
his sack and tackle totals dwindle since his monster 2005 season, his
first in a Silver & Black uniform. Now he is in a contract year and
will be putting his best foot forward looking for another big deal.
This has to be a point of emphasis in the draft. Burgess could be
slapped with the franchise tag if he has a good season, but even at
that more talent is needed after failed free agent Kalimba Edwards was
cut. A bigger player who can hold up against the run might be sought by
the Raiders as well.
DRAFT: Everyone seems to be infatuated with Raider reaches and Matt
Shaughnessy (Wisconsin) at #71 might have been. Stryker Sulak
(Missouri) at #199 has one of the most awesome names in this draft
class.
Offensive Line – I am addressing this because it is a perceived need.
There is a very strong possibility the team feels pretty good about
their situation. At left tackle the Kwame Harris experiment is over.
Now new addition Khalif Barnes (Jaguars) and incumbent Mario Henderson
will be battling it out for the most important spot. Erik Pears
(Broncos) and Marcus Johnson (Vikings) were also added to shore up the
depth chart. Last year’s starter on the right side Cornell Green has
run into issues off the field and it remains to be seen if that will
impact his status. However, this group is capable of handling the
position if need be. At guard the situation is solid with Robert
Gallery on the left side and Cooper Carlisle just signed a long term
deal to play on the right side. At center Jake Grove (Dolphins) was
lost, but a fairly inexpensive trade brought Samson Satele (Dolphins)
into the fold in what amounted to a player swap. John Wade is still
around as long as he holds up and Chris Morris provides interior depth
having just been retained. The biggest factor in all of this is new
offensive line coach Jim Michalczik. He has been responsible for an
excellent line at Cal since 2002 and it is no coincidence the team rose
to national prominence with him guiding the blockers. Along with head
coach Tom Cable the philosophy could be to “coach up” the talent rather
than make any drastic additions early in the draft. Unless of course a
“must have” player falls to them because it is worth noting both Pears
and Barnes are signed on one year deals. Cable referred to the top four
elite tackle prospects as “Cadillacs” when noting it would be nice to
coach one.
DRAFT: None.
Outside Linebacker – It seems as if mediocrity has been accepted for a
while on the strong side. Sam Williams is kept around because Al Davis
likes him. His play on the field certainly is not commensurate with a
third round pick and most teams would not consider Williams to be a
potential starter. Ricky Brown was retained and is slated to start. It
is strange to have such talent in the form of Kirk Morrison and Thomas
Howard in two spots and a carousel of average players joining them on
the field. They could use someone to stand out in that spot.
DRAFT: Oregon State’s Slade Norris at #126 will be lining up at
linebacker.
Other players drafted:
Tight end: Brandon Myers (Iowa) #202
SUMMARY: My only true miss was at defensive tackle because while I
pointed out the offensive line I approached it as a perceived need. The
one player they added from outside of these needs was a blocking tight
end they felt so strongly about they traded up for him. GRADING MYSELF: 90
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Pre-Draft Picks (10): 21, 53, 85, 141, 153, 157, 159, 194, 195, 230
Actual Picks (8): lost 21, 85, 141, 195 gained 19, 213
Tight End – I suppose it is better for the team to have thrown the
franchise tag on L.J. Smith last year and watched him flame out rather
than actually give him a contract. He has signed with Baltimore. Brent
Celek assumes his playing time and on the back of his strong playoff
showing should have no trouble as the receiving threat. His blocking is
a work in progress. The Eagles will be looking for someone with more
ability in that area and if that player can catch a few passes that
would be fine too.
DRAFT: Their choice was Cornelius Ingram (Florida) at #153.
Running Back – For as often as Correll Buckhalter was hurt he still
served as Brian Westbrook’s primary backup. Now that he has signed with
Denver there is no one on hand to pick up those 75 or so carries.
Ideally the new addition would contribute even more, and be capable of
solving their short yardage conversion issues. Lorenzo Booker was
acquired via trade from Miami, but his first season with the team was
uneventful to put it mildly. Just about everyone assumes the Eagles
will make an addition early on. They could care less how the fans or
analysts think they should approach this draft at the position. It
seems very unlikely for the Eagles to pass on a significant addition
though considering Westbrook is aging and constantly on the injury
report.
DRAFT: LeSean McCoy (Pittsburgh) at #53 fills their need.
Center – The play of Jamaal Jackson leaves a lot to be desired. His run
blocking in particular has suffered of late. There is not an heir
apparent on the roster and it is not as if the team is short on draft
picks. This is a draft rich with potential starting centers and after
addressing the tackle position with the Peters trade I am no longer
ruling out striking early. Nick Cole, a starter at time last year at
right guard, will be given a shot to compete. The Eagles love versatile
linemen anyway and someone who can play guard and center is going to be
considered.
DRAFT: I don’t really count this here, but I’m noting guard Paul
Fanaika (Arizona State) at #213. If I had it to do over again I would
have been better served with simply listing “offensive line” at the
bottom, but wanted to avoid that when possible.
Cornerback – Lito Sheppard was dealt to the Jets. This move coupled
with safety Brian Dawkins signing with Denver has weakened a previously
stout secondary. Rashad Baker (Raiders) and Sean Jones (Browns) were
picked up at safety, but reserves at cornerback are needed. Jack
Ikegwuonu was taken in last year’s draft with an eye on the future. A
knee injury damaged his stock and he fell to the fourth round, but he
could develop into a contributing player. Still, they need more.
Finally, mix in Sheldon Brown chirping about wanting to be traded – or
get a new contract. Reports are that management has told him to
ostensibly get back to work and like it. Nevertheless, it does boost
the need for help at the position a little.
DRAFT: Victor “Macho” Harris (Virginia Tech) saw his stock slip and
went #157. They also traded for Ellis Hobbs (Patriots).
Defensive End – I think the standout secondary has really helped the
line create pressure. When players are covered bad things happen for
the offense – like sacks. Darren Howard must be a fan of the Olympics
because every four years, and Olympic years no less, he goes big. His
sack totals in 2000 (11) 2004 (11) and 2008 (10) were the best of his
career. From 2005-2007, however, he totaled just 9 ½ and turns
33 this November. He might have some life left as a sack specialist if
someone convinces him 2009 is really 2012. Chris Clemons had 4 sacks in
his first season with the team. It remains to be seen if Victor
Abiamiri is going to justify his status as a second round pick in 2007
although he has the ability to play inside or outside. Signs point to
no at the moment. Juqua Parker has been steady if not spectacular in
recent seasons. The fixture of course is Trent Cole and the point is
that if someone could really stand out on the other side this defense
would be even scarier. My concern would be Howard fading due to age and
Abiamiri not developing into starter material.
DRAFT: None.
Wide Receiver – The Eagles like to spread the ball around. They utilize
a lot of players in their passing game. Greg Lewis was traded to New
England because they really did not need another player who is too
short to enjoy all the rides at Disneyland. Someone 6’2” or above who
can work the red zone is much needed in this offense. Hank Baskett is
the only one who fits that profile at the moment. Speed is not an issue
with DeSean Jackson coming off leading the team in receiving as a
rookie and Kevin Curtis returning from injury. There was a point last
season that the team realized featuring too many receivers was a bad
idea. It seems counterintuitive then to draft another player, but a big
body with possession skills can really help out Donovan McNabb. Given
the combination of their team needs and total draft picks it certainly
makes sense to go after Anquan Boldin (Cardinals) in a trade, but I’m
sure they would rather not deal with the team they just played in the
NFC Championship Game. Braylon Edwards (Browns) seems destined for the
rival Giants and #85 (Bengals) does not appear to be on the block. So
while I would suggest pursuing a trade it is debatable if they can pull
it off.
DRAFT: They double dipped with Jeremy Maclin (Missouri) at #19 and
Brandon Gibson (Washington State) at #194.
Other players drafted:
Offensive tackle: Fenuki Tupou (Oregon) #159
SUMMARY: I am relatively pleased here. My main regret is the order I
listed these needs, but mostly they stuck to the areas I outlined. The
lone player completely out of the box is Tupou, and I removed tackle
from team needs after Peters was acquired. The defensive end spot was
not addressed and this is not alarming. Philly has a lot of talent and
it’s tough to project what they will do. GRADING MYSELF: 87
PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Pre-Draft Picks (9): 32, 64, 96, 132, 168, 169*, 205, 226,
241
*-compensatory pick cannot be traded
Actual Picks (9): lost 64, 132 gained 79, 84
Offensive Line – The primary need is at center. Justin Hartwig allowed
an NFL high 6 sacks. The franchise has a rich tradition at the position
and could find a player to live up to the likes of Webster and Dawson
in this draft. At guard/tackle they somehow managed to keep their
starting lineup intact. The losses were guard Kendall Simmons
(released) and tackle Marvel Smith (49ers). Tackle Max Starks is
playing under the franchise tag. Reinforcements in the form of backups
will be picked up in the draft. Overall it is nice for quarterback Ben
Roethlisberger to stand up for his guys while hoisting the Lombardi
Trophy. If they draft quality talent he might be lifting it up again
with healthy ribs and minus the cobwebs in his head.
DRAFT: Guard Kraig Urbik (Wisconsin) was chosen at #79. Center A.Q.
Shipley (Penn State) was the choice at #226.
Defensive Line – Of their top six players on the line, five are on the
wrong side of 30 years old. The exception, Nick Eason, turns 29 next
month. I would say an infusion of youth is coming. Finding talent for a
3-4 defense is never easy. The Steelers have the luxury of coming into
this search with the NFL’s top defense. They are not in panic mode
obviously and can simply reload.
DRAFT: A strong move was made at #32 with the drafting of Evander
“Ziggy” Hood (Missouri). With more of an eye on the future Ra’Shon
Harris (Oregon) was taken at #205.
Wide Receiver – Their top three receivers accounted for 69% of the
passing game in 2008. The starters are back. Santonio Holmes is
polishing his Super Bowl MVP trophy. Hines Ward just turned 33 and
given his willingness to throw blocks figures to be nearing the end.
Nate Washington (Titans) is gone and takes his chunk of the
aforementioned production with him. Second round pick Limas Sweed
caught just 6 passes as a rookie, but obviously will be given an
opportunity to develop. There is really no other talent to speak of
which means they need to add talent. A return threat would be an added
bonus.
DRAFT: An under the radar choice given the flashy names at the top, but
at #84 Mike Wallace (Mississippi) was a quality addition.
Cornerback – The concern here is depth. Bryant McFadden (Cardinals) is
gone. Fernando Bryant was signed for another season and at 32 it might
be his last in the NFL. Speaking of which starter Deshea Townsend turns
34 two days before the regular season opener. Young, fast receivers
enter the league every year. They will be looking to add someone in the
middle rounds.
DRAFT: Keenan Lewis (Oregon State) at #96 and Joe Burnett (Central
Florida) fill this need.
Free Safety – I just don’t know what the team is going to do without
Anthony Smith (Packers). Who is going to talk trash? In actually
important player news Ryan Clark is in a contract year. Last year’s
sixth round pick Ryan Mundy did not see any action and grabbing a
rookie to offset the departure of Smith and somewhat prepare for the
possibility Clark moves on would be something to ponder.
DRAFT: None.
Linebacker – This is a position the Steelers always pay attention to,
and the reason is obvious. They win with defense and run a 3-4. Larry
Foote nearly departed for his native Detroit and 2009 will be it for
him. James Farrior’s production has been incredibly consistent since
joining the team in 2002 and he has missed just 4 games in that span.
However, if they play in the Super Bowl again he will be doing so at
age 35. Don’t misunderstand my vibe here. This is not doom and gloom.
James Harrison is locked up and ready to go while LaMarr Woodley and
Lawrence Timmons are still very young. They are not hurting even if
Foote and Farrior hang up their cleats at the end of the season, but
the time is now to prepare for that possibility because it is very
likely.
DRAFT: None.
Quarterback – Again, let’s not go off the deep end Steeler fans. The
starter is set. There is an experienced if not exciting backup in the
form of Charlie Batch who knows this system well. They also have
dynamic former Heisman Trophy candidate Dennis Dixon although I
consider him as a threat only in the “Wildcat” formation used in
conjunction with another player. They wanted Byron Leftwich (Bucs) to
stay, but also failed to offer him much money. The dilemma is that
drafting a rookie means carrying four quarterbacks or deciding between
the rookie and Dixon, right? I could see them added a priority rookie
free agent. There are some under the radar guys to choose from.
DRAFT: None.
Others drafted:
Running back: Frank Summers (UNLV) #169
Tight end: David Johnson (Arkansas State) #241
SUMMARY: Given the number of picks, and post-draft discussions about
cutting Larry Foote I stand stunned to see the Steelers walk out of the
draft without another linebacker, well, just because. They also decided
against drafting a backup quarterback which is a vote of confidence in
Dixon’s ability to progress, Roethlisberger’s ability to stay healthy
and Batch’s ability to do anything should the first two things fall
through. I can get behind a short yardage back and another tight end
certainly. They added two cornerbacks which bolsters the secondary
enough to overshadow my miss at free safety. GRADING MYSELF: 82
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Pre-Draft Picks (8): 16, 78, 113, 133*, 134*, 148, 189, 224
*-compensatory picks cannot be traded
Actual Picks: same
Running Back – Their short term problems are solved. Ladainian
Tomlinson is coming off the least productive season of his career,
partially due to playing hurt. He also turns 30 in June. This created
some tension when rumors swirled he might be released, but the two
sides came together on a restructured contract and he likely will
finish his career with the Chargers. His backup Darren Sproles was hit
with the franchise tag to prevent him from getting rich in free agency.
His strong showing in the playoff win over Indianapolis had a lot of
analysts gushing about the possibility of an expanded role. It is true
he piled up 150 yards on 27 touches, but last I checked he is still
5’6” and NFL defenders are, well, huge. When they hit him a lot it is
going to hurt and common sense dictates he will not be able to stay
healthy. As a change of pace player and return threat he does have
value, but the Chargers need to figure out what that is worth in a long
term contract. They also need to decide how to approach drafting
Tomlinson’s true replacement as the featured back. Do they make a
splash early? Wouldn’t that undo some of the good will created by
retaining him in the first place? It is a delicate situation, but they
need someone else to carry the ball.
DRAFT: It was wise to wait until #134 to address this area with
Colorado State’s Gartrell Johnson.
Offensive Line – The problems are on the right side. Starting guard
Mike Goff (Chiefs) moved on and there is no one to take his place.
Starting tackle Jeromy Clary was signed to a one year deal for
$460,000. Does the salary give you an idea of his talent level? This
problem existed last year too and unless you include seventh round pick
Corey Clark the Chargers ignored it. Now they have two spots to fill.
At center Nick Hardwick is trying to stay healthy, which means drafting
a little insurance makes sense there as well. Last year veteran Jeremy
Newberry filled in, but unless something changes he is not returning.
An addition at every spot is possible.
DRAFT: Louis Vasquez (Texas Tech) at #78 gives them an option at right
guard. Tyronne Green (Auburn) at #133 is a guard/center.
Strong Safety – The defense certainly lost their bite last season. The
pass defense was tortured for almost 4,000 yards. One of the problems
was not having an enforcer at the strong safety position. Free safety
Eric Weddle is a developing talent. However, Clinton Hart is merely
average and turns 32 in July. He is not striking fear into anyone
running routes down the field. A hard hitting addition is needed.
DRAFT: Kevin Ellison (USC) at #189 gives them another body at strong
safety.
Defensive Line – At nose tackle Jamal Williams will turn 33 later this
month. Defensive end Igor Olshansky (Cowboys) left in free agency. It
will be a great boost to the defense if linebacker Shawne Merriman
returns healthy, but they need some reinforcements up front or he will
not be as effective.
DRAFT: Vaughn Martin (Western Ontario) at #113 is a versatile down
lineman from Canada.
Other players drafted:
Linebacker: Larry English (Northern Illinois) #16
Cornerback: Brandon Hughes (Oregon State) #148
Wide Receiver: Demetrius Byrd (LSU) #224
SUMMARY: Everyone was taken by surprise with the English pick. Now it
looks like pure genius. Phillips was just charged with striking a
security guard in the face and while I’m not putting him on trial here
(just allegations currently) obviously this is not good. Merriman is
coming off a serious injury. On the plus side all of my needs were
addressed save right tackle, which is nitpicking since I outlined
offensive line and they took two linemen. Obviously Byrd, who is
recovering from an unfortunate accident, is a luxury pick. GRADING MYSELF: 91
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Pre-Draft Picks (9): 10, 43, 74, 111, 146, 171*, 184, 219, 244*
*-compensatory picks cannot be traded
Actual Picks (7): lost 43, 111
Running Back – Just because I put this need high does not mean it
equates to drafting someone early. Obviously Frank Gore is their
primary back. Nagging injuries the last two seasons have prevented him
from carrying a bigger load, but truth be told 260 and 240 carries is
just about where he should be. The problem is having no other effective
threat when he is not the one carrying the football. Veteran DeShaun
Foster was signed from Carolina, but produced a dismal 3.1 yards per
rush on 76 attempts. Converted college quarterback Michael Robinson
took a serious step back in his third year and managed only 50 yards on
19 rushes (2.6 average). When you combine their efforts it’s 2.99 yards
per rush which is a huge drop from Gore (4.32) running behind the same
line. The touchy part of this equation is Gore’s ego. If the team
drafts a player too early it would be considered a slight. However,
waiting too long could put them in danger of not getting an effective
contributor. This season the offensive philosophy will be to run the
football early and often. If Gore is not given help that plan will not
work.
DRAFT: Glen Coffee (Alabama) at #74 fits this need.
Outside Linebacker – First of all head coach Mike Singletary wants to
give former first round pick Manny Lawson a chance to rush the passer.
Out of the 5 ½ sacks he has recorded in 32 career games over
three seasons two of them came in his second outing, which has
justifiably led to the “bust” label following him. It is nice that
Singletary believes in the player and wants to give him a chance, but
the NFL waits for no one. In the same 2006 draft when Lawson was
selected Parys Haralson was taken in the fifth round. Now he is the
solid piece looking for someone to complement him after he led the team
with 8 ½ sacks. This is known as irony. Haralson just signed a
four-year extension to solidify his position with the team. Tully
Banta-Cain’s two year stint with the team is over. He went back to New
England.
DRAFT: None.
Quarterback – There is justified debate over how important the team
feels about adding a rookie. Departed offensive coordinator’s pet
project J.T. O’Sullivan (Bengals) is gone. The journeyman veteran role
Jamie Martin filled now belongs to Damon Huard (Chiefs) who is on a one
year contract. He has just a little value as a mentor and emergency
third stringer. Former #1 overall pick Alex Smith restructured his
contract to remain with the team, much to the chagrin of many 49er
fans. Shaun Hill has been the rock through all of this turmoil. Very
quietly he guided the team to a 5-3 record in the second half. Some
believe given the shot to hold down the job for a full season he could
effectively manage this offense. He is never going to pass for 3,500
yards one would think, but the stats from his 10 appearances in 2008
translate to 3,637 over a full season. His likeability factor as an
“average guy” works against him because the perception of a franchise
starting quarterback is someone who commands attention. There are two
of those flashy types available in the draft. They might be able to get
their hands on one, or grab another competitor.
DRAFT: They know the limitations of Nate Davis (Ball State) but at #171
it was worth it.
Offensive Tackle – This was a bigger problem before Marvel Smith
(Steelers) signed, but he is injury prone. Remember Jonas Jennings?
49er fans certainly do (he was just released) which is why the team has
to be looking at drafting some insurance. Damane Duckett (Patriots) is
gone and at 34 Barry Sims does not appear to have much left to offer.
Adam Snyder and Joe Toledo are now their primary backups. Their current
situation is more settled than it was before Smith was added, but I
would not rule out a draft pick in any round.
DRAFT: None.
Free Safety – The signing of Jimmy Williams, who did not play in 2008
and was formerly with Atlanta as a 2006 second round pick, is either
savvy or desperate. However, Mark Roman has no interceptions in the
past 2 ½ seasons and at 32 looks to be fading out as a viable
option. Their 2007 fourth round pick Dashon Goldson is looking like the
new starter although he has no interceptions in 19 appearances. Can
someone please pick off a football or two? It is unclear to me exactly
what the future holds for former free safety/cornerback ‘tweener Reggie
Smith who they picked in the third round. His development and where he
fits could change their strategy in the secondary. However, someone
needs to take the ball away from the other team.
DRAFT: The choice was Curtis Taylor (LSU) at #219.
Cornerback – Last year at this time I was accused of ageism (seriously)
by one particularly unhappy fan for saying the 49ers should plan ahead
for Walt Harris’ retirement. It’s not the point that he had another
good season. The point is that when he suits up in week 1 he will be 35
years old. Decades of NFL history illustrates that this is about the
time a player simply can’t do it any more at a high level. Their 2007
fifth round pick Tarell Brown took on a larger role, but now Donald
Strickland (Jets) has sought greener pastures. I know, bad pun.
Shawntae Spencer has struggled to stay healthy having missed 22 games
over the past three seasons including almost all of 2008. Cornerback is
a spot where a constant flow of talent makes sense considering three,
sometimes four players can get on the field in certain situations. They
need to take a hard look at someone who can be that starter when Harris
is done, and if that player can’t be found just add another body to
make up for Strickland leaving.
DRAFT: None.
Wide Receiver – The signing of Brandon Jones (Titans) offsets the loss
of Bryant Johnson (Lions). Jones has 112 receptions for 1,380 yards and
9 touchdowns. Some of the lack of production can be blamed on playing
in Tennessee, but it took him four seasons and 51 games to amass those
totals? I’m skeptical of this signing. At best he is a complementary
player on a team dying for a #1. Isaac Bruce has offered up his
services for one last season. His value is in the locker room more than
the playing field although he did lead the team in receptions (61)
yards (835) and touchdowns (7). Even if he is productive this season
and stays healthy this is the end for him. Josh Morgan is definitely a
keeper and 2007 third round pick Jason Hill showed signs of life with
30 receptions. Can the young talent keep developing? It is a whole lot
of mediocrity at this point, but given their inclination to run the
football and play defense it might not be much of a priority in the
draft.
DRAFT: Fans by the Bay rejoiced when Michael Crabtree (Texas Tech) was
there for the taking at #10.
Tight End – I was a little sad to see Billy Bajema (Rams) go. You see,
I did a full 7 round draft in 2005 and with pick #249 I projected him
to the 49ers. Apparently someone in the front office saw this and
thought it would be funny to actually take him in that spot, so they
did. Crazy coincidences aside, he was an effective blocking tight end
for them. The stat line sort of indicates what his strengths are. He
played in 61 games and caught 7 passes. Flashy first round pick Vernon
Davis is still trying to find his way as the primary receiving option.
Joe Jon Finley is looking like the best blocking threat, but he was
signed as a rookie free agent. They will be keeping an eye out for more
blocking talent. It fits their offensive strategy and helps their
currently less than stellar situation at offensive tackle.
DRAFT: Bear Pascoe (Fresno State) offers support here at #184.
Other players drafted:
Linebacker: Scott McKillop (Pittsburgh) #146
Defensive end: Ricky Jean-Francois (LSU) #244
SUMMARY: Two picks were traded away which left fewer picks than the
needs I listed. Jumping on Crabtree might have taken them away from
their strategy going in, and I would love to know if the 49ers might
have taken a rush linebacker or specifically offensive tackle at #10
otherwise. The two players taken outside my list of needs bolster their
front 7. While I felt going in I had a fairly good grasp on where they
would go, the results say otherwise. GRADING
MYSELF: 68
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Pre-Draft Picks (10): 4, 37, 68, 105, 137, 178, 214, 245*, 247*, 248*
*-compensatory picks cannot be traded
Actual Picks (7): lost 37, 68, 105, 137, 214 gained 49, 91
Offensive Tackle – The new zone blocking scheme engineered by Greg
Knapp will bring changes and the timing is probably good because
turnover was inevitable anyway. All five preseason 2008 projected
starters finished the season on injured reserve. Franchise left tackle
Walter Jones is 35 years old and coming off knee surgery. This is not a
good combination of facts for the most important position. Ray Willis
was retained on a two year deal, but he’s a backup on the right side.
They need a left tackle and would be hard pressed to pass on this need
at #4 overall.
DRAFT: None.
Outside Linebacker – There are two issues here. Julius Peterson is gone
having been traded to Detroit. More complicated is franchise tagged
Leroy Hill moping and skipping workouts. Is he going to be in the fold
long term? There is not much time to figure that out prior to the
draft. Given their current situation it seems extremely like one player
is drafted to push for work at the weak side, and if the team believes
Hill is not going to be on board then insurance on the strong side
could also be added. This uncertainty might lead them to draft someone
early, but the whole point of trading Peterson was to avoid salary
overload because the man in the middle Lofa Tatupu is well paid. Three
highly compensated linebackers on a defense that was #30 in total yards
allowed last season made no sense to management and I can see why.
DRAFT: If I had known the team would remove the tag from Leroy Hill it
would have certainly made me consider projecting Wake Forest’s Aaron
Curry to them at #4. As it turned out they got their cake (Curry) and
ate it (signed Hill) too.
Quarterback – Some are calling it a smoke screen that the team is
interested in a quarterback. I really like the attitude and demeanor of
Seneca Wallace. The team was 3-5 when he was primarily in charge. When
Matt Hasselbeck, struggling with a balky back, started they were 1-7.
Sometimes these numbers get thrown around, but also consider Wallace
was on the road in 5/8 while Hasselbeck obviously was home for 5/8.
Against division foes Wallace was 2-1, Hasselbeck 1-2. Does this mean
that when the receivers are healthy Wallace gives them a better chance
to win? Maybe in short spurts it does. Hasselbeck might never be right
physically again. That’s just the reality of life and the human body.
He has been a great quarterback for this franchise and led them to
their only Super Bowl appearance. However, when he turns 34 the first
month of the season people are going to wonder about the future at the
position. Wallace epitomizes a quality backup to me, which is intended
as a compliment. He can step in and win a few games. He is not going to
weather the storm of a full season and therefore the time to draft a
future replacement is now. The Seahawks are in position to do so with
the #4 overall pick in the draft. Whether they do it or not is another
story.
DRAFT: Rumors swirled about them taking Sanchez. Instead they passed
and later added Mike Teel (Rutgers) at #178.
Offensive Guard – Their running game fell apart and injuries on the
line certainly contributed to that. Chris Gray (retired) and Floyd
Womack (Browns) are gone. Mike Wahle is 32 and oft-injured. They will
be looking for players who fit into the new zone blocking scheme to
fill up the depth chart.
DRAFT: Max Unger (Oregon) at #49 gives them a versatile threat on the
line.
Wide Receiver – It was a good move signing T.J. Houshmandzadeh
(Bengals). Their biggest problem last year was a rash of injuries. He
has only missed 5 games total in the past 6 seasons and never more than
two during that span. Deion Branch is totally unreliable since being
required in a 2006 trade. He has played in just 33 of 48 team games
including missing half of last year. This is not what you want from a
#1 receiver. Nate Burleson is still on the mend and even before
essentially missing the 2008 season had been struggling. Most of his
paycheck has been predicated on his 2004 campaign in Minnesota (1,006
yards). He was decent in 2007 (694 yards) but those two seasons
represent 62% of his production during a six year career. If he returns
healthy does it really matter? As much as I like the Houshmandzadeh
signing for the reliability factor, it is almost a break even deal with
Bobby Engram (Chiefs) gone. The past three seasons while Burleson and
Branch were disappointing Engram averaged 55 receptions for 642 yards.
While I expect Houshmandzadeh to far exceed that production the point
is that he can’t hold down the position by himself and is merely an
upgrade from Engram. The team still needs someone to fill the gaps
where Burleson and Branch fail. Rookie tight end John Carlson led this
team in receptions (55) yards (627) and touchdowns (5) last year. What
does that tell you? It might not be an early addition, but someone to
develop and step in down the line is a good idea.
DRAFT: They picked up Deon Butler (Penn State) at #91.
Running Back – Offensive coordinator Greg Knapp reunites with new head
coach Jim Mora Jr. The pair worked together in Atlanta and incumbent
habitually underachieving T.J. Duckett was part of that mix with the
Falcons. As a fan of fantasy football I always loved Duckett’s ability
to score touchdowns (8 last year on just 62 carries) but loathe the
fact that he never assumes a larger role. The man is over 250 pounds
and yet in the past three seasons (with Washington, Detroit and
Seattle) has totaled just 165 carries over 38 games. I’m not sure yet
if he will see an expanded role with longtime Seahawk backup Maurice
Morris (Lions) gone. The lead back is going to be Julius Jones unless
something changes. He fell out of favor with former head coach Mike
Holmgren and after a promising first month of the season really fell
off. In three September starts he had 312 yards rushing on 61 attempts
(5.11 average) and 2 touchdowns but saw his use limited to 97 rushes
for 386 yards (3.98 average) the rest of the way and never scored
again. Still, he has over 1,000 rushes of experience in the NFL and
will be given a chance in the new “one cut” system. I see the team
sniffing around possible additions in the draft. Mike Holmgren
abandoned the run late last year, but I assure you this new regime will
not and the departure of Morris (132 rushes last year) opens up a spot.
Rookie Justin Forsett, a late seventh round pick out of Cal, failed to
make much of an impression in his first year.
DRAFT: None.
Cornerback/Free Safety – There are some players in the draft who can
shuffle between these two spots and it might be what the Seahawks need
in their secondary. At cornerback 2006 first round pick Kelly Jennings
has been a disappointment. Josh Wilson is pretty average. Both have
youth on their side and could develop into better players. At free
safety Brian Russell is what he is and that’s not a good thing. This is
the third stop in his NFL career and he has just 1 interception in two
seasons with the Seahawks. It’s hard to believe he got his hands on 9
interceptions in 2003 with Minnesota, his second season in the NFL. In
his other 92 career games he has a total of 7, and only one additional
season (2005 in Cleveland) has he had more than one. If they can find
someone with ball skills at either cornerback or free safety expect
them to strike.
DRAFT: None.
Fullback – Is this position still around? You would hardly know it.
Last year they drafted hard hitting Owen Schmitt in the fifth round. He
was last seen running through a brick wall head first at West Virginia.
Okay, not really. Veteran Leonard Weaver (Eagles) has moved on. It is
certainly possible to stand pat with Schmitt this season. The point
here is that two members of their backfield have departed in free
agency, running back Maurice Morris being the other. For a team intent
on getting back to running the football this seems like something to
consider. In the case of a fullback perhaps a rookie free agent is in
order, or a veteran.
DRAFT: None.
Other players drafted:
Safety: Courtney Greene (Rutgers) #245
Defensive end: Nick Reed (Oregon) #247
Tight end: Cameron Morrah (California) #248
SUMMARY: Losing three picks certainly did not help my chances to match
up their needs to picks. Neither did passing on an elite left tackle in
favor of Curry. Other than that first choice, however, four of my top
five areas were addressed. The players who fell outside of my team
needs were all seventh round compensatory picks. GRADING MYSELF: 75
ST. LOUIS RAMS
Pre-Draft Picks (7): 2, 35, 66, 103, 160, 196, 211
Actual Picks: same
Offensive Tackle – They are really in trouble at the tackle spots. It
is one thing to lose mainstay Orlando Pace, who was released and signed
with Chicago. Now the problem is compounded by even thinking of moving
former first round pick Alex Barron to the left side in a contract
year. If he does halfway decent he will demand to be overpaid, and up
until this point of his career he has done nothing to demonstrate he
can be a dominant force on the left side. He can barely hold up
starting on the right side. If that is the plan Adam Goldberg will take
the starting spot at right tackle.
DRAFT: Even with late swirling rumors they stuck to the plan and took
Baylor’s Jason Smith at #2.
Middle Linebacker – The situation outside improves with Will
Weatherspoon changing positions. Unfortunately that opens up a huge
hole in the middle. Their projected starter is Chris Draft who is 33
and simply the best available man on the roster. They need to get their
hands on someone who can handle an important spot on the defense and
there are a limited number of rookies who appear ready. Will any of
them be available for them in the second round?
DRAFT: At #35 the choice was James Laurinaitis (Ohio State) and I am
really tired of spelling his name.
Wide Receiver – Let’s just say the Greatest Show on Turf is a thing of
the past. This group of receivers is not even worthy of a nickname.
Longtime stud Torry Holt (released) is gone because he is too old and
paid too much to be on a team going nowhere. Drew Bennett (released) is
out after two seasons as a free agent signing bust. Rookie Donnie
Avery, who stunned the draft community by being the first receiver off
the board early in round 2 last year, is a bright spot. He finished
with 53 receptions for 674 yards which are good numbers for a first
year player. The transition is not easy at the position in general, and
especially coming out of Houston from Conference USA. Fellow rookie
Keenan Burton, a fourth round pick from Kentucky, saw some action on
the field as well. He will be counted on more than a young middle round
selection usually would because there are no better options available.
A quiet deal was struck to acquire Laurent Robinson (Falcons). He was
unable to produce in Atlanta as a third round pick in 2007, but because
current St. Louis general manager Billy Devaney was in that
organization when the Robinson was taken he obviously saw something.
Hamstring issues ruined his 2008 season and at this point it is unclear
what he can bring to the table. This team is in need of a solid #1 to
play on the outside and will be taking a shot at finding one early in
the draft.
DRAFT: If all had gone well for the Tar Heels can you imagine their
passing game in 2008? I digress. The Rams took Brooks Foster (North
Carolina) at #160.
Defensive Tackle – This defense could not stop the run. Teams piled up
almost 2,500 rushing yards against them in 2008. Sure, Adam Carriker
and Clifton Ryan are developing young players from the 2007 draft, but
at what point do you start to plan in case they never become great? I
think the time is now considering their lack of effectiveness at job #1
which is stopping the run. The situation outside at end is in decent
shape anchored by young stud Chris Long although Leonard Little and
James Hall could be retiring soon. I would expect to see them take
another shot at an impact interior player. It takes three who can play
to really get the job done and I am not seeing it on their roster.
DRAFT: Dorell Scott (Clemson) was added at #103.
Center – Quantity was swapped for quality with the acquisition of Jason
Brown (Ravens) and departures of Nick Leckey (Saints) and Brett Romberg
(Falcons). Backup center is not a crucial need until your starter gets
hurt. Then panic sets in. Guard Richie Incognito, who has been been
tendered as a restricted free agent, has the ability to play the
position in a pinch. Another versatile guard/center type sounds like a
good idea to me late in the draft, but it is worth noting there is
definitely some youth available at guard on this roster after John
Greco (third round) and Roy Schuening (fifth round) were taken last
year. This could mean a straight center is sought in the rookie free
agent pool. It is just something to consider for insurance because this
line has struggled so much overall.
DRAFT: None.
Other players drafted:
Cornerback: Bradley Fletcher (Iowa) #66
Quarterback: Keith Null (West Texas A&M) #196
Running back: Chris Ogbonnaya (Texas) #211
SUMMARY: They went after the top four needs I outlined and three of
them aggressively. The fifth need was backup center, which I’m not
losing any sleep over missing. They might not either unless their
starter gets hurt. The players added outside of my team needs were
backups. GRADING MYSELF: 90
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Pre-Draft Picks (8): 19, 81, 120, 155, 190, 216, 229, 233
Actual Picks (6): lost 19, 120, 190, 216, 229 gained 17, 117, 217
Wide Receiver – There is a reason they slapped the franchise tag on
Antonio Bryant and signed Michael Clayton to a hefty four year
contract. Without those moves what would they have at receiver? Aging
veterans Joey Galloway and Ike Hilliard were released as part of the
team’s new youth movement. Last year’s rookie Dexter Jackson, a second
round pick, is looking like mostly a kickoff return threat at best.
Maurice Stovall has only 20 receptions in his three year career as a
third round pick. It is uncertain who will win the starting job at
quarterback, and Byron Leftwich (Steelers) has been added to the
competition. Whoever it is will definitely need one more reliable
threat. Having Kellen Winslow to rely on at tight end helps assuming he
can stay healthy and live up to his potential.
DRAFT: They went with potential with the late addition of Sammie
Stroughter (Oregon State) at #233.
Defensive Tackle – On the positive side Ryan Sims was locked up for 4
years and they just drafted Dre Moore in the fourth round. On the
negative side Jovan Haye (Titans) left in free agency and by all
accounts Chris Hovan is tailing off. The Sims move is not a big one and
it is still unknown what Moore can do in the future. They are going to
look for a player capable of being their anchor. Sort of like Warren
Sapp. He has been missed since he helped them win a Super Bowl. They
will be adding size over speed as they rebuild the defensive line from
the inside out.
DRAFT: Roy Miller (Texas) was selected at #81.
Cornerback – Last year’s first rounder Aqib Talib should hold down one
starting spot. The other is currently manned by Ronde Barber. How long
he can continue to run with NFL receivers is very much in doubt. His
switch to a supporting role appears imminent considering he just turned
34. Phillip Buchanon (Lions) is gone after two fairly productive
seasons. They should be looking long and hard at another potential
starter because right now there is not much behind Talib and Barber.
Jermaine Phillips was retained for what that is worth.
DRAFT: Western Michigan’s E.J. Biggers was picked up at #217.
Linebacker – Long time star Derrick Brooks was released along with Cato
June. In their place the team signed Angelo Crowell (Bills) and Niko
Koutouvides (Broncos). The hope is that younger players currently on
the roster will fill the shoes of their departed veterans while the
newcomers provide depth. Two guys counted on for an increased role are
Quincy Black and Geno Hayes from the past two drafts. They might be up
to the task. Time will tell. However, counting on Crowell is a risky
proposition. He missed the entire 2008 season due to injury and is
signed to a one year deal. Koutouvides has never stood out in five NFL
seasons, the first four with Seattle. The Bucs are going to be on the
prowl for another linebacker just in case.
DRAFT: None.
Defensive End – Greg White, or whatever he wants to be called, is a
marginal player. Maybe that’s why he seeks attention by making a
ridiculous name change. Gaines Adams appears to be on track and holds
down one starting spot firmly. Although at 35 Kevin Carter does not fit
the youth movement it makes sense in the short term to keep him on
board. Jimmy Wilkerson had a productive first season with the team
after signing as a free agent from Kansas City. In the final analysis
it feels like another impact player to groom for pairing with Adams is
in order.
DRAFT: They picked up USC’s Kyle Moore at #117.
Quarterback – Here we go again. After signing Byron Leftwich (Steelers)
it was thought their flirtation with drafting Kansas State’s Josh
Freeman in the first round was over. Is it or isn’t it? I thought when
Jon Gruden hit the road this team was done collecting quarterbacks like
stamps. They already have two and the new regime has signed off on two
of them, Leftwich and Luke McCown. If the Bucs go after another player
it would mean not only giving up on their most experienced option,
Brian Griese, but also their developmental option Josh Johnson unless
they plan on carrying four. I know Gruden left them in a bit of a spot
in the position. However, I’m not sure this was the way to go about
getting out of it.
DRAFT: To really no one’s surprise they selected Josh Freeman (Kansas
State) and traded up to #17 to do it.
Kicker – It was a particularly difficult season for Matt Bryant for
personal reasons. For purposes of this I will stick to the performance
on the field. The problem is long range. He is just 2/10 from 50+ yards
in his career and that simply does not cut it. The past two seasons he
has missed all 6 long range attempts. Inside of 40 yards he is pretty
much money at 91% for his career, but at what point is 65% from 40+
yards unacceptable? We will see if the Bucs seek out someone with a
stronger leg for camp competition. They have already signed former
second round pick Mike Nugent (Jets) to a one year deal. His long range
success is also in question. He is 3/9 from 50+ in three seasons, and
is only 64.5% from 40+ in his brief career.
Draft: None.
Other players drafted:
Offensive tackle: Xavier Fulton (Illinois) #155
SUMMARY: Other than the order of priority and not addressing linebacker
this went as I expected. The kicker was more about competition and
considering they were -2 picks due to trades I can live with missing on
those areas. The only player off my team needs was help on the
offensive line and every team can justify a pick there. GRADING MYSELF: 92
TENNESSEE TITANS
Pre-Draft Picks (10): 30, 62, 94, 130, 135*, 173*, 203, 206*, 239,
242*
*-compensatory picks cannot be traded
Actual Picks (11): gained 89
Cornerback – For now the starting tandem of Cortland Finnegan and Nick
Harper is fine. A future starter for Harper needs to be mined right
away though. He turns 35 the first month of the season and will not be
able to carry on much longer. Cary Williams was a seventh round pick
out of Miami, FL last year and his collegiate teammate Tanard Davis was
not drafted at all. Both are young, but neither has the look of a
future starter. Eric King (Lions) is gone. Ineffective Reynaldo Hill
and aging Tyrone Pool are also in free agency limbo. On the plus side
backup free safety Vincent Fuller was locked up as a nickel option.
This position needs to be addressed by seeking a potential starter.
DRAFT: Ryan Mouton (Hawaii) at #94 helps this area, and they also
picked up Jason McCourty (Rutgers) at #203.
Wide Receiver – Maybe letting Derrick Mason get away a few years back
was not such a good idea. In 2004 he was their last receiver over 1,000
yards (Drew Bennett also did it that year) and they have struggled to
find talent since. Justin Gage provided some big plays and managed to
lead the team in receiving with 651 yards despite catching just 34
passes and missing four games. He also had half of the team’s 12
touchdown receptions. Brandon Jones (49ers) was a subtraction and Nate
Washington (Steelers) filled his spot. Other than last year’s third
round pick Lavelle Hawkins there is no one else worth talking about.
After literally years of trying they need to evaluate the rookie talent
and pick up someone who can catch the football. Attacking the problem
earlier in the draft would be a good way to get better talent. This
sounds simplistic, but just look at their history of failed middle
round picks and you’ll see what I mean.
DRAFT: The Titans finally struck early, making Kenny Britt (Rutgers)
their first pick at #30. They also added Dominique Edison (SFA) at
#206.
Quarterback – Patrick Ramsey (Broncos) is already on his fourth team
since being a first round pick in 2002 so the term journeyman fits. He
fills the roster spot of Chris Simms (Broncos) but more than that is a
threat to knock Vince Young down the depth chart. VY is also a former
first round pick (2006) as is current starter Kerry Collins (1995) half
a generation later. There seems to be a clear order here. Collins is
locked in for two years to be “the guy”. At the end of that arrangement
he will be 38 and presumed finished. Ramsey is not a future starter.
Young’s place on the team is tied to the hefty contract he signed as a
#3 overall pick. This has become a bit of a cluster considering no one
is in place to lead this team in 2010 or 2011 when Collins is either
washed up or retired. They could make a surprise move in the draft and
suddenly cut ties with Young.
DRAFT: None.
Linebacker – In the middle starter Stephen Tulloch and backup Ryan
Fowler are average. On the outside David Thornton turns 30 in November
and Keith Bulluck just turned 31. Both have been incredibly durable
over the course of their careers. Of course that means they also have a
lot of wear on their bodies. There is not much behind them and it would
make sense for the Titans to look for someone who can take over down
the road when this duo wears down.
DRAFT: Gerald McRath (Southern Miss) at #130 boosts the outside
situation.
Defensive Line – At tackle it is simply not possible to truly replace
Albert Haynesworth, who signed with Washington. At least they filled
his roster spot with an experienced talent Jovan Haye (Bucs). Tony
Brown and last year’s second round pick Jason Jones will be counted on
just a little more with “Fat” Albert out of the picture. Both can play,
and this is not an indictment on them as much as it is an indication of
what Haynesworth meant to this defense. Another solid complementary
piece for the rotation would help them get closer to where they were
with him in the fold. Another factor is Tony Brown being in the final
year of his contract, which leads us to the issue outside. Kyle Vanden
Bosch and Jevon Kearse are also only tied up through 2009. I don’t feel
the need at end is as important as the need at tackle, but with so many
picks adding both is likely in this draft.
DRAFT: I wouldn’t want to be tackle Sen’Derrick Marks (Auburn) at #62
trying to fill those big shoes.
Offensive Tackle – Daniel Loper (Lions) has moved on. The line overall
is very young, other than center where is appears Leroy Harris is being
groomed to take over for Kevin Mawae. The one questionable area is
depth at tackle. This has to be addressed and likely will be in the
draft.
DRAFT: Troy Kropog (Tulane) was the choice at #135.
Other players drafted:
Tight end: Jared Cook (South Carolina) #89
Running back: Javon Ringer (Michigan State) #173
Guard: Ryan Durand (Syracuse) #239
Safety: Nick Schommer (North Dakota State) #242
SUMMARY: With so many picks it is to be expected they addressed all of
my needs other than a quarterback of the future. Perhaps Vince Young is
not out the door just yet. Safety and guard border two of the needs I
outlined. The only real surprises then were value picks. I’m sure they
did not expect Cook or Ringer to be available in those spots and both
can help the offense. GRADING MYSELF:
90
WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Pre-Draft Picks (5): 13, 80, 150, 186, 243*
*-compensatory pick cannot be traded
Actual Picks (6): lost 150, gained 158, 221
Defensive End – There is big drama surrounding the impending
competition between Phillip Daniels and Renaldo Wynn. It’s a race to
retirement as much as deciding who will be able to contribute on this
season’s defense. Daniels “lost” $1,300,000 by being cut and then later
signed. He seems to be over it. Wynn is back after spending 2007 with
the Saints and last year with the rival Giants to help them through the
Osi Umenyiora injury. The two veterans are friends, but good feelings
and bad jokes aside neither of them will be around in 2010. Demetric
Evans (49ers) bolted and Jason Taylor was released after one failed
season with the team. There is literally no one to put on the other end
of the line from Andre Carter on this defense unless you count the
CFL’s Chris Wilson or seldom used rookie Rob Jackson. Carter led the
‘Skins with a miniscule 4 sacks, but also garnered most of the
attention from opposing blockers. Their first priority in the draft is
someone to rush the passer from this position.
DRAFT: They sprinted to turn in their pick for Brian Orakpo (Texas) at
#13.
Linebacker – This unit is in serious need of reinforcements. They have
no one of consequence to start on the strong side. Marcus Washington
was cut and the negotiations for his return at a reasonable price are
not going well. In the middle London Fletcher is flat out a freak of
nature. He turns 34 in May and I get the feeling someone will have to
tear the uniform off his back for him to quit. He has reached 90 solo
tackles in each and every season since 2000. Where are the guys waiting
in the wings to step in? They will have to be found in the draft or the
next wave of free agency.
DRAFT: Cody Glenn (Nebraska) is new to the linebacker position so they
took a chance on him at #158 on the outside. On the inside the choice
was Robert Henson (TCU) at #186.
Offensive Tackle – Jon Jansen does not have much more left to offer.
Plus, head coach Jim Zorn is not his biggest fan. Zorn promoted Stephon
Heyer into his spot before Heyer gave it back due to injury. They could
definitely add someone capable of locking down this starting job with
authority. If that player is able to eventually take over the left side
for Chris Samuels (who is almost 32) they would be thrilled, but with
so few picks I would not hold my breath on that possibility Redskin
fans.
DRAFT: None.
Offensive Line (interior) – Derrick Dockery is back to play guard which
is good because last season’s play at the position was very poor. Well,
it’s good if he can elevate his play. There is a reason Buffalo cut
him, but they are expecting him to start which is why Pete Kendall’s
stint with the team appears over. Kendall is lingering in free agency.
Randy Thomas could be the other starter and just turned 33. Last year’s
third round pick Chad Rinehart figures into the future. Another injury,
or two, would be devastating given their current depth chart. At center
Casey Rabach gave up 5 ½ sacks. I get the feeling if a versatile
guard/center is available the Redskins would take that player in the
middle rounds.
DRAFT: None.
Quarterback – It has to be considered a need if the owner mulls over
trading the current starter right? Jason Campbell to his credit took
the slight well. I would too if as a former first round pick I had 35
career touchdown passes in 36 games with a career quarterback rating of
80.4. He has gradually improved on the stat sheet, and perhaps most
importantly did not hurt the team with turnovers (6 interceptions, 1
lost fumble) last season. He also didn’t help them much passing the
football, which I hear is what quarterbacks do occasionally in the NFL.
Over the team’s final 12 games he had 7 touchdown passes including no
games with more than one. Colt Brennan was taken as a possible project
and Todd Collins is just playing out the string of his career. It is
conceivable the Redskins draft another quarterback, but I would not
bank on it happening given their current stack of chips on draft
weekend.
DRAFT: None.
Kicker/Punter – Both of these positions were troublesome in 2008.
Kicker Shaun Suisham was signed to a one year deal, but that was just
to be sure someone was on the roster in case a better option failed to
come along. He was an ugly 12/20 (60%) from 40+ yards out. None of his
misses directly resulted in losing a game, but that’s not NFL material.
He was 11/15 in 2007 from distance putting his two year total at 66%.
Someone with a more range will be brought in to press him. At punter
Ryan Plackemeier was released after averaging 41.7 yards on 55 punts.
Only three teams had a lower team average than Washington’s 41.0.
Rookie Durant Brooks was even worse (39.6) and is now in Green Bay. At
the moment it looks like Dirk Johnson is the incumbent. He managed just
41.8 yards on 20 attempts for Arizona last year. Someone with a big leg
will definitely be sought out.
DRAFT: None.
Other players drafted:
Cornerback: Kevin Barnes (Maryland) #80
Tight end: Eddie Williams (Idaho) #221
Wide receiver: Marko Mitchell (Nevada) #243
SUMMARY: We can disregard kicker/punter because given their lack of
picks they could not afford to go there, but they did sign punter
Hunter Smith (Colts) after the draft. Obviously they want a new
quarterback, but continue to strike out. The offensive line apparently
lost out in the war room in favor of tight end they’ll convert to
fullback, and another receiver because they whiffed (apparently) twice
last year. I can understand the addition at corner. You can never have
enough. It was hard to gauge their draft given the lack of picks. GRADING MYSELF: 65
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