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College
Football Rankings - Top 35
by Gregory
Cox
College
Football Director
10/23/09
I do fancy
myself as a bit of a hybrid between a computer and a human so it is
probably fitting that my rankings line up fairly well with the BCS
standings. The only difference in the 25 teams listed there and the
first 25 here is my inclusion of Wisconsin
at #24 and omission of California,
who I list at #26. It should be noted that while I unleash these
rankings days after the polls come out, I ignore them until after I
finish. Think of it like putting your fingers in your ears at work when
you had to put "The Office" on your DVR. Anyway, at the end of each
blurb I’m including most of the usual ranking comparisons this week. I
have the AP, USA/Today, Harris Poll, BCS standings and Rivals in that
order.
#1 (1) Florida (7-0): It was supposed to be all
about Tim Tebow and the defense in their BCS title defense. Instead,
scratch the first part. Bad luck or not, Tebow kept a bad Mississippi State in the game with the
Gators. This might, and I say might with emphasis, matter at South Carolina
to derail their perfect season. (1, 1, 1, 1, 3)
#2 (2) Alabama (8-0): I have stayed the course,
leaving them behind Florida
even as they looked more impressive week after week. Uh, about that
escape against Tennessee
at home. Was that the same team UCLA (0-4 in Pac-10 play) beat? Clearly
they were looking ahead to LSU. (2, 2, 2, 1, 1)
#3 (3) Texas (7-0): Seriously people, since when
is routing Missouri
so impressive? I hear all of this chatter about how the Longhorns might
be the best team in country based on putting one on the Tigers. You
mean the team that is now 0-3 playing in the horrific Big XII North?
Their joke non-conference schedule combined with the misfortune of the Oklahoma
schools, and weakness of the other division makes their inclusion in
the “national championship” undeserved if they get there. (3, 3, 3, 3, 2
#4 (4) Boise
State (7-0): There are some people who
woke up and realized some of these non-BCS teams can play. Immediately
after TCU pounding BYU some piled on the Broncos saying the Horned
Frogs are the best of that bunch. Well, if Oregon wins the Pac-10 (see this
week vs. USC) I hope they reconsider. Some also say they are
unimpressive. They won 54-9 on an island (at Hawaii) what do you want? (6, 5, 5,
7, 8)
#5 (5) Cincinnati (7-0): Whoever made the final
decision, a doctor or a coach, keeping Pike out was the right move.
It’s not just Collaros’ near perfect performance in a 41-10 whacking of
Louisville
making me say that either. Having Pike ready for the stretch run is key
to surviving their brutal final month of games. As I told Ken Broo this
week, seemingly much to his surprise, they can make the BCS title game
with breaks on November 14. (5, 7, 6, 8, 6)
#6 (6) TCU (7-0): See, I don’t have
to overreact to them whacking BYU 38-7 in Provo because my ranking has
been high since before the season even started (#11). Their resume got
an added boost when Clemson knocked off a BCS top 10 team in Miami, FL.
These things matter in this messed up system. (8, 6, 7, 6, 7)
#7 (7) Iowa (8-0): It is impossible not to
love this team and root for them. I was watching every moment as they
fell behind before pulling out a miracle at Michigan State.
In my preseason rankings I said a stunning Big Ten title would not come
easy because of their schedule. They have survived thus far, but going
to Ohio State without leading rusher
Adam Robinson could be the end. They have two lesser teams (Indiana,
Northwestern) at home to adjust the offense. We’ll see. (7, 8, 8, 4, 5)
#8 (12) Oregon (6-1): Wow. They treated Washington like
a high school team, which is more than LSU or USC can say on that
field. I have rewarded them accordingly. Their only black mark is
escaping Purdue 38-36, which is amazing considering how much talent was
lost from last year’s top 10 finisher. Obviously it is all on the line
this week against USC. (10, 12, 11, 10, 10)
#9 (10) LSU (6-1): They hammered Auburn, but the
running game needs work. Very quietly they still control their destiny
in the SEC West. Can they win at Alabama with this offense though?
There is no problem with looking ahead this week against Tulane. Les
Miles can talk all he wants about keeping money in Louisiana by scheduling bad teams.
The bottom line is they’re playing a dog. (9, 9, 9, 9, 11)
#10 (9) USC (6-1): The same rules
really don’t apply to the Trojans. Voters could care less if they lost
at Washington, an otherwise 2-5 team. They’re USC right? I have no
problem with them struggling a bit against Oregon State,
but putting them ahead of undefeated teams at this point is ludicrous.
Based on what? Winning this week at Oregon will not change my mind, but
it would be huge for a team trying to maintain their swagger despite
giving up 63 points in two weeks. (4, 4, 4, 5, 4)
#11
(11) Georgia Tech (7-1): Things are never over in the ACC.
However, when the Hurricanes were upset the Yellow Jackets just about
punched their ticket to the conference title game by smacking Virginia 34-9
on the road. Wake
Forest
is dangerous, but will they lose to them at home? Even if a trip to
Duke is not as much of a freebie as usual it would be a shocker. Their
ceiling is a conference title though. (11, 11, 12, 11, 9)
#12 (13) Penn
State (7-1): Whenever I want to bury the
Nittany Lions, they turn in another impressive win. This time it was a
35-10 beat down at Michigan,
a team that has been very troublesome for them to say the least. It is
just so unfortunate that we have to sit through them playing Akron, Temple and
Eastern Illinois
because how good are they really? Great in the Big Ten, we know, but
great against anyone else? (12, 10, 10, 12, 13)
#13 (15) Houston (6-1): I think a lot of people
expected the Cougars to go away by now. Their 58-41 loss at UTEP could
have thrown them into a tailspin. It did not. When everyone talks about
BCS outsiders, TCU and Boise
State
are at the top. Neither of those teams are 3-0 against the Big XII/SEC
right? It confounds me considering most “experts” say those are the
best two conferences. Embarrassing loss (didn’t USC lose at Washington?)
aside they can play with any non-BCS team in the country. (15, 16, 16,
18, 14)
#14 (16) Oklahoma
State (6-1): I hope Deion Sanders is
happy. He has derailed any realistic chance the Cowboys had of finally
getting over the top against Texas.
Sure, Halloween could be a treat for OSU anyway. It would be a huge
upset now, whereas with Dez Bryant (now officially out for the season)
in the mix no one would be too surprised. Feel free to chalk them up at
a boring 9-3. (13, 13, 13, 14, 15)
#15 (19) Virginia Tech (6-2): It
was a painful week off for the Hokies who saw their third Coastal
division title in a row hopes dwindle considerably with Miami’s loss to
Clemson. There are five games they should win left on the schedule.
Unfortunately for them even finishing 7-1 in the ACC and 10-2 overall
might not get them into a BCS game. (14, 14, 14, 13, 12)
#16 (18) West Virginia (6-1): They are always just good
enough. Playing Connecticut
in the wake of tragedy was no easy task. The Mountaineers could have
folded up when they fell behind. Instead Noel Devine got a big play in
and they pulled it out. I don’t expect them to finish the Big East
slate, including three road games, unscathed. (20, 20, 20, 21, 20)
#17 (8) Miami,
FL (5-2): I will say this. Clemson is
better than most people think. C.J. Spiller would win the Heisman if he
played for Alabama.
However, the ‘Canes had their chances to beat them and the game was at
home. In the blink of an eye their season went from playing in the BCS
as possibly a top 5 team if they kept winning to not even winning the
ACC Coastal division. Like Virginia Tech, even with 10-2 finish
frustration awaits. (18, 18, 18, 19, 16)
#18 (21) Pittsburgh (7-1): How in the world did this
team lose 38-31 at N.C.
State?
Anyone who wonders why BCS teams are afraid of scheduling other BCS
teams, especially on the road, can point to that loss as a clear reason
why. If Pitt had played another dog that week, where might they be
ranked at 8-0 right now? As it is, the Backyard Brawl (at West Virginia)
is their only remaining road game this season and expectations are high
even without the lofty ranking. (16, 17, 17, 15, 18)
#19 (23) Utah (6-1): This is a broken record.
All they do is win games. Sure, it was an ugly fight against Air Force,
at home no less. The goal is to win though right? There are chances to
earn respect left on the schedule with November visits to the acronym
teams (TCU, BYU). Winning out might not be enough to crash the BCS
again though. (19, 19, 19, 16, 17)
#20 (24) Arizona (5-2): The Wildcats found a way to
dispose of UCLA despite 5 turnovers. For two more weeks their high
hopes will continue. They are off this weekend, then play doormat Washington State. Unfortunately, things get
very difficult from there. First they visit California,
then host Pac-10 leader Oregon.
A trip to rival Arizona
State
is never easy and they close with USC. Their destiny remains in their
own hands, but a 7-5 finish is not out of the question either. (23, 24,
25, 20, 19)
#21 (26) Ohio
State (6-2): Something dawned on me as I
talked to Ken Broo this week. The Buckeyes still have a realistic shot
at the Big Ten title. Their offense needs to find some consistency. At
some point Pryor needs to put the preseason Heisman hype on the shelf
and simply make a few big plays without the huge mistakes. Losing two
star receivers and a hard working running back changed the offense and
put too much pressure on him. However, I can see them rallying to win
at Penn State and against Iowa. (17, 15, 15, 17, 21)
#22 (27) South Carolina (6-2): The home fans got their only
glimpse of this team for a while (November 14 against Florida) and it
was not pretty. Vanderbilt is horrible. They lost to Army. Beating the
Commodores 14-10 at home was no way to build momentum down the stretch.
Expect another defensive war this week at Tennessee. (21, 21, 21, 22, 22)
#23 (29) Notre Dame (5-2): Every
week they continue to prove me right. Just about all of the teams on
their schedule can beat them. Only two have so far, but other than Nevada in the opener the other five have had a
shot including Boston
College
this week. The Eagles were a soft 5-2 I suppose. Let’s give the Irish
credit though. They are playing 10 BCS teams this season and the other
two teams on their schedule were coming off a bowl appearance. As they
long as they win, it’s impressive. (25, 25, 24, 23, 25)
#24 (30) Wisconsin (5-2): The Badgers had the week off
to enjoy the view. Their home stretch includes only two teams with a
winning record. Only one of those, Northwestern, is on the road. Michigan comes to Madison. Could they ride the wave all
the way to 10-2? Probably not, but it is there for the taking. (30, 28,
29, NR, 27)
#25 (32) Mississippi (5-2): Beating Arkansas 30-17 was
their most impressive win to date. It is almost November. Does winning
at Auburn
this week prove much? Lofty preseason expectations will be in the
toilet unless they run out, which means beating LSU on November 21.
Anything less is a colossal disappointment considering their extremely
favorable schedule. (24, 22, 23, 25, 28)
#26 (34) California (5-2): The Bears average 48 points
in their wins, but oh those wipeout losses to Oregon and USC. Riley threw
touchdown passes on his first three attempts, which needs to be
qualified because it was against Washington State.
That being the case, their defense was gouged more than it should have
been despite the 49-17 rout. On the plus side they have recovered to
beat the bottom teams in the conference. Can they keep it up though?
(28, 29, 28, 24, 29)
#27 (14) BYU (6-2): It was one
thing to get hammered on the road last year by TCU, but at home? I find
it curious Oklahoma,
despite having 3 losses, continues to earn respect from voters even
though the Cougars beat them. My rankings are not about reputation. In
their two losses, superior athletes got to BYU. There are worse things
than going 10-2 and I’m looking for them to do that. (26, 27, 26, NR,
23)
#29 (33) Central Michigan (7-1): There
are people who scoff when I rank teams like this, but they beat Michigan State on the road earlier this
season. The Spartans were a play away from upsetting Iowa this week.
The Chips have gone 4-1 on the road and have a third shot at a BCS team
this week when they visit Boston
College.
(27, 26, 27, NR, 30)
#30 (NR) Oklahoma (4-3): The Sooners continued their
roller coaster season by crushing Kansas 35-13 on the road. Other than
close losses to good teams they had done nothing to date. Now that Sam
Bradford’s season (and OU career) is officially over they can focus on
the Landry Jones era, and try to pile up conference wins over teams who
normally would stand no chance of beating them. (22, 23, 22, NR, 24)
#31 (NR) Temple (5-2): The Owls would probably not
stand up next to teams in BCS conferences. Still, I am rewarding them
for a surprising start to the season which has them on the brink of
bowl eligibility. After pounding Toledo
40-24 they are almost assured of a winning season because Akron (1-6) and Miami, OH
(0-8) are left on the schedule. To stay in the rankings though, they
need to win at Navy this week. (NR, NR, 35, NR, 76)
#32 (NR) Navy (6-2): Looking back,
clearly this team was more than fodder in road losses to Ohio State
and Pittsburgh.
Against the Buckeyes, the Midshipmen nearly forced OT during a furious
comeback. Now as the season wears on Navy keeps winning, including this
past week’s 16-13 decision over Wake Forest.
I’m not sure we needed to see them play the Demon Deacons for the third
time in a year, but that is another story. If Navy can get by Temple this week
there are no road blocks to 10 regular season wins, 11 with an upset at
Notre Dame. (31, 33, 31, NR, 35)
#33 (NR) Clemson (4-3): As an NFL
draft analyst I love C.J. Spiller. Wherever he winds up, some lucky
team is getting an impact player. As I said when the decision was made,
he was absolutely correct not following backfield mate James Davis into
the pros. Instead he has forged somewhat of a Heisman worthy season for
a team that is a few close losses (3 by 10 points total) away from a
lofty national ranking. Their win over the ‘Canes was no fluke, and
this is the Coastal champion I believe. (33, 34, 39, NR, 31)
#34 (31) Boston
College (5-3): It was obvious the Eagles
were fighting for respect at Notre Dame, and it showed. After two
disastrous losses in their only other road games, a 20-16 loss was
palatable. Two more road games (Virginia,
Maryland)
loom and in the wild ACC anything can happen. (NR, NR, NR, NR, 32)
#35 (20) Texas Tech (5-3): The Red
Raiders were stung by A&M there is no denying it. However, having
already smacked Big XII North foes Kansas
State and Nebraska a
combined 97-24 do we just throw them in the garbage? Obviously I don’t
think so. They can just as easily recover this week against defensively
challenged Kansas.
An open week follows before they face a stiff test against the Oklahoma
schools. (29, 30, 32, NR, 33)
Dropped Out:
Last week #22 Michigan (5-3): Perhaps getting hammered by Penn State was a reminder that the
Wolverines are still not completely back. Their reputation and history
will ensure voters treating them differently than other Big Ten teams
with superior resumes. Right now all they have done is beat Notre Dame
in a thriller. Unless you include surviving Indiana as impressive that is. There
are chances for them to make noise later at Wisconsin
and of course against rival Ohio State.
We shall see if they can score another significant win. (NR, NR, NR,
NR, 37)
Last week #25 Nebraska (4-3): It is almost as if the fourth
quarter at Missouri
never happened and this team has been in an October slump. If not for
that rally the ‘Huskers would be 3-4 struggling to gain bowl
eligibility. After losing at home to Iowa State
maybe conceding the required wins is still a questionable prediction.
It was a mind numbing setback for a team that on the aforementioned
Thursday night appeared like your Big XII North champs. (NR, NR, NR,
NR, 40)
Last week #28 Kansas (5-2):
Speaking of North teams in trouble I give you the Jayhawks. Everyone
knew their defense was shoddy, and against Oklahoma the outcome was
predictable. Still, they were drilled on their home field by a team
reeling (again) from losing their starting quarterback. Now they hit
the road for three of their next four before the neutral field finale
against Missouri.
Their lone remaining home game is against similarly flailing Nebraska. Email
me if you know who is going to win the North and get crushed by Texas. (32, 31,
30, NR, 39)
Last Week #35 Idaho (6-2): It
should be no surprise to anyone reading my rankings that I’m a sucker
for an underdog, especially in the “extra” spots from #26-#35. I threw
the Vandals a bone last week while mentioning I anticipated a loss at Nevada.
However, 70-45 was not what I had in mind, but just your typical WAC
defensive struggle right? (NR, NR, NR, NR, 67)
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