College
Football Rankings - Top 35
by Gregory
Cox
College
Football Director
9/29/09
After figuratively
burning up my rankings last week and
shuffling them up, I pretty much did it again. There are people out
there who
believe the regular season is a “playoff”. They actually defend the BCS
and say
revising the system would minimize the value of the regular season.
Results
like this past week make their case, well, let’s not say stronger. How
about a
little less weak? Those misguided souls would tell you that Cal,
Mississippi, Penn
State and Miami, FL
effectively lost their playoff game. They are out. Never mind that
three of
them were on the road for these “season ending” losses, or that two
fell at the
hands of opponents that finished 2008 ranked #10 and #15 in the country
right?
Let’s just write all of them off because after all we are brainwashed
by ESPN
to accept the worst system in organized sports.
As you will see by
reading my rankings below, I harshly
punish losers. I am especially hard on losses when there are no decent
wins to
offset them. Some teams will need to wade their way back up my rankings
past
teams I have no doubt they are better than at this point in time. It is
all
about results with me. If you wish to air grievances you can do so
publicly at www.twitter.com/footballexpert
or privately via email to greg@thefootballexpert.com.
#1 (1) Florida (4-0): There is
only one story with this team and that is the health of Tim Tebow. All
the jokes
about him walking on water, making peace in the Middle
East and being the first man to walk on Mars were fine
until he
hit the turf. Everyone, rivals of the Gators included, should want him
back on
the field. Perhaps the most frustrating part about him exiting the game
is that
UF had put together such an awesome first quarter, outscoring Kentucky 31-0,
to silence the fools (cough,
Pat Forde) who dared suggest any other team should be ranked #1.
#2 (2) Texas (4-0): I quipped
on Twitter that the Longhorns were already pining for Harris poll votes
by
running it up on UTEP. Building a 47-7 halftime lead is one thing.
Finishing
the game with a 639-53 edge in total yards is quite another. They never
let up
and if you think Mack Brown is not focused on the BCS formula you are
not
paying attention.
#3 (4)
Alabama (4-0): It’s weird because heading into the Sugar Bowl,
and even after
Utah embarrassed them I really did intend to give the Crimson Tide more
preseason respect. Not knowing how losing their QB/RB/LT would impact
their
offense I had questions. After four games, they look smooth. There are
bigger
hurdles ahead and I still believe their chances of a 12-0 regular
season are
slim. For now though, this is a richly deserved ranking and I should
have had
them higher sooner.
#4 (5) Boise
State
(4-0): No one is really laughing about my lofty preseason
ranking of the
Broncos now. Think that win over Oregon
looks a little better now? I do have a serious bone to pick. Kirk
Herbstreit is
a terrible analyst who needs to stop talking about BSU. He sort of
crinkled his
face when discussing them being ranked so high, citing them struggling
against
teams they shouldn’t struggle against. Um, when Kirk? Do you have a
schedule in
front of you? Forgive the excessive rant, but this requires a second
(long) paragraph
which hopefully Herbie reads where I will break down their schedule for
him.
I know he
doesn’t mean Oregon, who finished
last year
#10 and just whipped Cal
42-3. Besides, did they really struggle in that one, an 11 point win?
Pretty
sure he wasn’t talking about beating Miami, OH
48-0 right? This past week the
Broncos annihilated Bowling
Green
49-14. In the process they scored 6 touchdowns on possessions totaling
14
plays, none of them taking more than 1:12 off the game clock. The
Falcons lost
at Missouri,
a ranked (coaches poll) team, 27-20 a couple weeks ago. So this leaves
their
“narrow” 51-34 win at Fresno
State.
Because, you know,
winning by 17 over a team that just lost in OT at Wisconsin
(now 4-0) and 28-20 at Cincinnati
(4-0, AP #10) is such an embarrassment? No, the embarrassment is a
jackass like
Herbstreit talking out of his rear end about a team he knows nothing
about.
They haven’t struggled once this year.
#5 (8) Cincinnati (4-0): To
Fresno State’s credit, they threw everything at this team trying to
score the
upset. A team knowing for playing anyone, anywhere certainly made it
interesting for the latest Big East favorites. One thing I’m keeping my
eye on
is an extremely favorable schedule from here on out. Dare I say it?
What if
they finish 12-0? It is too early to put them in the BCS title game,
but after
visiting a totally lost Miami, OH team this week the Bearcats travel
only 3
more times. First is USF on a “BCS killing” Thursday night game, then
Halloween
at Syracuse and finally the finally in Pittsburgh.
Definitely
premature, but keep an eye on this situation.
#6 (6) TCU
(3-0): I expected a lot more from them than needing a comeback
to win at
Clemson, but that shows just how far the MWC has come. Usually a road
victory
over an ACC opponent would be considered a huge accomplishment. Now it
doesn’t
even garner a headline. It will likely be another month, October 24 at
BYU,
before we see them tested again.
#7 (17) Iowa (4-0): When Penn
State
struck for a 79-yard touchdown on their first offensive play things did
not
look good for the Hawkeyes. It got worse after PSU drove the field and
kicked
to a 10-0 advantage. Then the defense, running game and special teams
totally
took over. This was no upset, stunning victory like last season. No
sir. Iowa was the better team and has
washed away images of
their ugly opener against Northern Iowa.
#8 (9) LSU
(4-0): Just when I started to get behind the Tigers they were a
mess at Mississippi
State
and it was not just the weather.
The Bulldogs outplayed them, but lost the turnover battle 4-0 and
allowed
touchdowns on an interception return early and on a punt return late.
Never
mind that MSU had the game won until their quarterback Tyson Lee
inexplicably
failed to extend the ball over the goal line in the waning moments.
There are
going to be “down” games like this, but they left a lot to be desired
and if a
halfway decent opponent been on the other side it would have been a
blowout
loss.
#9 (13)
Houston (3-0): All I could do was sigh when Texas Tech head
coach Mike Leach
elected to go for a “game clinching” touchdown instead of a “the worst
we can
do is OT” field goal. Obviously I picked the Red Raiders. I’m not
taking
anything away from the Cougars, who made the defensive stop and
delivering the
game winning touchdown drive, but they can send their thanks to Leach
if this
magical run continues to the BCS. I am dying to see them dive into the
SEC at Mississippi
State
in two weeks.
#10 (16)
Virginia Tech (3-1): It was a rare dominating victory for the
Hokies who seemed
to toy with Miami, FL. Tyrod Taylor was just 4/9 for 98 yards, but why
throw
the ball when Ryan Williams can hammer out 34 carries for a buck fifty
and two
scores? They threw in a blocked punt for a touchdown just to make sure
the
announcers could say “Beamer Ball”. It has already been revealed that
the SEC
elite (Alabama)
are over their head, but the ACC is their, well, you know.
#11 (15) Michigan (4-0): No one
could have predicted a perfect first month, even if all the games were
at the
Big House. It was definitely a black mark having to rally past Indiana,
who
isn’t even a basketball power at the
moment. They won though, and the offense puts up a lot of points. Their
first
road test is this week at Michigan
State, and
then it’s off to Iowa
where we will really find out where the
Wolverines are headed.
#12 (19) Auburn (4-0): I’m on a
limb with them at the moment, but you can see why right? 181 points
scored?
Never mind those 97 points allowed, this offense is going to make their
games
very interesting. Let’s see how it goes this week at Tennessee, a
team that brings it on defense,
but the Tigers have to be very confident until someone takes them down.
#13 (14) Kansas (4-0): They have
offensive talent, but it was disheartening to watch them struggle at
home
against Southern Miss. As much as I hate just edging a team up the
rankings for
knocking down weak opponents, at least the Jayhawks are winning. What’s
next?
They are off this week before hosting Iowa
State and
going to Colorado.
I can look ahead and put them at
6-0 when Oklahoma
visits on October 24 and both teams could carry lofty rankings.
#14 (30) South Florida (4-0): There is plenty of time to
knock
them down when they lose so don’t freak out. The Bulls need to be
rewarded for
unleashing a kid at quarterback after losing basically a legend in Matt
Grothe
and thumping Florida
State
in their stadium.
B.J. Daniels surely will have his ups and downs, but right now he is on
top of
the world. The Big East is not very daunting and he has a chance to
lead an
improbable run to 9 or 10 wins.
#15 (18)
Missouri (4-0): The Tigers have been making people forget they
lost a trio of
offensive players so far this season, but their trip to Nevada reminded
me of
just how much less potent they are in 2009. Remember the 69 they hung
on the
Wolfpack last year? This time they trailed 13-12 in the third quarter
before
scoring 19 straight points to put the game away. In their defense, it
was a
national television road game on a Friday night which can be really
tough on a
visiting team. Speaking of which, after an open week they get the other
side of
this when hosting Nebraska
on a Thursday night October 8. It’s going to turn their season one way
or the
other.
#16 (21)
USC (3-1): They are more vulnerable than ever, and what looks
like the only
true Pac-10 “gimme” is now in their rear view mirror. Washington State
could not have shown up on the schedule at a more opportune time and
the
Trojans, well, beat them. It was not your typical thrashing though and
doubts
remain as they visit shell-shocked California
this week.
#17 (22) Ohio
State
(3-1): The Buckeyes take so much heat for losing big games. In
the meantime
they beat a lot of teams. Since giving up the heartbreaking touchdown
to USC,
OSU has allowed zero points. Once troublesome Juice Williams and his
Illini were
no trouble this time around in a 30-0 beat down. Next up is a visit to
suddenly
spunky Indiana,
but no one expects anyone to mess with this team until a loaded
November
schedule.
#18 (12) Miami,
FL
(2-1): The Hurricanes crashed hard when faced with their
stiffest test of the
season at Virginia Tech. Their offense was just 2/14 combined on third
and
fourth down conversion attempts. Jacory Harris barely resembled the
supremely
confident kid who tore up Florida
State
and Georgia Tech,
finishing with 9 completed passes. Sure, the rain played a part in
that, but it
rains on both teams. They need to regroup in a hurry with Oklahoma coming
to town for a primetime
showdown.
#19 (26)
Georgia Tech (3-1): Their defense switched to a conventional 4-3
from their
quirky 4-2-5 and shut down North
Carolina to the tune of 154 total yards and 7
points.
When the Yellow Jackets get a head of steam they can be hard to deal
with. Now
the challenge is getting the jump on opponents while dealing with
hostile
crowds. They play 5 times in October and the only home game is against
ACC
favorite Virginia Tech. Two of those visits are to SEC country (Mississippi State, Vanderbilt) so it is
going to be
a challenging month.
#20 (27)
Oklahoma State (3-1): They didn’t prove anything by routing
Grambling State,
but at least their loss to Houston looks a little less egregious after
the
Cougars took care of Texas Tech. Now that expectations are back to
normal I
expect them to pile up wins and be ready to pull out all the stops on
Halloween
against Texas.
#21 (NR) Oregon (3-1): Upon
further review, the Ducks are back. Before the season I wondered if
they might
start 1-3, but after splitting games against two of the toughest
non-BCS teams
in the country, knocking off Purdue and destroying California their season is looking
up in a
big way. The scoring post-Blount meltdown is a sharp 37.0 per game.
They might
even be considered a favorite in the Pac-10 at this point considering
how
sluggish USC is looking.
#22 (28)
Notre Dame (3-1): Never a dull moment right? In the grand
scheme of things
winning two of three against teams who are not even the elite of a
mediocre Big
Ten conference is not very impressive. The Irish have to keep proving
it week
after week, but as long as they win all is well. Clausen gutted through
an
injury to deliver at Purdue. Next up is Washington,
the first of five straight at home. Their next road game is November
14.
#23 (24)
BYU (3-1): No hangover from the Florida State
debacle. They
stormed to a three touchdown lead against Colorado State
and never looked back. After this Friday’s (why is this on a Friday
exactly?)
meeting with Utah State from the WAC the rest of their
schedule is
against the MWC, and the toughest opponents (TCU, Utah) are at home. Most teams are
allowed
one lapse per season and at this point anything short of 10-2 would be
a huge
disappointment in Provo.
#24 (25) Oklahoma (2-1): What can
I do with the Sooners? They did lose to BYU and as long as both teams
have a
single loss I have to honor that setback. Think about this. If a team
without
“OU” on the side of their helmet smoked Idaho
State and Tulsa after
losing to BYU would they be in
the top 10? I’m going to say no. As such, here they are. This week was
spent
preparing for a trip to Miami,
FL and
although the Hurricanes
were just whipped at Virginia Tech there is still a large spotlight on
this
game.
#25 (29) Georgia (3-1): It
was not pretty, but it was “Survival Saturday” in college football. The
‘Dawgs
let Arizona
State
hang around in the rain and it
almost bit them. One thing they are starting to prove is an uncanny
ability to
pull games out. Whether or not it flies against LSU this week remains
to be
seen.
#26 (31) South
Carolina (3-1):
For a change I stuck with a team and
it paid off. Although I didn’t pick them to beat Mississippi I did say in this space
last
week that “their defense is going to have a little something extra” for
them.
Containing Jevan Snead after already shutting down N.C. State’s
Russell Wilson is now easy task. They should have no problems with South Carolina State
or Kentucky
the next two weeks.
#27 (32) Nebraska (3-1): If
anyone wants to draw a comparison, the Cornhuskers mutilated
Louisiana-Lafeyette 55-0 a week after LSU beat them 31-3. The halftime
scores
were 34-0 and 17-3 respectively. I’m not suggesting too much should be
taken
from this, but Nebraska
is barely in the top half of teams in the Big XII right? The loss at
Virginia
Tech is going to haunt them unless they win the North division, and
after a
week off a big step can be taken towards that goal with a victory at Missouri.
#28 (35)
UCLA (3-0): I have no problem admitting that right now this is
based on winning
while other teams are losing. The Bruins knocked off two bottom level
teams
from the SEC (Tennessee) and Big XII (Kansas State)
but it’s better than taking on teams outside the BCS. They have a lot
to prove,
but their defense might be able to carry them.
#29 (NR)
N.C. State (3-1): Since their offense was stopped cold against South Carolina
in the
opener they have put up 148 points. The rest of their schedule is
inside the
ACC and the Atlantic division is not exactly loaded. They also avoid
Georgia
Tech and Miami, FL from the Coastal side.
Furthermore, this
is looking like a 6-1 start if Russell Wilson has anything to say about
it. The
upcoming schedule is at Wake Forest, Duke and at Boston College.
#30 (NR) Arizona (3-1): Last week I jerked them out
of the
rankings, but now it looks like there is no shame at all losing at Iowa. Winning
at Oregon
State
meanwhile is always tough. The phrase “win some, lose some” certainly
applied
in the 37-32 thriller. A quarterback was found in Nick Foles while a
running
back was lost when Nic Grigsby went down. An open week gives him time
to heal
up or for the offense to adjust before their next game at Washington.
This is looking like a feisty
team.
#31 (NR) Wisconsin (4-0): I have
a running joke that the Badgers always seem to start 5-0 or 6-0. Here
they go
again after surviving their Big Ten opener against Michigan State
to end a perfect September. All the games were at home and none of the
opponents were daunting. The first road game will be at Minnesota’s
new stadium this week, with a trip to the Horseshoe (Ohio
State) after
that and then a visit
from Iowa.
I
would call this a serious reality check and not be surprised to see
them at 4-3
in a hurry.
#32 (3) California (3-1): There
are two reasons I left the Bears in the rankings. The first is having
scheduled
two teams from BCS conferences. Even if Maryland
is looking horrible and Minnesota
is far from a powerhouse, it is a lot better than lining up teams from
the MAC
or Sun Belt. It was a puzzling effort at Oregon
and perhaps the result of the Ducks being tired of Cal getting over on them. Enough was
enough.
The Bears are not built to recover from an early deficit and seemed to
quit in
the face of adversity. The second reason I left them in is because this
week
against USC they have a chance to redeem themselves.
#33 (7) Mississippi (2-1): I’m
not going to rank teams on reputation or perception. This is not a
prediction
of what will happen in the future. All I can look at is results. They
beat up
on two bad teams and in their first big game got worked over by South Carolina.
I expect
the Rebels to bounce back and for Jevan Snead to look a lot better
against
weaker defenses, but for now they would be out if I had not run out of
teams to
rank.
#34 (10) Penn
State
(3-1): Yes, this is a steep drop. Why? It is really simple.
They have beaten no
one of note and got their helmets handed to them at home by Iowa. The
Nittany Lions will get well in a
hurry by beating up lesser Big Ten opponents, but their punishment for
scheduling
awful teams (at home no less) is having to fight their way back up the
ladder.
#35 VACANT:
I really did not want to do this, but ranking a team with two losses
this early
seemed silly. So did throwing a team in here who has done nothing, even
if they
are 3-0. Sorry Texas
A&M.
DROPPED OUT:
Last week #11
North
Carolina
(3-1): The word “poof” comes to mind. Georgia Tech made their offense
look like
it had lost most of their receiving talent from the 2008 season. When
that
happened it put too much pressure on the defense and the result was a
27-7
loss. The Heels are far from finished, and should coast past Virginia
and
Georgia Southern over the next two weeks. In those games the offense
will have
a time to get straight and earn them a spot in the rankings.
Last week #20
Washington
(2-2): Is it safe to say Chris Mortensen will cool his “Jake Locker is
competing with Sam Bradford for the top quarterback in the NFL draft”
tweets?
The Huskies were overwhelmed at Stanford as the euphoria of their win
over USC
wore off. They have a chance to ride the escalator up again if they can
score
an upset at Notre Dame.
Last week #23
Florida State
(2-2): Obviously they approached their game against South Florida, sans starting quarterback Matt
Grothe, as a walkover. They
proceeded to continue a disturbing trend of going flat on offense every
other
week. It is fair to assume they will explode at Boston College
this week, and it would not surprise me to see Georgia Tech hold them
down
after that. Inconsistency seems to be the trademark of most teams in
the ACC.
Last week #33
Clemson (2-2): The Tigers couldn’t quite hold on against TCU, but on
the plus
side C.J. Spiller is healthy. Their ACC schedule is on the soft side
and I
think this team can fight back from these early losses to challenge for
the
Atlantic division title.
Last week #34 Pittsburgh
(3-1): What a tough loss. Up 31-17 on N.C. State,
the offense went completely flat and the defense folded. In the
meantime they
got soaked. This could have been a confidence building win heading into
Big
East play. Instead the Panthers need to regroup Friday night at Louisville.